MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread
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Poll
Question: Rate this race
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Tilt D		  
#5
Tossup		  
#6
Tilt R		  
#7
Lean R		  
#8
Likely R		  
#9
Safe R		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 284

Author Topic: MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread  (Read 130744 times)
Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #775 on: May 29, 2018, 04:18:25 PM »
Lean D -> Toss
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jamestroll
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« Reply #776 on: May 29, 2018, 04:22:25 PM »
And no.. this news does not make MO Sen safe R.

Its not like it is going to get Greitens off the news... and the impact of the scandal on the MO Sen election was always over played.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #777 on: May 29, 2018, 04:27:17 PM »
Yes, clearly a Republican governor resigning will help a Republican Senate candidate in the same state. Roll Eyes

Toss-Up before, Toss-Up now (not a hack)
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jamestroll
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« Reply #778 on: May 29, 2018, 04:29:23 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on May 29, 2018, 04:27:17 PM
Yes, clearly a Republican governor resigning will help a Republican Senate candidate in the same state. Roll Eyes

Toss-Up before, Toss-Up now (not a hack)

lol remember I have pretty much always had this as toss up tilting R lol
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KingSweden
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« Reply #779 on: May 29, 2018, 04:35:44 PM »
Helps the GOP only insofar as it stops actively hurting them. It’ll be interesting to see how much damage has been done, though.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #780 on: May 29, 2018, 04:53:15 PM »
« Edited: May 29, 2018, 05:37:07 PM by Oryxslayer »
There now is a bandaid over the wound, reps now just need to survive the media coverage over the court/legal side of this issue as Gretiens now stands as a former governor before a judge. But that is much easier to survive then an active scandal in the governors mansion.

EDIT -

Looks like this resignation was part of the deal with the courts, so that part might also have  been dealt with.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #781 on: May 29, 2018, 04:55:31 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 29, 2018, 04:35:44 PM
Helps the GOP only insofar as it stops actively hurting them. It’ll be interesting to see how much damage has been done, though.
A shift from hurting them to not hurting them would typically be defined as a shift that helps the GOP

We will see how big of an impact this has in November. It’ll almost certainly flip that special election though.

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KingSweden
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« Reply #782 on: May 29, 2018, 04:57:21 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on May 29, 2018, 04:55:31 PM
Quote from: KingSweden on May 29, 2018, 04:35:44 PM
Helps the GOP only insofar as it stops actively hurting them. It’ll be interesting to see how much damage has been done, though.
A shift from hurting them to not hurting them would typically be defined as a shift that helps the GOP

We will see how big of an impact this has in November. It’ll almost certainly flip that special election though.



Eh idk about that. And it’s an R held seat so it would only be a flip if the D won.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #783 on: May 29, 2018, 04:57:57 PM »
tilt D---> tossup
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #784 on: May 29, 2018, 05:26:05 PM »
Lean D->Lean D
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #785 on: May 29, 2018, 05:57:30 PM »
Lol @ anyone who actually thinks this benefits Hawley in the slightest.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #786 on: May 29, 2018, 05:59:38 PM »
MO-SEN 2018 still:

Tossup/Lean D.
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #787 on: May 29, 2018, 06:03:37 PM »
When Nixon resigned, it really helped the Rs in the midterm, oh wait.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #788 on: May 29, 2018, 07:42:48 PM »
Tossup->Tossup.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #789 on: May 29, 2018, 07:43:18 PM »
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #790 on: May 29, 2018, 10:36:38 PM »
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #791 on: May 29, 2018, 11:02:09 PM »
want some (non gravis) polling before I make any ratings changes
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #792 on: May 29, 2018, 11:14:50 PM »
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #793 on: May 30, 2018, 09:14:20 AM »
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on May 29, 2018, 11:02:09 PM
want some (non gravis) polling before I make any ratings changes
I don't imagine it'll have much short-term effect, but long-term it should help Hawley a bit since McCaskill won't be able to tie them together as effectively.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #794 on: May 30, 2018, 10:33:17 AM »
Quote from: tmthforu94 on May 30, 2018, 09:14:20 AM
Quote from: Representative-Elect politicalmasta73 on May 29, 2018, 11:02:09 PM
want some (non gravis) polling before I make any ratings changes
I don't imagine it'll have much short-term effect, but long-term it should help Hawley a bit since McCaskill won't be able to tie them together as effectively.

Yeah. McCaskill's anti-Greitens ads will be a bit less effective. For once, Claire's luck runs out a bit.
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here2view
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« Reply #795 on: May 30, 2018, 12:41:54 PM »
Tossup -> Very slight Tilt R
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Rhenna
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« Reply #796 on: May 30, 2018, 12:46:41 PM »
Still Lean D. I can't see how a Republican Governor resigning can be spun to help the Republican candidate for Senate.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #797 on: May 30, 2018, 12:56:37 PM »
Quote from: The Haitian Ambassador on May 30, 2018, 12:46:41 PM
Still Lean D. I can't see how a Republican Governor resigning can be spun to help the Republican candidate for Senate.

Welcome to Atlas!
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #798 on: May 30, 2018, 03:56:19 PM »
Crooked MO GOP:

Missouri governor offered to resign if charges dropped

Good campaign material there
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Politician
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« Reply #799 on: May 30, 2018, 03:57:28 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on May 30, 2018, 12:56:37 PM
Quote from: The Haitian Ambassador on May 30, 2018, 12:46:41 PM
Still Lean D. I can't see how a Republican Governor resigning can be spun to help the Republican candidate for Senate.

Welcome to Atlas!
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