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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Kutasoff Hedzoff, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here
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NHI
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« Reply #4700 on: August 12, 2015, 09:28:17 pm »
« edited: August 12, 2015, 09:33:35 pm by NHI »

√ John Edwards/John Kerry: 299 (50.8%)
George W. Bush/Richard Cheney: 239 (48.0%)

√ John McCain/Mitt Romney: 369 (54.1%)
John Kerry/Joe Biden: 169 (44.8%)

√ Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan: 312 (51.0%)
Hillary Clinton/Howard Dean: 226 (47.6%)

√ Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan: 272 (49.6%)
Mark Warner/Amy Klobuchar: 266 (49.2%)

√ Barack Obama/Tim Kaine: 293 (50.9%)
Paul Ryan/Charlie Crist: 245 (47.8%)

√ Barack Obama/Tim Kaine: 375 (54.9%)
Ted Cruz/Jon Huntsman: 163 (43.4%)
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rpryor03
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« Reply #4701 on: August 13, 2015, 10:16:05 am »



Clinton/Bayh: 340
McCain/Lieberman: 198



Paul/Ryan: 296
Clinton/Bayh: 242



Ryan/Heller: 269
Klobuchar/Patrick: 269



Ryan/Rubio: 297
Patrick/Heinrich: 241
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mencken
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« Reply #4702 on: August 13, 2015, 12:10:51 pm »
« Edited: August 13, 2015, 12:35:58 pm by mencken »



Hillary Clinton / Terry McAuliffe 50.6% 396 EV
Donald Trump / Herman Cain 42.6% 142 EV
Gary Johnson / Robert Sarvis 5.8% 0 EV
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Clark Kent
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« Reply #4703 on: August 13, 2015, 02:05:45 pm »

If Sanders wins the nomination:

Sanders vs. Every Republican Except Donald Trump:



Sanders vs. Donald Trump:

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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4704 on: August 13, 2015, 03:11:17 pm »



Clinton/Booker 270
Bush/Kasich 268



Ryan/Gillespie 305
Booker/Gillibrand 233
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NHI
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« Reply #4705 on: August 14, 2015, 06:06:43 am »

√ Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama: 346 (52.3%)
Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty: 192 (45.9%)

√ Chris Christie/Rob Portman: 299 (50.5%)
Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama: 239 (48.1%)

√ Chris Christie/Rob Portman: 270 (49.6%)
Martin O'Malley/Martin Heinrich: 268 (49.5%)

√ Barack Obama/Tim Kaine: 285 (50.1%)
Rob Portman/Marco Rubio: 253 (48.6%)
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mencken
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« Reply #4706 on: August 14, 2015, 11:09:36 am »
« Edited: August 14, 2015, 12:29:33 pm by mencken »



John McCain / Michael Steele 49.1% 276 EV
Hillary Clinton / Evan Bayh 48.7% 262 EV



Democrats 55 (+4)
Republicans 45 (-4)



Democrats 61 (+6)
Republicans 39 (-6)



John McCain / Michael Steele 48.9% 273 EV
Barack Obama* / Tim Kaine 48.8% 265 EV

*Nominated without substantive primary opposition



Democrats 57 (-4)
Republicans 43 (+4)



Democrats 58 (+1)
Republicans 42 (-1)

2016 Candidates
Vice-President Michael Steele
Former Governor Rick Perry
Governor Nikki Haley
Former Governor Mitch Daniels
Former Governor Mike Huckabee
Governor Bobby Jindal
Congressman Justin Amash
Former Governor George Pataki

Former Governor Tim Kaine
Senator Martha Coakley
Governor Andrew Cuomo
Governor Alex Sink
Senator Sherrod Brown
Senator Amy Klobuchar
Senator Russ Feingold
Senator Evan Bayh
Former Governor Brian Schweitzer
Former Governor Martin O'Malley
Former Governor Lincoln Chafee

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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #4707 on: August 20, 2015, 11:44:39 am »

Green is the states you lived in and yellow is the states you've travelled to?
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Hydera
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« Reply #4708 on: August 21, 2015, 12:22:10 pm »
« Edited: August 21, 2015, 12:53:23 pm by Hydera »

Imaginary Scenario for chinese elections.




Chinese Election of 2045 (First Democratic Election)


National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Progressive party+Social labor party of China): 57%   (Centre-left Bloc)

Democratic Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 20% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 15%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 8%


To the dismay of the hyped Center bloc, the Communist Party manages to win a large majority of Chinese voters despite talks of anger at now close to a century of political repression by the communist party. Most of their votes are from middle class citizens concerned who believe in the view that the Center bloc made up of Conservatives, nationalists, classical liberals to minority interests would tear the country apart. And the Far-left bloc who want a return to "true communism" and a policy of mass redistribution of wealth.

As Expected the Centre bloc wins a majority in Tibet, Nearby Qinghai, and Taiwan. With a growing base among-st wealthy residents in the Chinese cities and the south coast of china.

The Centre-left Bloc led by the Communist Party and its other Centre-left Allies are strong in the poorer mandarin speaking interior heartland but is facing opposition from the Far-Left in the very poor southern interior.



Purple is for the Uighur Movement an party for Uighur independence that won a plurality in Xinjiang.


Chinese Election of 2050


 






National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 44%   (Centre-left Bloc)

Democratic Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 25% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 19%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 12%



Although the communist party manages to win a strong plurality, they lose a majority. With the Far-left and the Center bloc gaining votes. Most of it attributed to the scandal ridden Centre-left bloc led by the communists.

Xinjiang's Uighur movement declines in popularity as the Centre Bloc promises to defend Uighur rights.

The Centre bloc wins a plurality in the provinces in South China.

the Far-left gains again in the interior South of China with its message of wealth redistribution and investment for the poorer interior provinces



Chinese Election of 2055


 




National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 32% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 30%   (Centre-left Bloc)

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 24%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 14%


The Centre bloc led by the Chinese Nationalist Party leds an electoral breakthrough after a electoral decline for the Centre-left by promising to deport unregistered foreigners. A clean image for China by punishing corruption and reviving economic growth after a downward trend in economic growth. and punishing the growing drug trade in china. And promising to not elimaniate the welfare support system. A large shift from its earlier liberal stances in the prior elections.

The split in the left allows the Centre bloc to win pluralities of provinces in South-West China.

Although a lot of its sucess has to do with the Far-Left bloc taking holdouts of further to left voters from the centre-left bloc and breaking out in the South interior provinces, finally winning a plurality in those regions.

Hunan the home province of Mao Zedong votes for the Far-left bloc by a majority despite a hopeless campaign and capitalizing Hunan's role as the birthplace of Mao.


Chinese Election of 2060


 




National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 36% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


United China(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 27%   (Centre-left Bloc)

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 23%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 17%


The Centre bloc gains after a revival in economic growth along with the First chinese settlement in Mars taking pride in the fact that the Chinese mission to mars is by one country instead of the west which had to unite to create successful settlement in Mars. and the Centre-left and Far-Left blocs decline to 50%.  


Chinese Referendum of 2062




Upset with the victories by the Centre bloc. A referendum to create a run-off system is voted and approved by a large majority of Chinese voters. With opposition in the minority provinces and wealthy residents in Guangdong and Shanghai.





Chinese Election of 2065


 







United China(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China):    (Centre-left Bloc)+ People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 56%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 44% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


As with most parties that rule over two terms. Electoral enthusiasm declines. And the United China bloc with support of the Far-left, wins in a runoff.  The United China bloc promises policies to promote welfare for the poorest citizens as well as adopting the Centre bloc's policies of deporting Foreigners and goes further by promising that people without long roots in china will have citizenship revoked in order to allow deportations.






Explaining Hypothetical voting patterns.





Coastal Chinese Dialect Regions = More support for Center bloc

Interior Chinese Diaelct Regions = No greater support since these regions are poorer and distrust of the coastal provincial voters.

The Centre-left bloc is hurt by accusations of the communist and left's history of supporting mandarin assimilation despite the chinese dialects already in process of dying out.




Ethnic Minorities = More support for the center bloc due to distrust of the Communist party and the Far-left. Despite poverty.






More wealth = more support for the Center Bloc with exceptions for the minority groups which support the center bloc due to minority politics instead of wealth differences.
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Hydera
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« Reply #4709 on: August 21, 2015, 04:07:50 pm »




Chinese election 2065 county breakdown.
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Higgs
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« Reply #4710 on: August 21, 2015, 04:17:51 pm »
« Edited: August 21, 2015, 04:19:27 pm by Higgs »



Marco Rubio/Brian Sandoval - 338 EV 52.2%
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - 200 EV 46.6%
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Hydera
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« Reply #4711 on: August 21, 2015, 04:34:54 pm »



Marco Rubio/Brian Sandoval - 338 EV 52.2%
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - 200 EV 46.6%


Wisconsin was won by very small margins in 2000 and 2004 of a few thousand votes. Its not impossible that butthur..... i mean.. angry bernie supporters won't vote at all and the rest vote Green in protest. Allowing the Republicans to win that state.
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Higgs
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« Reply #4712 on: August 21, 2015, 04:43:57 pm »



Marco Rubio/Brian Sandoval - 338 EV 52.2%
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - 200 EV 46.6%


Wisconsin was won by very small margins in 2000 and 2004 of a few thousand votes. Its not impossible that butthur..... i mean.. angry bernie supporters won't vote at all and the rest vote Green in protest. Allowing the Republicans to win that state.

True, true. I definitely think Hillary will drive down turnout that's for sure
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NHI
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« Reply #4713 on: August 22, 2015, 09:34:16 am »

John Kasich/Susanna Martinez: 326 (52.5%)
[Hillary Clinton/Peter Shumlin: 212 (46.9%)
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Hydera
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« Reply #4714 on: August 22, 2015, 11:08:26 am »
« Edited: August 22, 2015, 02:48:37 pm by Hydera »




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2050




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincanal Election 2054(Early election by one year)




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2059



Centre-Right Bloc elected due to technicality after Far-left refuses to endorse the Centre-left Bloc Led by the Communist Party.

Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2061 (Snap election after Centre-left and Far-left win a no-Confidence vote)



Repeated attempts to force new snap elections fail after independents pledge to abstain.

Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2066



Centre-right Bloc wins Majority.

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NHI
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« Reply #4715 on: August 22, 2015, 05:00:28 pm »

Joe Biden/Kirsten Gillibrand: 290 (50%)
Jeb Bush/Bill Haslam: 248 (48%)
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jojoju1998
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« Reply #4716 on: August 22, 2015, 05:08:39 pm »

2008 : Obama/Wesley Clark vs. Cheney/Romney vs. Jeb Bush/Susan Collins

Can anyone make this random map for me ? I don't know how to make one......
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NHI
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« Reply #4717 on: August 22, 2015, 05:17:46 pm »

2008 : Obama/Wesley Clark vs. Cheney/Romney vs. Jeb Bush/Susan Collins

Can anyone make this random map for me ? I don't know how to make one......


Obama: 434 (57.4%)
Cheney: 104 (41.5%)


Obama: 393 (56.9%)
Bush: 145 (41.8%)
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jojoju1998
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« Reply #4718 on: August 22, 2015, 05:26:34 pm »

2008 : Obama/Wesley Clark vs. Cheney/Romney vs. Jeb Bush/Susan Collins

Can anyone make this random map for me ? I don't know how to make one......


Obama: 434 (57.4%)
Cheney: 104 (41.5%)


Obama: 393 (56.9%)
Bush: 145 (41.8%)
I need to know how to make a map..... how do I ?
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Leinad
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« Reply #4719 on: August 22, 2015, 06:03:02 pm »

I need to know how to make a map..... how do I ?

Here: https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

Just select the winner of each state, hit "update map and EV totals," and then "show map link." At that point you just copy and paste what's in there.

(Also, you don't need to quote everything Smiley)
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NHI
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« Reply #4720 on: August 23, 2015, 10:29:11 am »

√ John Kasich/Marco Rubio: 270 (49.6%)
Joseph Biden/Elizabeth Warren: 268 (49.1%)

√ Elizabeth Warren/Cory Booker: 285 (50.2%)
John Kasich/Marco Rubio: 253 (48.5%)

√ Elizabeth Warren/Cory Booker: 373 (53.2%)
Ted Cruz/Rand Paul: 165 (45.3%)
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #4721 on: August 26, 2015, 12:40:48 pm »


Fmr. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Fmr. Gov. Lincoln Chafee (D-RI): 406 EVs (56% PV)
Mr. Donald Trump (R-NY)/Fmr. Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN): 132 EVs (41% PV)
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NHI
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« Reply #4722 on: August 26, 2015, 06:17:42 pm »

The Presidency of William Jefferson Clinton

2000: Clinton vs. Bush: Bill's Third Term
√ Bill Clinton/Bill Bradley: 314 (50.0%)
George W. Bush/Dick Cheney: 224 (47.3%)
Other: 0 (2.7%)

Clinton vs. Owens: No Contest for Clinton
√ Bill Clinton/Bill Bradley: 357 (55.5%)
Bill Owens/George Allen: 181 (43.6%)
Other: 0 (0.9%)

Giuliani vs. Bradley: Republican Breakthrough
√ Rudy Giuliani/Sam Brownback: 285 (50.9%)
Bill Bradley/John Edwards: 253 (48.0%)
Other: 0 (1.1%)

Clinton vs. Giuliani: Fractured Republicans Allows Bill to Return
√ Bill Clinton/Amy Klobuchar: 443 (50.8%)
Rudy Giuliani/Sam Brownback: 64 (32.4%)
Jim DeMint/Allan West: 31 (15.9%)
Other: 0 (0.9%)

Presidents of the United States:
42. William Jefferson Clinton: 1993-2009
43. Rudolph Giuliani: 2009-2013
44. William Jefferson Clinton: 2013-2017
45. Amy Klobuchar: 2017 -
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bagelman
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« Reply #4723 on: August 27, 2015, 01:40:02 am »

Finally I can post maps, the primary reason I joined this forum.



Can anyone guess the significance of this map?

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Hydera
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« Reply #4724 on: August 27, 2015, 09:24:49 am »

Finally I can post maps, the primary reason I joined this forum.



Can anyone guess the significance of this map?



Blue = Jeb Bush

Red = Scott Walker

Green = Donald trump
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