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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Election What-ifs? (Moderators: AndrewTX, Apocrypha)
| | |-+  Post random maps here (search mode)
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Author Topic: Post random maps here  (Read 818242 times)
tpfkaw
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« on: July 16, 2010, 01:43:10 pm »

Blergh

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2010, 07:27:22 pm »

This one should be very easy:

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2010, 02:08:45 pm »

1916/2000 comparison :

Blue : Wilson/Bush
Light blue : Hughes/Bush
Light red : Wilson/Gore
Red : Hughes/Gore

Also, New Hampshire is the wrong color : it should be dark blue.
Extremely close, and New Hampshire is the right color.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2010, 01:47:58 pm »

Ok, I got it.
It's a comparison between 1916, 2000 and 2004, with dark red meaning voting for Hughes, Gore and Kerry and dark blue being Wilson and Bush. Light shades are combinations of those.

Yes.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2010, 01:02:03 pm »



Something to do with PVI?
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #5 on: August 27, 2010, 06:51:53 pm »

Something to do with the 2008 election?
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #6 on: September 19, 2010, 05:43:17 pm »


That's 2004.  Is it something to do with PVI?
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2010, 09:17:35 pm »

Who are the biggest heroes of the GOP? Wink

http://www.gop.com/index.php/issues/heroes/
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2010, 10:14:29 pm »

You'll never figure out this one.

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2010, 09:31:14 pm »

You'll never figure out this one.


Can we go ahead and clarify that this is data from elections 1968 and up because of the presence of D.C?

Yes.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2010, 07:15:47 pm »

Jimmy carter Vs. Nelson Rockefeller, 1976???

I doubt that Rockefeller would lose his home state, but it's based on (a) historical election(s).
« Last Edit: October 16, 2010, 04:51:07 pm by wormyguy »Logged
tpfkaw
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« Reply #11 on: November 18, 2010, 02:28:19 pm »



1980 trend applied to 1976.

(Good starting point for a Reagan '76 scenario).
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #12 on: December 07, 2010, 04:21:12 pm »

This one is very easy (just posting it here for future reference):



This one is not:

You'll never figure out this one.

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #13 on: December 09, 2010, 01:40:27 am »



That's easy, a Bob Dole victory.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #14 on: December 14, 2010, 12:07:32 am »

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #15 on: December 15, 2010, 09:45:58 pm »

The three turquoise states (Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico) are all swing states (though NM might be blue).

Am I on to something?

Yes, but it's not obvious.



Hint:  The closest state is New Hampshire, with a margin of a mere 38 votes.
« Last Edit: December 15, 2010, 09:57:50 pm by wormyguy »Logged
tpfkaw
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« Reply #16 on: December 15, 2010, 10:10:15 pm »

Not even close.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #17 on: December 15, 2010, 10:17:32 pm »

Not even close.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #18 on: March 04, 2011, 06:14:53 pm »



« Last Edit: March 04, 2011, 06:54:47 pm by Moloch »Logged
tpfkaw
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« Reply #19 on: March 24, 2011, 06:00:17 pm »

Very easy.

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #20 on: April 16, 2011, 10:54:56 pm »

Same treatment on both.



Closest state: Pennsylvania



Closest state: South Dakota
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #21 on: April 22, 2011, 01:30:37 pm »

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #22 on: April 23, 2011, 06:11:00 pm »

'72 giving Schmitz the same % as Wallace '68, average of a uniform national swing of 12.11 and a multiplication of his vote total by 9.53 in each state, taking entirely from Nixon.  Write-ins were used for states where he did not appear on the ballot, in states without specific candidates listed for "write-ins" the total write-in vote was assumed to be for Schmitz, in states that did not report write-ins it was assumed he received 0% of the vote (and therefore would receive 6.055% under these conditions).

EV totals:

Nixon: 394
McGovern: 123
Schmitz: 21

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tpfkaw
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« Reply #23 on: May 15, 2011, 07:49:32 pm »

Scenario I just ran on President Elect.

(Nixon defeats Chisholm 80-20 and 538-0 in 1972, she receives 45% in DC and 30% in MA, her strongest state, while Nixon receives 89% in KS and OK).

« Last Edit: May 15, 2011, 07:52:10 pm by wormyguy »Logged
tpfkaw
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« Reply #24 on: May 15, 2011, 07:52:45 pm »

Scenario I just ran on President Elect.

(Nixon defeats Chisholm 80-20 and 538-0 in 1972).


Chisholm would at least win D.C.

It's a game...

(And I gave Nixon a DC running mate, lol)
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