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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 983764 times)
Leinad
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -7.91

« on: July 10, 2015, 12:08:27 AM »

2016 (Unlikely)



Rand Paul/Cory Booker (Alliance for Not Being a Clinton or a Bush) 275 (38.9%)
Jeb Bush/Rick Perry (Republican) 149 (30.2%)
Hillary Clinton/Jim Webb (Democratic) 114 (30.1%)
Others 0 (0.8%)

Most of America was upset that the best the party establishments could nominate is another Bush and another Clinton, and they were upset further by their ill-advised VP picks. The fiscally conservative-to-moderate, socially liberal-to-moderate Paul/Booker ticket, focused on criminal justice reform among other issues, took much of the black vote from the Democrats, much of the small-government vote from the Republicans, and much of the vote that really didn't want another Bush or Clinton in the White House.
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Leinad
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -7.91

« Reply #1 on: July 20, 2015, 09:25:34 AM »

The Trump Card

If the Donald runs as a third party candidate and gets about 15% of the vote, mostly from the Republicans. Hillary and Jeb are the nominees in this scenario.



Clinton/Castro (D) 47.5%, 384 EVs
Bush/Rubio (R) 35.1%, 154 EVs
Trump/Himself (I) 14.8%, 0 EVs
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Leinad
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -7.91

« Reply #2 on: July 20, 2015, 09:53:30 AM »
« Edited: July 20, 2015, 09:57:21 AM by Leinad »

Tie-Fighters

Presuming Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada, Wisconsin, and North Carolina as the most plausible swing states, and assuming that the Democrats and Republicans will each split the other states as expected, these are plausible 269-269 electoral ties:





What if the Democrats get both Virginia and Ohio?



What if the Democrats get Virginia, Ohio, and Florida?



Yes, I didn't include Minnesota as "plausible," and giving the Democrats NE-1 to make it 269-269 is silly, but anything other than a Republican loss if they lose VA, FL, and OH is virtually impossible.

What if the Republicans get Virginia, Ohio, and Florida?



Does anyone else have any other plausible/interesting 269-269 draw maps?
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Leinad
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -7.91

« Reply #3 on: August 22, 2015, 06:03:02 PM »

I need to know how to make a map..... how do I ?

Here: https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

Just select the winner of each state, hit "update map and EV totals," and then "show map link." At that point you just copy and paste what's in there.

(Also, you don't need to quote everything Smiley)
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