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December 08, 2019, 06:12:30 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Tegridy Farms, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 846217 times)
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #3800 on: August 08, 2013, 06:26:19 pm »



President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 269 electoral votes, 48.7% of the popular vote
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 269 electoral votes, 49.3% of the popular vote
Other 0 electoral votes, 2% of the popular vote

House vote:



Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 30
President Barack Obama (D-IL) 17
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM) 0
Abstention/No Vote 3

Senate vote:



Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 51
Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 49

*Blue means two votes for Ryan, green means one vote for each candidate, red means two votes for Biden.
*Republicans had flipped seats in MT and ND, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Angus King voted for Ryan, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Bernie Sanders voted for Biden.

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI)
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NHI
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« Reply #3801 on: August 08, 2013, 06:36:50 pm »



President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 269 electoral votes, 48.7% of the popular vote
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 269 electoral votes, 49.3% of the popular vote
Other 0 electoral votes, 2% of the popular vote

House vote:



Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA) 30
President Barack Obama (D-IL) 17
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM) 0
Abstention/No Vote 3

Senate vote:



Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE) 51
Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) 49

*Blue means two votes for Ryan, green means one vote for each candidate, red means two votes for Biden.
*Republicans had flipped seats in MT and ND, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Angus King voted for Ryan, Independent (caucusing with Democrats) Bernie Sanders voted for Biden.

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Fmr. Gov. Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI)

Yay! Romney wins.
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badgate
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« Reply #3802 on: August 08, 2013, 06:44:15 pm »



Yay! Romney wins. Republicans steal.
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Endy
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« Reply #3803 on: August 08, 2013, 06:52:13 pm »

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NHI
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« Reply #3804 on: August 08, 2013, 08:37:10 pm »

Kennedy/Muskie: 270 (42.9%)
Reagan/Rockefeller: 223 (41.5%)
Wallace/LeMay: 45 (14.6%)
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3805 on: August 08, 2013, 08:45:46 pm »


What exactly is being stolen?  Romney got more votes in this scenario.

Also, wouldn't Romney encourage the House Republicans in MI, WI, OH, PA and NJ to vote for Obama to avoid 2014 fallout?  He already has the magic 26 states without them.

I also can't see the AZ Dems sticking their necks out like that with no chance of being the deciding vote for Obama.
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badgate
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« Reply #3806 on: August 08, 2013, 11:09:24 pm »


What exactly is being stolen?  Romney got more votes in this scenario.


Sure, but did congressional Republicans?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #3807 on: August 10, 2013, 10:20:50 pm »

McCain vs Romney, in terms of raw votes:
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NHI
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« Reply #3808 on: August 11, 2013, 07:10:26 am »

Gore/Lieberman: 292 (49.38%)
Bush/Cheney: 246 (48.87%)

McCain/Specter: 329 (52.6%)
Gore/Lieberman: 209 (46.1%)

Clinton/Warner: 359 (53.6%)
McCain/Specter: 179 (44.8%)

Clinton/Warner: 436 (55.4%)
Perry/Santorum: 102 (41.6%)
Johnson/Gray: 0 (1.6%)
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #3809 on: August 11, 2013, 04:28:52 pm »

2016


Fmr. Gov. Jon Huntsman (R-UT)/Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL): 337
Vice Pres. Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA): 201

Beautiful!
Thanks!

1968

Gov. Nelson Rockefeller (R-NY)/Gov. Spiro Agnew (R-MD): 418
Vice Pres. Hubert Humphrey (D-MN)/Sen. Edmund S. Muskie (D-ME): 67
Fmr. Gov. George Wallace (I-AL)/Mr. Curtis LeMay (I-OH): 53

1972

Pres. Nelson Rockefeller (R-NY)/Vice Pres. Spiro Agnew (R-MD): 507
Sen. George McGovern (D-SD)/Mr. Sargent Shriver (D-MD): 31

1976

Sen. Howard Baker (R-TN)/Sen. Richard Schweiker (R-PA): 368
Fmr. Gov. Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Sen. Walter Mondale (D-MN): 170
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Goodwin
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« Reply #3810 on: August 12, 2013, 02:25:22 pm »

2012


Obama (D-IL) / Biden (D-DE) 382 (53.1%)
Cain (R-GA) / Ayotte (R-NH)156 (45.3%)
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NHI
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« Reply #3811 on: August 14, 2013, 06:50:01 pm »

Romney/Ryan: 295 (50.3%)
Obama/Biden: 243 (48.4%)
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PolitiJunkie
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« Reply #3812 on: August 15, 2013, 03:01:51 pm »

Romney/Ryan: 295 (50.3%)
Obama/Biden: 243 (48.4%)

LOL
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NHI
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« Reply #3813 on: August 21, 2013, 07:37:33 pm »

McCain/Bush: 284 (50.01%)
Gore/Harkin: 254 (45.91%)
Nader/LaDuke: 0 (2.74%)
Other: 1.34%

McCain/Bush: 387 (54.95%)
Dean/Biden: 151 (43.51%)
Other: 1.54%

Clinton/Bayh: 317 (52.77%)
Bush/Thune: (45.80%)
Other: 1.43%

Snowe/Huntsman: 300 (50.70%)
Clinton/Bayh: 238 (48.09%)
Other: 1.29%
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3814 on: August 22, 2013, 05:30:27 pm »
« Edited: August 22, 2013, 05:32:15 pm by Skill and Chance »

2016



Clinton/Warner 402 (55.8%)

Cruz/Paul 136 (42.9%)

2020



Clinton/Warner 347 (52.1%)

Capito/Hoeven 191 (46.4%)

2024



Warner/Hassan 272 (48.1%)

Cotton/Walker 266 (50.3%)

*Assume this is still an EV/PV split scenario after reapportionment*

2028



Cotton/Tim Scott 54.2%

Warner/Hassan 44.4%
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badgate
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« Reply #3815 on: August 23, 2013, 05:47:35 pm »

Now that Grimes has dropped out in my current timeline, I can post this map that I love.


2020



Senator Alison Lundergan Grimes / Frmr. Senator Joe Donnelly - 270
Frmr. Vice President Scott Walker / Senator Tim Scott - 268
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3816 on: August 23, 2013, 10:45:40 pm »

Now that Grimes has dropped out in my current timeline, I can post this map that I love.


2020



Senator Alison Lundergan Grimes / Frmr. Senator Joe Donnelly - 270
Frmr. Vice President Scott Walker / Senator Tim Scott - 268
That looks close to the most geographically compact winning map possible.  Replacing CA with some Midwestern states is about all you could do to make it smaller.
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badgate
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« Reply #3817 on: August 23, 2013, 11:11:30 pm »

I've always considered California as both southwest and the west coast (paired with oregon and washington). I guess you could swap Iowa with New Mexico. But to give up California, Grimes would need MO, IA, MI, WI, MN, ND, SD, and NE.
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Endy
Jack Enderman
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« Reply #3818 on: August 24, 2013, 08:01:30 am »

That looks close to the most geographically compact winning map possible.





*goes to the EVC and types up some random map*



Stripes are compact, are they not? Wink

(D: 300 R: 238 btw... Smiley )
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badgate
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« Reply #3819 on: August 24, 2013, 06:29:06 pm »

Lovely mapsmanship!
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3820 on: August 25, 2013, 01:44:18 pm »

Narrow R win, circa 2025:



Narrow D win, circa 2040:


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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #3821 on: August 25, 2013, 07:15:15 pm »

1948

Fmr. Gov. Harold E. Stassen (R-MN)/Gov. Earl Warren (R-CA): 325
Pres. Harry S Truman (D-MO)/Sen. Alben Barkley (D-KY): 168
Gov. Strom Thurmond (SRD-SC)/Gov. Fielding Wright (SRD-MS): 38

1952

Pres. Harold E. Stassen (R-MN)/Vice Pres. Earl Warren (R-CA): 462
Gov. Adlai Stevenson (D-IL)/Sen. John Sparkman (D-AL): 69

1956

Vice Pres. Earl Warren (R-CA)/Sen. Everett Dirksen (R-IL): 362
Fmr. Gov. Adlai Stevenson (D-IL)/Sen. Estes Kefauver (D-TN): 169

1960

Sen. Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX)/Sen. Hubert Humphrey (D-MN): 393
Pres. Earl Warren (R-CA)/Vice Pres. Everett Dirksen (R-IL): 144
Those look to be pretty accurate maps overall, although I doubt that Lyndon Johnson would have received 70% of the vote in West Virginia. While West Virginia mostly voted Democratic on the presidential level between 1932 and 2000, President Eisenhower won it by a comfortable margin when he was re-elected in 1956 and John F. Kennedy won it by a somewhat slim margin against Richard Nixon in 1960. That being said, Johnson would have probably only received 60% of the vote in West Virginia in 1960.
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NHI
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« Reply #3822 on: August 31, 2013, 09:35:20 am »

Rockefeller/Baker: 334 (43.4%)
Humphrey/Muskie: 161 (42.1%)
Wallace/LeMay: 53 (14.5%)
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #3823 on: August 31, 2013, 06:23:04 pm »

2008: Clinton/Bayh - 426 electoral votes. McCain/Palin - 112 electoral votes.

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badgate
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« Reply #3824 on: September 04, 2013, 07:37:59 pm »



271/267
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