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Author Topic: NH-Marist/NBC: Ayotte+8  (Read 2127 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: July 26, 2015, 01:12:17 pm »

910 registered voters, July 14th through July 21st, 2015:

50-42 Ayotte/Hassan

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/726-ia-walker-trump-vie-for-lead-nh-trump-leads-gop-sanders-closes-gap-against-clinton
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2015, 02:06:14 pm »

Down with Hassan!
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henster
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2015, 03:45:25 pm »

Hassan has a 57-35 approval rating. Hmmm..
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olowakandi
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2015, 05:52:21 pm »

They keep polling NH.
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BLOOMENTUM INCREASES
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2015, 07:44:45 pm »

Hassan is not jumping in unless she gets a clear lead.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2015, 08:07:23 pm »

I would love to see Marist Pa senate poll.

WI,IL, FL as lean takeovers; Dems dont need it.
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Castro
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2015, 08:09:43 pm »

I would love to see Marist Pa senate poll.

WI,IL, FL as lean takeovers; Dems dont need it.

46+3<50
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olowakandi
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2015, 08:17:42 pm »

Yes it is, but Sestak always poll behind, even in 2010, and the race in Pa is gonna be close.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2015, 09:01:15 pm »

OC, why do you have so much trouble acknowledging that Republicans will keep the Senate in 2016? Smiley

Don't get too confident. Pretty much any remotely reasonable scenario is possible this far out. Democrats could end up gaining 8, 9, 10 seats.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2015, 09:16:29 pm »

OC, why do you have so much trouble acknowledging that Republicans will keep the Senate in 2016? Smiley

Don't get too confident. Pretty much any remotely reasonable scenario is possible this far out. Democrats could end up gaining 8, 9, 10 seats.

I just find it laughable how he changes his prediction every hour. One day Nevada is solid R, the next day it is likely D. And no matter how well Toomey polls, OC doesn't bother moving it out of the "likely D" category because he knows that the Democrats need his seat in order to retake the Senate.

Democrats don't even need PA. At this point, OH is probably a better prospect for getting their 4th gain.(IL, WI, FL being the first 3)
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: July 27, 2015, 01:26:19 am »

Mark my words. If Hassan enters this race, it'll become a toss-up. Ayotte is leading right now, but I really think Hassan is the one Democrats need to get into this race. NH should definitely not be ruled out as a possible pick-up. I think it could be the tipping point senate race, especially since PA isn't looking as good as it used to (though it's still going to be competitive.)
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: July 27, 2015, 02:15:04 am »

OC, why do you have so much trouble acknowledging that Republicans will keep the Senate in 2016? Smiley

Don't get too confident. Pretty much any remotely reasonable scenario is possible this far out. Democrats could end up gaining 8, 9, 10 seats.

I just find it laughable how he changes his prediction every hour. One day Nevada is solid R, the next day it is likely D. And no matter how well Toomey polls, OC doesn't bother moving it out of the "likely D" category because he knows that the Democrats need his seat in order to retake the Senate.

Well you can look at the compiled map, and see how bias the dems on this site is, its like walking on clouds thinking that dems will duplicate the 2012 map.

As you know, I am a Sestak and Tammy Duckworth supporter, but beating Portman was less than 50 percent, since dems dont need OH, rather CO, NV and Pa.

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Dave Leip
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« Reply #12 on: July 27, 2015, 03:35:43 pm »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Marist College on 2015-07-21

Summary: D: 42%, R: 50%, I: 0%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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JRP1994
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« Reply #13 on: July 28, 2015, 06:27:57 am »

Are people forgetting that we're talking about the Florida Democratic Party? The same Florida Democratic party fresh off of crucial wins in the FL-13 race and the Florida Governor's race...... oh right. That's not the case, because the Florida Democratic Party always finds a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, unless Bill Nelson running.

If Democrats are relying on the Florida Democratic Party to deliver the Senate, they're not standing on the sturdiest of ground.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: July 28, 2015, 01:55:30 pm »

I don't see why Hassan would jump in. She's in a better position to run for Governor, and being Governor is more powerful than being a Senator. That of course means Ayotte might slide to a re-election.
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henster
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« Reply #15 on: July 28, 2015, 06:03:23 pm »

I don't see why Hassan would jump in. She's in a better position to run for Governor, and being Governor is more powerful than being a Senator. That of course means Ayotte might slide to a re-election.

Well first she wouldn't have to run every two years and no the NH Governor is a weak Governorship like Texas.
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sjoyce
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« Reply #16 on: July 28, 2015, 06:19:44 pm »

I don't see why Hassan would jump in. She's in a better position to run for Governor, and being Governor is more powerful than being a Senator. That of course means Ayotte might slide to a re-election.

In terms of general influence and power, being a Senator is generally considered more influential than the governor of a small state (how many people talk about Jack Dalrymple?) but less than governor of a large state (the job of Governor of Texas is relatively toothless, yet Perry and Bush still used it as a springboard higher).
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Beto/Lieu 2020
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« Reply #17 on: July 29, 2015, 04:20:38 am »

Ayotte may be ahead by quite a bit right now, but the race will tighten in the end because there are many closet Democrats masquerading as Independents in NH. Anyway, I hope Ayotte wins because I can't stand the thought of Senator Hassan. She just LOOKS corrupt.

Almost as corrupt as Ayotte looked voting against background checks following the Sandy Hook tragedy and playing Batgirl with Batman McCain and Robin Graham. Tongue
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