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  2016 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  NH SEN: Ayotte leads Hassan 47-41 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NH SEN: Ayotte leads Hassan 47-41  (Read 1462 times)
YaBB God
Posts: 3,509
United States

Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26

« on: July 23, 2015, 06:07:55 pm »

Bottom line in New Hampshire: Hillary must win the state by a significant margin for Ayotte to be ousted. A close race will make it difficult, and a GOP win at the top of the ticket makes taking this seat nearly impossible for Democrats.

Bottom line nationally: As things stand now, Democrats probably need to win the presidency to win the Senate. Otherwise, they will have a hard time getting past 3-4 pickups, and they would need 5 for an outright majority without the presidency. Illinois and Wisconsin are favorable, Florida is very close, and they have plausible chances in a few other states, but not if they don't win the presidency.
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