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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 989486 times)
Hydera
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« on: June 10, 2015, 06:26:38 PM »


Bernie sanders vs Rand Paul?
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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2015, 05:50:23 PM »
« Edited: August 02, 2015, 11:50:33 AM by Hydera »




Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Julian Castro(D-TX) 288 EV's -  37%

Scott Walker (R-WI)/ Jeb Bush (R-FL) 250 EV's - 34%

Donald Trump (R-NY)/ Ben Carson(R-MY) 0 EV's - 21%

Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/ Alan Grayson(D-FL) 0 EV's - 7%



German election 2013






German election 2013 (Rot-rot-grune vs Rechts)




Angela Merkel - Christan Democratic Party of Germany 53% - 303 EV's

Peer Steinbrück - Social Democratic Party of Germany 47% - 235 EV's


Australia Election 2013



Tony Abbott - Liberal Party of Australia -  53.5% 335 EV's

Kevin Rudd - Labor Party of Australia - 46.5% 203 EV's



Australia election 2010




Julia Gillard - Labor Party of Australia - 50.12% 275  EV's

Tony Abbott - Liberal Party of Australia -  49.88% 263 EV's


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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #2 on: August 21, 2015, 12:22:10 PM »
« Edited: August 21, 2015, 12:53:23 PM by Hydera »

Imaginary Scenario for chinese elections.




Chinese Election of 2045 (First Democratic Election)


National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Progressive party+Social labor party of China): 57%   (Centre-left Bloc)

Democratic Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 20% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 15%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 8%


To the dismay of the hyped Center bloc, the Communist Party manages to win a large majority of Chinese voters despite talks of anger at now close to a century of political repression by the communist party. Most of their votes are from middle class citizens concerned who believe in the view that the Center bloc made up of Conservatives, nationalists, classical liberals to minority interests would tear the country apart. And the Far-left bloc who want a return to "true communism" and a policy of mass redistribution of wealth.

As Expected the Centre bloc wins a majority in Tibet, Nearby Qinghai, and Taiwan. With a growing base among-st wealthy residents in the Chinese cities and the south coast of china.

The Centre-left Bloc led by the Communist Party and its other Centre-left Allies are strong in the poorer mandarin speaking interior heartland but is facing opposition from the Far-Left in the very poor southern interior.



Purple is for the Uighur Movement an party for Uighur independence that won a plurality in Xinjiang.


Chinese Election of 2050


 






National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 44%   (Centre-left Bloc)

Democratic Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 25% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 19%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 12%



Although the communist party manages to win a strong plurality, they lose a majority. With the Far-left and the Center bloc gaining votes. Most of it attributed to the scandal ridden Centre-left bloc led by the communists.

Xinjiang's Uighur movement declines in popularity as the Centre Bloc promises to defend Uighur rights.

The Centre bloc wins a plurality in the provinces in South China.

the Far-left gains again in the interior South of China with its message of wealth redistribution and investment for the poorer interior provinces



Chinese Election of 2055


 




National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 32% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


National Unity Front(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 30%   (Centre-left Bloc)

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 24%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 14%


The Centre bloc led by the Chinese Nationalist Party leds an electoral breakthrough after a electoral decline for the Centre-left by promising to deport unregistered foreigners. A clean image for China by punishing corruption and reviving economic growth after a downward trend in economic growth. and punishing the growing drug trade in china. And promising to not elimaniate the welfare support system. A large shift from its earlier liberal stances in the prior elections.

The split in the left allows the Centre bloc to win pluralities of provinces in South-West China.

Although a lot of its sucess has to do with the Far-Left bloc taking holdouts of further to left voters from the centre-left bloc and breaking out in the South interior provinces, finally winning a plurality in those regions.

Hunan the home province of Mao Zedong votes for the Far-left bloc by a majority despite a hopeless campaign and capitalizing Hunan's role as the birthplace of Mao.


Chinese Election of 2060


 




National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 36% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


United China(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China): 27%   (Centre-left Bloc)

People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 23%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

Smaller+unaffiliated parties: 17%


The Centre bloc gains after a revival in economic growth along with the First chinese settlement in Mars taking pride in the fact that the Chinese mission to mars is by one country instead of the west which had to unite to create successful settlement in Mars. and the Centre-left and Far-Left blocs decline to 50%.  


Chinese Referendum of 2062




Upset with the victories by the Centre bloc. A referendum to create a run-off system is voted and approved by a large majority of Chinese voters. With opposition in the minority provinces and wealthy residents in Guangdong and Shanghai.





Chinese Election of 2065


 







United China(Chinese Communist Party+Social Democratic Party of China+People's Unity Party+Worker's Party of China+Social labor party of China):    (Centre-left Bloc)+ People's Party Alliance(Socialist Worker's Party+Equality Party+Social left Party+Labor Communist Party+Socialist People's Alliance+Peasant Labor Party of China): 56%  (Far-left+Communist revival  Bloc)

National Movement(Chinese Nationalist Party+Citizen's coalition+Democrat Party+Humanist Party+Citizen's party+Progress Party+Progressive Party+Liberal Democratic Alliance+Democracy Front+People's Coalition+Republic Party): 44% (Center+Center-Right+Right Bloc):


As with most parties that rule over two terms. Electoral enthusiasm declines. And the United China bloc with support of the Far-left, wins in a runoff.  The United China bloc promises policies to promote welfare for the poorest citizens as well as adopting the Centre bloc's policies of deporting Foreigners and goes further by promising that people without long roots in china will have citizenship revoked in order to allow deportations.






Explaining Hypothetical voting patterns.





Coastal Chinese Dialect Regions = More support for Center bloc

Interior Chinese Diaelct Regions = No greater support since these regions are poorer and distrust of the coastal provincial voters.

The Centre-left bloc is hurt by accusations of the communist and left's history of supporting mandarin assimilation despite the chinese dialects already in process of dying out.




Ethnic Minorities = More support for the center bloc due to distrust of the Communist party and the Far-left. Despite poverty.






More wealth = more support for the Center Bloc with exceptions for the minority groups which support the center bloc due to minority politics instead of wealth differences.
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Hydera
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #3 on: August 21, 2015, 04:07:50 PM »




Chinese election 2065 county breakdown.
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Hydera
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #4 on: August 21, 2015, 04:34:54 PM »



Marco Rubio/Brian Sandoval - 338 EV 52.2%
Hillary Clinton/Julian Castro - 200 EV 46.6%


Wisconsin was won by very small margins in 2000 and 2004 of a few thousand votes. Its not impossible that butthur..... i mean.. angry bernie supporters won't vote at all and the rest vote Green in protest. Allowing the Republicans to win that state.
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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #5 on: August 22, 2015, 11:08:26 AM »
« Edited: August 22, 2015, 02:48:37 PM by Hydera »




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2050




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincanal Election 2054(Early election by one year)




Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2059



Centre-Right Bloc elected due to technicality after Far-left refuses to endorse the Centre-left Bloc Led by the Communist Party.

Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2061 (Snap election after Centre-left and Far-left win a no-Confidence vote)



Repeated attempts to force new snap elections fail after independents pledge to abstain.

Jiangsu Parliamentary Provincial Election 2066



Centre-right Bloc wins Majority.

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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #6 on: August 27, 2015, 09:24:49 AM »

Finally I can post maps, the primary reason I joined this forum.



Can anyone guess the significance of this map?



Blue = Jeb Bush

Red = Scott Walker

Green = Donald trump
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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #7 on: September 19, 2015, 02:04:28 PM »
« Edited: September 19, 2015, 04:19:28 PM by Hydera »




Senator Steven Armstrong R-CO  57%

Senator Bernie Sanders I-VT/D  36%





Obama's Map had the Recession happened in 2007 and bottomed out in 2008 instead of 2008/2009.

Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL)/ Sen. Joe Biden(D-DL): 463 EV's  62%

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/ Gov. Sarah Palin(R-AK): 75 EV's  34%




With the alternative scenario but with Hillary. Hillary does a little worse with liberal voters, leading to not 60% that obama got in the pacific coast and northern states but performs better with the interior states and barely loses a few.

Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/ Sen. Barack Obama(D-IL): 513 EV's  64%

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/ Gov. Sarah Palin(R-AK): 75 EV's  31%
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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2016, 12:58:17 PM »
« Edited: February 19, 2016, 05:44:18 PM by ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°) »

Taiwan Election 2008

Ma Ying Jeou (R-Taipei(New York)) : 58%  466 EVs

Frank Hsieh (D-Kaohsiung(Florida)): 41% 72 EVs



Taiwan 2012 election

Tsai Ing-Wen(D-Taipei) : 56% 405 EVs

Eric Chu (R-New Taipei(New Jersey) 31% 133 EVs

James Soong (I-Taipei) 13% 0 EVs

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Hydera
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Posts: 1,545


« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2016, 12:03:35 AM »

You just reminded me.



What 1996 should of looked like, also note the complete X shaped map of the Eastern Seaboard states.
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