MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[UncleSam]

Crooked MO GOP:

Missouri governor offered to resign if charges dropped

Good campaign material there

I don’t get it...how is it good campaign material? He offered to resign to the special prosecutor, who is a Democrat. It’s not like the MO GOP is trying to get the charges against him dropped in exchange for his resignation. Can you explain this a bit more.

[junior chįmp]

Crooked MO GOP:

Missouri governor offered to resign if charges dropped

Good campaign material there

I don’t get it...how is it good campaign material? He offered to resign to the special prosecutor, who is a Democrat. It’s not like the MO GOP is trying to get the charges against him dropped in exchange for his resignation. Can you explain this a bit more.

As if facts mean anything in American politics. Hillary was cleared in Bengazi and the email nonsense but it didn't stop Republicans from running with it to beat her. The Dems should do the same here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton's case was reopened by then Trump supporter Comey, and after the election he was fired after the attention  went to Trump.  Democrats are running on Trump corruption.

[UncleSam]

Crooked MO GOP:

Missouri governor offered to resign if charges dropped

Good campaign material there

I don’t get it...how is it good campaign material? He offered to resign to the special prosecutor, who is a Democrat. It’s not like the MO GOP is trying to get the charges against him dropped in exchange for his resignation. Can you explain this a bit more.

As if facts mean anything in American politics. Hillary was cleared in Bengazi and the email nonsense but it didn't stop Republicans from running with it to beat her. The Dems should do the same here.

The obvious difference being that in one case she did something and was cleared of wrongdoing, while in the other no one did anything...you can run on something someone did and lie about the culpability of that thing, you can’t run on something someone didn’t do because it is obviously provably false and it backfires.

Still Greitens has hurt the GOP quite a bit, and reminding people of him every day until November is doubtless a good strategy.

[junior chįmp]

Crooked MO GOP:

Missouri governor offered to resign if charges dropped

Good campaign material there

I don’t get it...how is it good campaign material? He offered to resign to the special prosecutor, who is a Democrat. It’s not like the MO GOP is trying to get the charges against him dropped in exchange for his resignation. Can you explain this a bit more.

As if facts mean anything in American politics. Hillary was cleared in Bengazi and the email nonsense but it didn't stop Republicans from running with it to beat her. The Dems should do the same here.

The obvious difference being that in one case she did something and was cleared of wrongdoing, while in the other no one did anything...you can run on something someone did and lie about the culpability of that thing, you can’t run on something someone didn’t do because it is obviously provably false and it backfires.

Still Greitens has hurt the GOP quite a bit, and reminding people of him every day until November is doubtless a good strategy.

Democrats should just run ads insinuating that AG Hawley pulled off a crooked deal to get his buddy Eric off the hook. Run the ads 24/7 till election day.

[junior chįmp]

Palin is coming to MO....to endorse Hawley's primary opponent:

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[OneJ]

Palin is coming to MO....to endorse Hawley's primary opponent:

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[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

>Not Sykes

[Progressive Pessimist]

Palin is coming to MO....to endorse Hawley's primary opponent:

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This political party is such a joke.

[KingSweden]

Palin is coming to MO....to endorse Hawley's primary opponent:

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Lolwut

[tmthforu94]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

[Politician]

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

They were always the underdogs.

[Politician]

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

They were always the underdogs.

This race isn't Safe D.

[KingSweden]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

Damn that is some swing.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Due to the recent special election, this race is now Lean Democratic. Just half a year ago Republicans thought this was a gimme, now they're the underdogs here.

They were always the underdogs.

This race isn't Safe D.

I already moved it out of the Safe D column in my official atlas prediction. Simply have not yet gotten around to it in the google doc yet though.

[KingSweden]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

Damn that is some swing.

Yeah, and it is relatively promising in the sense that if Democrats can start winning places like Clay and Platte regularly on the statewide level, it will ups go a long way towards bringing back the state into the periphery of competitiveness. Republicans are close to maxed out in the rurals.

After 2016 I’m skeptical of claims that the GOP rural vote is maxed out

[Young Conservative]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

Damn that is some swing.

Yeah, and it is relatively promising in the sense that if Democrats can start winning places like Clay and Platte regularly on the statewide level, it will ups go a long way towards bringing back the state into the periphery of competitiveness. Republicans are close to maxed out in the rurals.

After 2016 I’m skeptical of claims that the GOP rural vote is maxed out

[OneJ]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

Damn that is some swing.

Yeah, and it is relatively promising in the sense that if Democrats can start winning places like Clay and Platte regularly on the statewide level, it will ups go a long way towards bringing back the state into the periphery of competitiveness. Republicans are close to maxed out in the rurals.

After 2016 I’m skeptical of claims that the GOP rural vote is maxed out

To be fair, there isn’t much room for the GOP to improve upon their ‘16 their margins in the rural areas and Hillary was likely one of the worst candidates to do so terribly in those parts.

[IceSpear]

http://www.kctv5.com/story/38353443/unofficial-results-arthur-defeats-corlew-handily-in-missouri-senate-special-election

Democrat Lauren Arthur won a special election in the northland - this is a PICKUP for Democrats and she won by 20 (!!!) points. To give you an idea on how big this is, the Republican incumbent won this race in 2016 62-37. Greitens is really dragging down the Republican ticket, it is a matter of whether they're able to reverse the bleeding by November.

Race Change: Toss-Up -> Lean McCaskill

Damn that is some swing.

Yeah, and it is relatively promising in the sense that if Democrats can start winning places like Clay and Platte regularly on the statewide level, it will ups go a long way towards bringing back the state into the periphery of competitiveness. Republicans are close to maxed out in the rurals.

After 2016 I’m skeptical of claims that the GOP rural vote is maxed out

While it is true that most people vastly underestimated how much further the Democrats could fall in rural areas for 2016, it's getting to the point where mathematical reality rather than pure conjecture is settling in. There's literally not much room for them to gain. Places like Leslie County, KY actually swung D in 2016 because of this. Compare to Missouri, where even in 2012 Obama was getting in the 40s/high 30s in quite a few rural counties.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Oh my f**king god https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottCharton/status/1006168400026931202he

[ON Progressive]

Oh my f**king god https://mobile.twitter.com/ScottCharton/status/1006168400026931202

THE ABSOLUTE MADMAN!

[wesmoorenerd]

I'm skeptical, but if it happens, holy s*** MO becomes Likely D

[Politician]

I'm skeptical, but if it happens, holy s*** MO becomes Safe D

[ON Progressive]

I'm skeptical, but if it happens, holy s*** MO becomes Safe D