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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 992574 times)
LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« on: January 16, 2016, 09:35:33 AM »

Massive Perot swing



President-Elect Bill Clinton: 183 EV
Ross Perot: 255 EV
George HW Bush: 100 EV
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2016, 08:38:15 AM »


Former Governor George Pataki (R-NY)/Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE) - 50.5%, 306 EVs
President John Edwards (D-NC)/Vice President Max Cleland (D-GE) - 47.9%, 232 EVs

When neither candidate wins their home state.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2016, 04:11:52 PM »
« Edited: February 03, 2016, 04:13:42 PM by LongLiveRock - Bernie '16! »

1840:


Democrats: Martin Van Buren/Richard Johnson
Whig: William Henry Harrison/John Tyler
Northern Whig: Daniel Webster/Oliver H Smith

Things progress as in OTL: Harrison dies, Tyler is appointed but becomes unpopular with Whigs all around.

1844



Democrats: James Polk/George Dallas - 184 EVs
Northern Whig/Liberty: Theodore Freylinghuysen/Samuel Phelps - 76 EVs
Whig: Henry Clay/John Calhoun - 15 EVs

The Whig party fractures fully into the Liberty (Northern Whig) and Loyalist (Whig) parties. The presidency of Polk is a time of resurgence - except for Polk, who retires.

1848:



Democrats/Free Soil (Coalition): Martin Van Buren/William Butler - 112 EVs
Liberty: Abbott Lawrence/Millard Fillmore - 153 EVs
Loyalist: Zachary Taylor/Andrew Stewart - 25 EVs

I'll continue this later.

List of presidents:
William Henry Harrison (1841-1841)
John Tyler (1841-1845)
James Polk (1845-1849)
Abbott Lawrence (1849-???)

List of VPs
John Tyler (1841-1841)
Winfield Scott (1841-1842) -elected to appease the southern part of the party
Theodore Freylinghuysen (1842-1845) -appointed as an act of rebellion: Freylinghuysen was a Liberty party member, and while Tyler remained an independent, it was clear where his heart was.
George Dallas (1845-1849)
Andrew Stewart (1849-???)
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2016, 09:00:59 AM »

The Presidency of Abbott Lawrence: A Continuation

President Lawrence has pushed an anti-slavery agenda, and many in the south are rebelling and rioting. The Democrats, now the main opposition to the Liberty Party, are careful to oppose this. Many claim that Lawrence is "toast" in the next election, but he maintains that he can win.

1852



Democrat: Franklin Pierce/Sam Houston - 109 EVs
Liberty: Abbott Lawrence/Millard Fillmore - 153 EVs
Loyalist: Edward Bates/William Graham - 34 EVs

1856
Vice president Fillmore obtains the Liberty nomination, while William Bates does the same for the Democrats. The Loyalist, hoping to get more recognition, nominate a Californian named John Fremont.



Democrat: William O. Butler/Stephen Douglas 152 EVs
Liberty: Millard Fillmore/Rufus Choate 131 EVs
Loyalist: John Fremont/William Graham 4 EVs
(Faithless Electors): Sterling Price/(unknown) 9 EVs

1860

But that was the last time the Loyalists would contest an election. The party folded, with most Loyalists joining the Democratic Party. The presidency of General William Butler was not a good one,  and the "incompetent" Butler was almost forced to resign. VP Douglas, in disagreement and embarrassment, did resign. He was replaced by John Breckinridge. With the nation in a tailspin, the Liberty Party turned to Illinois Senator Abraham Lincoln. (Note: the libertys are now blue)

Democrats: William Butler/John Breckinridge 115 EVs
Liberty: Abraham Lincoln/Hannibal Hamlin 188 EVs



Lincoln's proud anti-slavery policies, much harsher than those of Lawrence, angered the South. By the time of the 1864 election, many states had seceded. What will happen in the Civil War? Find out when I'm motivated enough to post this again!

List of presidents:
William Henry Harrison (1841-1841)
John Tyler (1841-1845)
James Polk (1845-1849)
Abbott Lawrence (1849-1857)
William Butler (1857-1861)
Abraham Lincoln (1861-???)

List of VPs
John Tyler (1841-1841)
Winfield Scott (1841-1842)
Theodore Freylinghuysen(1842-1845).
George Dallas (1845-1849)
Millard Fillmore (1849-1857)
Stephen Douglas (1857-1858)
John Breckinridge (1858-1861)
Hannibal Hamlin (1861-???)
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #4 on: April 09, 2016, 04:43:54 PM »

Based on some silly scenario I found on another forum.



Something about New Yorkers and Chicagoans moving to Florida and California?

JBE vs. Generic Republican?
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2016, 08:21:21 AM »
« Edited: April 17, 2016, 08:27:08 AM by LongLiveRock »

2004: Howard Dean vs. George W Bush
"Nebraska Matters"


Sen. Howard Dean (D-VT)/Sen. Tom Daschle (D-SD) 270 EVs, 49.2%
Pres. George W Bush (R-TX)/VP Dick Cheney (R-WY) 268 EVs, 48.6%

2008: Howard Dean vs. John McCain



Pres. Howard Dean (D-VT)/VP Tom Daschle (D-SD) 289 EVs, 50.3%
Sen. John McCain (R-AZ)/Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR) 249 EVs, 48.8%

2012: Bernie Sanders vs. Mike Huckabee vs. Michael Bloomberg



Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT)/Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) 324 EVs, 46.2%
Gov. Mike Huckabee (R-AR)/Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) 214 EVs, 42.7%
Mayor Michael Bloomberg (I-NY)/Gov. John Huntsman (R-UT) 0 EVs, 10.6%

2016: Barack Obama vs. John Kasich



VP Barack Obama (D-IL)/Gov. Brian Schweitzer (D-MT) 218 EVs, 46.2%
Gov. John Kasich (R-OH)/Gov. Bobby Jindal (R-LA) 320 EVs, 53%

A weird thought experiment leading to a crazy geographic shift and presidents Sanders and Kasich

2020 race ratings: (Kasich vs. random Dem)



261-236
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #6 on: June 15, 2016, 04:57:00 PM »


Clinton and Trump (26)     Clinton only (4)    Trump only (11)     Neither (11)

* Republican primary/caucus occurred after Trump became the presumptive nominee
^ No Republican primary/caucus

Texas didn't vote for Trump...
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #7 on: June 19, 2016, 07:04:47 PM »



Decided to make a random map of a potential election match up of two political parties. the green colored party can be center to center-left and the blue can be the center to center-right party.

You guys can try and figure out what coalitions of voters supported each party if you want.

What're those orange counties in Virginia? Tongue
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2016, 12:14:46 PM »



Joe Biden/Jon Huntsman 486 EVs/69.5%
David Duke/Sarah Palin 52 EVs/29.1%

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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2016, 08:55:08 AM »

Let's try this with the original purpose of the thread...

This one isn't very hard.

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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2016, 10:29:00 AM »

Wilson 1912 states based on how often they voted Democratic 1896-1908?
Very close. It does have to do with 1912, and some or all of the 1896-1908 elections.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #11 on: September 10, 2016, 04:47:10 PM »

1908 vs. 1996

(Because of significant third-party totals, if both won the state, whoever's margin, not vote share, was highest wins the state)



Bill Clinton/Al Gore 296 EVs
William Taft/James Sherman 216 EVs
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2016, 02:40:47 PM »


Ann Richards vs. Slade Gorton?
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #13 on: September 23, 2016, 09:39:46 PM »



Tried to get MA as polarized as I could... Blue is 55-44-2 Obama-Romney-Other (2008 results), green is 71(!)-28-2.



Same with NY- blue is almost tied (51-48-1), while green is 76-22-1.

Does this go in a different thread?

Not sure that this is the right place (TimTurner's "DRA stuff" thread might be better) but that's super cool. Your maps are great, dude.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2016, 03:04:38 PM »

A hypothetical election between Libertarian and Authoritarian parties. Note: the tickets are placeholders and I didn't even attempt to do home-state/home-region effects.



Evan Bayh (A-IN)/Dean Heller (A-NV) 271 EVs
Justin Amash (L-MI)/Kirsten Gillibrand (L-NY) 267 EVs

Battleground Map:


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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2016, 05:56:48 PM »

Based on current results:

Clinton + Johnson vs. Trump + Others



(PA and FL are both 50.01% to 49.99%)

Trump + Johnson vs. Clinton + Others



(UT is 50.01% to 49.99%)
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #16 on: November 16, 2016, 09:21:45 PM »

1888: CO holds a popular vote



Sam Tilden 187 EVs, 50.9%
Rutherford Hayes 182 EVs, 47.7%

Some people in the Tilden camp wanted him to challenge possible fraudulent results in FL, LA, and SC, but he uttered the now-famous line: "Why waste your complaints on victory?"
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #17 on: November 24, 2016, 09:29:50 AM »

1. AL



Richard Shelby 337 EVs, 50.2%
Ron Crumpton 198 EVs, 41%
Jill Stein 3 EVs, 7%

2. AK



Lisa Murkowski 256 EVs, 39.7%
Ray Metcalfe 150 EVs, 28.5%
Margaret Stock 78 EVs, 15%
Joe Miller 54 EVs, 13.6%

Some of Florida, Arizona and Michigan's electors go faithless for Murkowski, giving her the necessary 273

More to come...
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #18 on: November 24, 2016, 10:27:56 AM »

3. AR



John Boozman 337 EVs, 52%
Conner Eldridge 201 EVs, 42%
Frank Gilbert 0 EVs, 5%

4. AZ



John McCain 245 EVs, 47.7%
Ann Kirkpatrick 293 EVs, 49.3%
Gary Swing 0 EVs, 2.6%

5. CA



Kamala Harris 408 EVs, 57.2%
Loretta Sanchez 130 EVs, 42.6%
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #19 on: December 05, 2016, 08:46:16 PM »

2024:

321: Governor Jared Kushner/Senator Carlos Curbelo - 50.1%
217: VP Joaquin Castro/Senator Anthony Foxx - 44.2%
Others - 5.7%

What the sh**t?

This is slightly feasible as a 2048 map, and even then... what???

Everything about this map... just... ugh.
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2016, 10:59:50 AM »

How I think a nationwide marijuana referendum would play out:



No: 57.1%
Yes: 42.9%
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #21 on: January 23, 2017, 07:18:22 AM »


Connecticut and Utah are more urban than Pennsylvania, Detroit, Ohio, and Georgia?
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LLR
LongLiveRock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,956


WWW
« Reply #22 on: February 06, 2017, 07:26:38 AM »



Shred Brown (D-OH)/Steve Bullock (D-MT): 398 EV (51.0%)
Donald Trump (R-NY)/Mike Pence (R-IN): 134 EV: (43.5%)
Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Mindy Finn (I-TX): 6 EV : 4.4%
Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Bill Weld (L-MA): 0 EV: 4.0%
Jill Stein/Ajuma Baraka: 0 EV (0.5%)
Others: 1.1%

If this happened I would be so elated
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