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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 987752 times)
Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« on: November 11, 2015, 04:32:44 PM »
« edited: November 11, 2015, 04:42:13 PM by 1184AZ »



Governor  Brian Mulroney from Pennsylvania (R)-535 EV 60%
Former Senator John Turner from New York (D)-3EV 25%
Ed Broadbent Rep from Massachusetts Progressive-15%

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1988


President  Brian Mulroney from Pennsylvania (R)-418EV 53%
Former Senator John Turner from New York (D)-67EV 27%
Ed Broadbent Rep from Massachusetts Progressive-47EV 20%   


1993


Rep from New York-Jean Chretien (D)-375 EV
Rep from Alabama  Lucien Bouchard - Bloc South 86 EV
North Dakota Rep-Preston Manning- Reform49 Ev
Hawaii Senator Audrey McLaughlin, Progressive 22 EV
Washington Governor Kim Campbell (R) 6EV 

1997


President Jean Chretien-New York (D)-360 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 76 EV
North Dakota Rep-Preston Manning- Reform 64 Ev
Vermont Senator Alexa McDonough Progressive 25 EV
NH Senator Jean Charest (R) 13 EV 
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2015, 04:41:21 PM »
« Edited: November 11, 2015, 04:49:43 PM by 1184AZ »

2000






President Jean Chretien-New York (D)-362 EV
Idaho Governor Stockwell Day    - Reform 75Ev
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 62 Ev
Vermont Senator Alexa McDonough Progressive 32  EV
Former President Joe Clark from Texas  (R)   7 EV  



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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2015, 07:36:24 PM »

2004


VIce President (D) Paul Martin-Maryland 252 EV
Stephen Harper Representative for Texas  Conservative- 134 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 92 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-60 EV



2008 Election

Stephen Harper Representative for Texas  Conservative- 218 EV
President- Maryland (D) Paul Martin 176 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-74 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 70 EV
 
2012


President Stephen Harper Texas  Conservative- 320 EV
Michael Ignatieff -NYC Businessman 38 EV
Jack Layton NYC Mayor Progressive-165 EV
Rep from Texas Gilles Duceppe - Bloc South 15 EV
 
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #3 on: December 03, 2015, 08:36:08 PM »

Can you guess what Scenarios I meant by each map. I will list a few possible scenario please   choose 1 for each map, they may be used only once and not all possible Scenario will be used. If you want, you may name your own possible scenario for each map.

 Bush vs Clinton, Kasich vs Saunders (Bad Economy), Trump vs Clinton vs Webb(I), Carson vs Clinton,   Trump vs Clinton, Fiorina vs Clinton, Rubio Vs Clinton (Bad Economy),   Rubio vs Clinton vs Trum (I), Kasich vs Clinton vs Cruz (I), Trump Vs Saunders.


 
1.


Democrat 250
GOP 288



401 Democrat
137 GOP



392 GOP
146 Democrat






437 Democrat
101 GOP

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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2016, 01:08:42 AM »

2000

Liberal 359
Reform 114
Southern Bloc 51
PC 8
NDP 6

2004

Liberal 252
Conservative 184
Southern Bloc 79
NDP 23

2006

Conservative 232
Liberal 204
Southern Bloc 68
NDP 34

2008

Conservative 243
Liberal 183
Southern Bloc 68
NDP 44

2011

Conservative 291
NDP 200
Liberal 32
Southern Bloc 15

2015

Liberal 308
Conservative 159
NDP 48
Southern Bloc 23

Why would Oregon vote Reform in 2000
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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #5 on: April 09, 2016, 08:06:51 PM »

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Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,735


Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41

« Reply #6 on: April 09, 2016, 08:57:59 PM »
« Edited: April 09, 2016, 09:43:27 PM by Pacific Councilor 1184AZ »

Past Elections with today's Demographics
(I used 538s Handy swing simulator http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-swing-the-election/and past exit polls for this )



1988

Michael Dukakis /Lloyd Bentsen 332 EV 50.8%
George H.W. Bush /Dan Quayle 206 EV 47.5%


1984

Ronald Reagan /George H.W. Bush 358EV 53%
Walter Mondale /Geraldine Ferraro 180EV 45.3%

1980

Jimmy Carter /Walter Mondale 303 EV 50.9%
Ronald Reagan /George H.W. Bush 235 EV 47.3%

1976

Jimmy Carter /Walter Mondale 439EV 57.1%
Gerald Ford /Bob Dole 99 EV 41.1%
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