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  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kalwejt, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 845142 times)
nini2287
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« Reply #450 on: August 29, 2005, 03:44:45 pm »


Blue states founded before 1825, red states afterwards.
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Beef
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« Reply #451 on: August 29, 2005, 04:15:14 pm »


Blue states founded before 1825, red states afterwards.

Correct. (admitted, not founded, though)
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Beef
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« Reply #452 on: August 29, 2005, 04:16:13 pm »


Yeah, that was pretty obvious.
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Beef
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« Reply #453 on: August 29, 2005, 04:17:44 pm »

Here's a curveball:

Image Link

Red: 274
Blue: 264
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nini2287
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« Reply #454 on: August 29, 2005, 04:26:16 pm »


Something about population densities?
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True Democrat
true democrat
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« Reply #455 on: August 29, 2005, 04:34:11 pm »

Image Link
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nini2287
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« Reply #456 on: August 29, 2005, 04:44:03 pm »


1992 map, w/Perot votes split evenly.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #457 on: August 29, 2005, 04:44:15 pm »


Warner/Bayh v McCain/Gordon Smith
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A18
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« Reply #458 on: August 29, 2005, 08:11:55 pm »

Image Link
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #459 on: August 29, 2005, 08:43:32 pm »


Janet Napolitano/Gene Taylor v. Norm Coleman/Gordon Smith
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A18
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« Reply #460 on: August 29, 2005, 08:44:48 pm »

That's the first county's results in each state (going in alphabetical order).
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Beef
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« Reply #461 on: August 29, 2005, 09:00:34 pm »


Yep.  The more dense, the more red.  Red is > 65 per mi^2, and blue is < 65 per mi^2.
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Beef
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« Reply #462 on: August 29, 2005, 09:01:57 pm »


Not bad... that's probably about how it would turn out.
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True Democrat
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« Reply #463 on: August 29, 2005, 09:05:25 pm »
« Edited: August 29, 2005, 09:08:21 pm by Senator True Independent »


Close.  It has to do with 1992 and Perot though.

I'll give you a hint.  The national popular vote for this scenario is:

Clinton: 53.04%
Bush: 46.18%

I can also give results per state and county.
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Beef
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« Reply #464 on: August 29, 2005, 09:41:16 pm »


Close.  It has to do with 1992 and Perot though.

I'll give you a hint.  The national popular vote for this scenario is:

Clinton: 53.04%
Bush: 46.18%

Clinton chooses Perot as his running mate? 

Perot endorses Clinton and drops out for good?
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True Democrat
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« Reply #465 on: August 29, 2005, 09:46:25 pm »


Close.  It has to do with 1992 and Perot though.

I'll give you a hint.  The national popular vote for this scenario is:

Clinton: 53.04%
Bush: 46.18%

Clinton chooses Perot as his running mate? 

Perot endorses Clinton and drops out for good?


It's a variant of the final result, so it's concrete.
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #466 on: August 29, 2005, 09:51:13 pm »

Perot drops out and all of his voters stay home?
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True Democrat
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« Reply #467 on: August 29, 2005, 09:53:22 pm »

Perot drops out and all of his voters stay home?

You basically have it.  It's the results without any of Perot's votes.  It surprised me how close it is with only a few states with over 60%.
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Beef
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« Reply #468 on: August 29, 2005, 09:57:38 pm »

Perot drops out and all of his voters stay home?

You basically have it.  It's the results without any of Perot's votes.  It surprised me how close it is with only a few states with over 60%.

Perot only managed 2nd place in Utah and Maine, so it shouldn't change all that much.

The Perot Factor was that he swung quite a few states to Clinton by splitting the conservative/libertarian vote and causing Bush to spend time and money in otherwise friendly territory.
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MaC
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« Reply #469 on: August 29, 2005, 10:15:50 pm »


Dukakis gains 2.5%, Bush loses 2.5%
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tweed
Miamiu1027
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« Reply #470 on: August 29, 2005, 10:18:52 pm »

^^^So that's potentially the result if Dukakis never rode the tank.
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A18
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« Reply #471 on: August 31, 2005, 08:15:28 am »

Image Link

Median income above national; median income below national

http://www.bcsalliance.com/median_incomes_by_state.html
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True Democrat
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« Reply #472 on: August 31, 2005, 09:39:53 am »

I doubt if anyone will get this (many bonus points if you do.  What causes this to happen (and yes this is a statistical trend, not made up):

Ignore Alaska, Hawaii, and DC

1960:

Image Link

1964:

Image Link

1968:

Image Link

1972:

Image Link

I'll start giving hints for every day that you guys don't get it.
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nini2287
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« Reply #473 on: August 31, 2005, 12:50:59 pm »

Is it continuing the trend started between the 1952 and 1956 elections?
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True Democrat
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« Reply #474 on: August 31, 2005, 12:54:35 pm »

Is it continuing the trend started between the 1952 and 1956 elections?

Wow, you get a lot of bonus points in my book.  Yeah, I took the 1956 Republican results in a state, and divided it by the 1952 result.  Then, I took the trend number and multiplied it by the 1956 results to get 1960, then again and again and again for each following year.  I only did this with the Republicans.  I just pretended that Democrats and Republicans were the only candidates, so if the Republicans didn't win it, the Democrats would.  That acoc**nts for the distortion in South Carolina and Mississippi (Republicans percent dropped in 1956 because of unpledged electors).
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