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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: The Chad Pygmy Marmosets, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 849427 times)
Marokai Backbeat
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E: -7.42, S: -7.39

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« Reply #1800 on: December 09, 2008, 06:33:42 pm »



Edwards v Bush, 2004 Tongue
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1801 on: December 09, 2008, 08:14:30 pm »

My projection for the 2012 election, based on the changes in the trends between 2004 and 2008:

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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #1802 on: December 09, 2008, 08:18:04 pm »

Why not Ohio? It went for Obama by 4% didn't it?
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1803 on: December 09, 2008, 08:23:34 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1804 on: December 09, 2008, 08:25:54 pm »


I'm using trend margin, which is swing margin adjusted for how the rest of the country went. In 2004, Ohio's trend was 4.38% Dem, but in 2008, it was 3.82% GOP. When I subtracted the difference and added the new trend margin to the 2008 results, Ohio goes GOP. For 2016, I just doubled the difference and added the new new trend margin to the projected 2012 results.
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Smid
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« Reply #1805 on: December 09, 2008, 08:28:58 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):



You may need to adjust Mass and Arizona for the homestate effect.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #1806 on: December 10, 2008, 08:23:08 pm »



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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1807 on: December 10, 2008, 10:45:45 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):



You may need to adjust Mass and Arizona for the homestate effect.

I realize that. However, I intend for these maps to be taken with at least a grain of salt.
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GMantis
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« Reply #1808 on: December 13, 2008, 12:09:42 pm »

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bhouston79
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« Reply #1809 on: December 14, 2008, 08:16:19 pm »

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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #1810 on: December 14, 2008, 09:25:50 pm »
« Edited: December 14, 2008, 09:28:49 pm by Mideast Governor Benconstine »

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Smid
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« Reply #1811 on: December 14, 2008, 09:29:40 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):



You may need to adjust Mass and Arizona for the homestate effect.

I know - I was just saying it because someone had to.

I realize that. However, I intend for these maps to be taken with at least a grain of salt.
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Kane
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« Reply #1812 on: December 26, 2008, 10:32:25 am »
« Edited: December 26, 2008, 10:40:35 am by Kane »


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Kane
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« Reply #1813 on: December 26, 2008, 11:26:37 pm »



Here's another one. It's unrelated to my first map.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #1814 on: December 27, 2008, 01:34:53 am »



Here's another one. It's unrelated to my first map.

How each state has voted since 1992.

Dark Blue=Republican all 5 times
Medium Blue=Republican 4/5 times
Light Blue=Republican 3/5 times
Light Red=Democrat 3/5 times
Medium Red=Democrat 4/5 times
Dark Red=Democrat all 5 times
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
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« Reply #1815 on: December 28, 2008, 03:27:24 am »
« Edited: December 28, 2008, 04:58:35 am by I could not think of a better user name »


Seeing that map cracked me up! Anyway, my response: a fantasy election with George Bush the Democrat and John Kerry the Republican.
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officepark
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« Reply #1816 on: December 28, 2008, 04:57:43 am »

This one should be easy, but note that the map will change very soon.

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Dodger Blue
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« Reply #1817 on: December 29, 2008, 01:38:55 am »


Seeing that map cracked me up! Anyway, my response: a fantasy election with George Bush the Democrat and John Kerry the Republican.

Trippy...
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Dr. RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1818 on: December 31, 2008, 01:56:05 am »

This one should be easy, but note that the map will change very soon.



Current governors. Missouri will be changing soon though.
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RIP Robert H Bork
officepark
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« Reply #1819 on: December 31, 2008, 02:14:19 am »
« Edited: December 31, 2008, 02:33:00 am by I could not think of a better user name »

These ones should also be easy. As with the previous map, these will also change soon.



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Scam of God
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E: 6.19, S: -9.91

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« Reply #1820 on: December 31, 2008, 02:26:56 am »



D: 294, R: 244

The ideal Democratic "Whistling Past Dixie" map - a slight message-tweak to give the Democrats a libertarian bent and dropping asinine issues like 'gun control' would be enough to give us this, or something very similar, in a close election. 
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Bern Notice
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« Reply #1821 on: January 01, 2009, 06:08:44 am »



1996 no perot
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Scam of God
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« Reply #1822 on: January 01, 2009, 07:41:45 am »


Does Slick Willy finally get a majority in the popular vote?
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Bern Notice
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #1823 on: January 01, 2009, 08:50:16 am »

I still can't believe he didn't get 50% in 96. How pathetic is that? Especially when you consider the opposition...
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Scam of God
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« Reply #1824 on: January 01, 2009, 10:37:21 am »

To be fair, I've always thought that Perot took more voters from Clinton in both those elections than either Bush or Dole. He'd almost certainly have broken 50% in both of them had Perot not run.
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