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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Both Sides™, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 833034 times)
Kitteh
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« Reply #3400 on: October 08, 2012, 06:41:39 pm »

Following up on my last post:



34.03 Wallace
32.17 Nixon
30.57 Humphrey

199 Wallace
183 Nixon
156 Humphrey

This is the minimum required for Wallace to win an EC plurality, using uniform national swing away from Nixon and Humphrey and to Wallace. Swing is -11.25 from both Humphrey and Nixon and +22.5 to Wallace.

Closest States:
Missouri- Wallace +0.27%
Ohio- Wallace +0.33%
Nevada- Nixon +0.46
Alaska- Wallace+0.54%
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #3401 on: October 17, 2012, 04:50:18 pm »

Go ahead, take a stab at it.

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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #3402 on: October 17, 2012, 08:00:28 pm »

Roosevelt v Landon v Long?
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NHI
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« Reply #3403 on: October 17, 2012, 08:04:55 pm »

2012:
Romney: 292 (51%)
Obama: 246 (47%)

2016:
Romney: 350 (54%)
O'Malley: 188 (44%)
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #3404 on: October 17, 2012, 08:59:03 pm »

Roosevelt v Landon v Long?

Yes sir.
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NHI
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« Reply #3405 on: October 17, 2012, 09:05:15 pm »

We Want Carter
Carter/Mondale: 327 (51%)
Ford/Dole: 211 (47%)

Carter Saves the Hostages
Carter: 274 (49%)
Reagan/Bush: 264 (48%)

A Republican Returns
Kemp/Crane: 368 (53%)
Mondale/Kennedy: 170 (45%)

The Man From Texas
Bentsen/Clinton: 272 (49.3%)
Kemp/Crane: 266 (49.2%)

One the Greatest Presidents
Bentsen/Clinton: 440 (56%)
Dole/Quayle: 98 (42%)

The Man From Hope
Clinton/Gore: 399 (54%)
Graham/Lugar

The Comeback Kid
Clinton/Gore: 300 (50%)
McCain/Kasich: 238 (48%)

The Closest Election
Gore/Kerry: 270 (47.9%)
Gregg/Ryan: 268 (49.4%)

And So It Ends
Giuliani/Palin: 278 (49.7%)
Gore/Kerry: 260 (48.2%)

Landslide Rudy
Giuliani/Palin: 500 (61%)
Dean/Gregoire: 38 (37%)
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #3406 on: October 17, 2012, 10:01:12 pm »

1968


Hubert Humphrey (Democratic) - 222 EV *
Nelson Rockefeller (Republican) - 239 EV
George Wallace (American Independent) - 77 EV

*Humphrey wins due to House vote, new amendment passed after election would declare popular vote victor president if electoral college inconclusive.

1972

Ronald Reagan (Republican) - 269 EV (48.4%)
Hubert Humphrey (Democratic) - 269 EV (48.1%)

1976

Ronald Reagan (Republican) - 391 EV
Edmund Muskie (Democratic) - 147 EV

1980

Ted Kennedy (Democratic) - 408 EV
Gerald Ford (Republican) - 130 EV

1984

Ted Kennedy (Democratic) - 456 EV
Jack Kemp (Republican) - 60 EV
John Anderson (Independent) - 22 EV

1988

Lloyd Bentsen (Democratic) - 399 EV
Bob Dole (Republican) - 139 EV

1992

Lloyd Bentsen (Democratic) - 294 EV
George H.W Bush (Republican) - 244 EV

1996

Pete Wilson (Republican) - 362 EV
Al Gore (Democratic) - 176 EV

2000

Pete Wilson (Republican) - 289 EV
Bill Clinton (Democratic) - 243 EV
Ron Dellums (Progressive) - 6 EV

2004

Tom Ridge (Republican) - 277 EV
Bill Clinton (Democratic) - 202 EV
Paul Wellstone (Progressive) - 59 EV

2008

Brian Schweitzer (Democratic) - 413 EV
Tom Ridge (Republican) - 125 EV
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gsmiro
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« Reply #3407 on: October 19, 2012, 02:02:38 pm »

A tie between the Democrats and Republicans.  Both gets 269 EV.  Then it is up to each of the electors to decide if any one is going to switch vote.  If that is still tied after the electoral college voted, then we go to the House of Representatives.  Interesting and potentially dangerous scenarios.
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NHI
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« Reply #3408 on: October 27, 2012, 08:31:08 am »

Romney/Ryan: 271 (49.2%)
Obama/Biden: 267 (49.0%
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You kip if you want to...
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« Reply #3409 on: October 27, 2012, 09:03:46 am »

Romney/Ryan: 271 (49.2%)
Obama/Biden: 267 (49.0%

Someone's optimistic.
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NHI
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« Reply #3410 on: October 27, 2012, 09:23:18 am »

Romney/Ryan: 271 (49.2%)
Obama/Biden: 267 (49.0%

Someone's optimistic.

More cautiously optimistic.
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NHI
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« Reply #3411 on: November 01, 2012, 02:47:53 pm »

2012:
Romney/Ryan: 329 (36.6%)
Obama/Biden: 122 (32.8%)
Bloomberg/Hagel: 87 (28.6%)

2016:
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Cath
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« Reply #3412 on: November 09, 2012, 12:15:34 am »



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NHI
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« Reply #3413 on: November 09, 2012, 08:26:21 am »

Clinton/Schweitzer: 312 (51%)
Ryan/Jindal: 226 (47%)

Rubio/Martinez: 283 (50%)
Schweitzer/Warren: 255 (48%)
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Knives
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« Reply #3414 on: November 09, 2012, 09:01:25 am »

Doubt Martinez would deliver New Mexico.
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dunn
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« Reply #3415 on: November 09, 2012, 11:42:56 am »


A 2.40 point shift grom Obama to Romney still gives the president a second term, even though he is way behind in the popular vote - a sign of how divided were the elections. 



Obama/byden 272 ev - 48.03%
Romney/Ryan 266 ev - 50.33%
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NHI
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« Reply #3416 on: November 13, 2012, 09:45:59 pm »

Huntsman/Rubio: 267 (44.4%)
Biden/Warner: 260 (43.8%)
Paul/Bachmann: 11 (10.3%)

Huntsman Elected President via the House, Rubio Elected Vice President via the Senate; as the GOP regains control in 2014.


Huntsman/Rubio: 487 (59.3%)
Warren/Klobuchar: 51 (39.2%)
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dspNY
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« Reply #3417 on: November 15, 2012, 02:12:18 pm »

I always wanted to do an Obama vs. Cain map

Obama/Biden 395 EV (55.4%)
Cain/Rand Paul 143 EV (43.1%)

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MrMittens
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« Reply #3418 on: November 15, 2012, 02:58:03 pm »
« Edited: November 15, 2012, 03:38:25 pm by MrMittens »

US Elections in British Politics

1979


Thatcher: Conservative: 381
Callaghan: Labour: 157

1983


Thatcher: Conservative: 509
Foot: Labour: 26
Jenkins: SDP-Liberal Alliance: 3

1987


Thatcher: Conservative: 495
Kinnock: Labour: 43

1992


Major: Conservative: 351
Kinnock: Labour: 187

1997



Blair: Labour: 354
Major: Conservative: 181
Ashdown: Liberal-Democrat: 3

2001


Blair: Labour: 340
Hague: Conservative: 195
Kennedy: Liberal-Democrat: 3

2005


Blair: Labour: 276
Howard: Conservative: 239
Kennedy: Liberal-Democrat: 23

2010


Cameron: Conservative: 308
Brown: Labour: 216
Clegg: Liberal-Democrat: 11
Lucas: Green: 3
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dspNY
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« Reply #3419 on: November 15, 2012, 09:06:40 pm »

Here are a few alternate history scenarios:

1968: Anna Chennault gets busted/exposed

Humphrey/Muskie 278 EV
Nixon/Agnew 183 EV
Wallace/LeMay 77 EV



1960: The dead people in Chicago don't vote, a rainstorm hits Hawaii, and Alabama frees their electors to vote for Byrd

Kennedy/Johnson 268 EV
Nixon/Lodge 250 EV
Byrd/Thurmond 19 EV

The House elects JFK


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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #3420 on: November 15, 2012, 09:26:24 pm »


this is a map with perot having 28% nationwide and 10 more points in every state( 5 points taken from both clinton and bush)
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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #3421 on: November 15, 2012, 09:43:16 pm »

2016:

Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine: 390
Bobby Jindal/Jeff Flake: 148



2020:

Brian Schweitzer/Cory Booker: 289
Jeb Bush/Susana Martinez: 249



2024:

Brian Schweitzer/Cory Booker: 470
Paul Ryan/Kristie Noem: 68

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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #3422 on: November 16, 2012, 09:34:03 pm »
« Edited: November 16, 2012, 09:35:57 pm by jerryarkansas »


Clinton   268   
 
Bush   52   
 
Perot   218
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NHI
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« Reply #3423 on: November 17, 2012, 12:14:36 pm »

Teddy Beats Taft:
Roosevelt: 404 (58%)
Wilson: 127 (41%)
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MrMittens
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« Reply #3424 on: November 17, 2012, 12:31:43 pm »
« Edited: November 17, 2012, 12:36:32 pm by MrMittens »

More US Elections in British Politics

1964


Wilson: Labour: 305
Douglas-Home: Conservative: 233

1966


Wilson: Labour: 396
Heath: Conservative: 142

1970


Heath: Conservative: 296
Wilson: Labour: 242

February 1974


Wilson: Labour: 300
Heath: Conservative: 231
Thorpe: Liberal: 7

October 1974


Wilson: Labour: 348
Heath: Conservative: 187
Thorpe: Liberal: 3
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