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  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: Admiral Lord Horatio D'Ascoyne, Apocrypha)
  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 843444 times)
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« on: March 13, 2007, 10:27:28 pm »

Anyone guess what this is?
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2007, 06:31:40 pm »


It has to do with a certain political office.


Hillary Clinton vs. Rudy Giuliani?
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2007, 08:58:50 am »


It has to do with a certain political office.

State Lt. Governors?

Nope. This office is a little higher than that, to say the least.

Hillary Clinton vs. Rudy Giuliani?
No, this uses historical data.
No clue.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2007, 11:22:14 pm »


Correct!
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2007, 09:33:43 am »


He was never elected president. He just got a free ride.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2007, 11:33:36 pm »



Here's a random map
What is it??

And, no it's not based on an actual election.

Easy, those are the most populous states.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2007, 11:41:55 pm »



Here's a random map
What is it??

And, no it's not based on an actual election.
Be more specific

Easy, those are the most populous states.

Okay, the most populous states until you could win an election.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #7 on: July 12, 2007, 12:36:16 pm »



Here's a random map
What is it??

And, no it's not based on an actual election.
Be more specific

Easy, those are the most populous states.

Okay, the most populous states until you could win an election.
sorta, it's the fewest States needed to win Electoral Majority

that's what I meant to say. Wink
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2007, 03:00:08 pm »

Can anyone guess this:

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #9 on: July 14, 2007, 12:42:38 am »


The 2004 election, where Bush wins the states in which he exceeded his national percentage of the vote, and Kerry gets the rest?

No, but you're on the right track. Think of the positioning of the states.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #10 on: July 14, 2007, 08:28:16 pm »

It could be party registration, but there are a lot of DINOS in the South and New Mexico.
Then again, it could be someone's prediction or the 2004 prediction of our website aggregately.

Neither of those are right. Remember, it has to do with the positioning of the states geographically combined with the 2004 election.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #11 on: July 14, 2007, 10:41:38 pm »

It could be party registration, but there are a lot of DINOS in the South and New Mexico.
Then again, it could be someone's prediction or the 2004 prediction of our website aggregately.

Neither of those are right. Remember, it has to do with the positioning of the states geographically combined with the 2004 election.
With any election?

It is partially based on the results of the 2004 presidential election, but also has to do with the states' geography, if that's a hint.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #12 on: July 15, 2007, 07:52:04 pm »

It could be party registration, but there are a lot of DINOS in the South and New Mexico.
Then again, it could be someone's prediction or the 2004 prediction of our website aggregately.

Neither of those are right. Remember, it has to do with the positioning of the states geographically combined with the 2004 election.
With any election?

It is partially based on the results of the 2004 presidential election, but also has to do with the states' geography, if that's a hint.

Dvision by the pacific time boundry, Ohio and Mississippi?

Guess again. It's fairly complicated.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2007, 09:42:39 pm »

Think of the borders the states share with one another.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #14 on: November 11, 2008, 12:36:40 am »



Hint: Minnesota could change due to current events
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #15 on: December 01, 2008, 11:00:33 pm »

Dukakis defeats Bush 280-258 (7.9% swing to Dukakis)

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #16 on: December 01, 2008, 11:05:51 pm »

McCain defeats Obama 276-262 (9.54% swing to McCain)

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #17 on: December 01, 2008, 11:17:30 pm »

Dole defeats Clinton 282-256 (9.2% swing to Dole)

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #18 on: December 02, 2008, 01:19:24 am »

Carter beats Reagan 283-255 (7.93% swing to Carter)

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #19 on: December 09, 2008, 08:14:30 pm »

My projection for the 2012 election, based on the changes in the trends between 2004 and 2008:

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #20 on: December 09, 2008, 08:23:34 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):

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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #21 on: December 09, 2008, 08:25:54 pm »


I'm using trend margin, which is swing margin adjusted for how the rest of the country went. In 2004, Ohio's trend was 4.38% Dem, but in 2008, it was 3.82% GOP. When I subtracted the difference and added the new trend margin to the 2008 results, Ohio goes GOP. For 2016, I just doubled the difference and added the new new trend margin to the projected 2012 results.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #22 on: December 10, 2008, 10:45:45 pm »

And using the same method to projet 2016 (yes, I know it is wacky, but this is how it turned out):



You may need to adjust Mass and Arizona for the homestate effect.

I realize that. However, I intend for these maps to be taken with at least a grain of salt.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #23 on: January 02, 2009, 09:05:09 pm »
« Edited: January 03, 2009, 03:52:38 pm by Senator SPC »

Senate vote on bailout:


It would seem that there are only 5 good states left of America.
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Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #24 on: January 03, 2009, 03:52:00 pm »

These ones should also be easy. As with the previous map, these will also change soon.





First map=Senate
Second map=House
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