FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all; Trump leads FL/PA, while Kasich leads OH
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  FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all; Trump leads FL/PA, while Kasich leads OH
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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all; Trump leads FL/PA, while Kasich leads OH  (Read 2541 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: August 20, 2015, 05:37:02 AM »
« edited: August 20, 2015, 05:47:32 AM by Mr. Morden »

Quinnipiac does primary polls in FL, OH, and PA, conducted Aug. 7-18:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2271

Florida

Democrats:

Clinton 48%
Sanders 15%
Biden 11%
O'Malley 1%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Republicans:

Trump 21%
Bush 17%
Carson 11%
Rubio 11%
Cruz 7%
Fiorina 7%
Huckabee 4%
Paul 4%
Walker 4%
Kasich 3%
Christie 1%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, Perry, Santorum 0%

Ohio

Democrats:

Clinton 47%
Sanders 17%
Biden 14%
Webb 1%
Chafee, O'Malley 0%

Republicans:

Kasich 27%
Trump 21%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Carson 6%
Bush 5%
Fiorina 5%
Huckabee 3%
Paul 2%
Santorum 2%
Walker 2%
Christie 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Jindal, Pataki, Perry 0%

Pennsylvania

Democrats:

Clinton 45%
Sanders 19%
Biden 17%
O'Malley 1%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Republicans:

Trump 24%
Carson 13%
Rubio 10%
Fiorina 7%
Bush 6%
Cruz 5%
Paul 5%
Walker 5%
Santorum 4%
Kasich 3%
Christie 2%
Huckabee 2%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, Perry 0%
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2015, 05:39:17 AM »

Part of me is not surprised at all that Trump is doing so well here in Florida, I'm a betting man and say most of his support is coming from the Panhandle and Northern regions as well as the South West portion of the state.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2015, 05:59:35 AM »

Crosstabs:

Florida Bush wins moderates, ties with Trump on women, Trump wins everything else.

Ohio Trump wins men and "Tea Party" supporters.  He ties with Kasich on white born again Evangelicals.  Kasich wins everything else.

Pennsylvania Trump wins every demographic.

Rubio has the highest net favorability among Republicans in all three states.

Trump leads in all three states on "Who would you *NOT* vote for under any circumstances?"
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2015, 06:06:32 AM »

Who did Republican voters think won the debate?

Florida
Rubio 25%
Trump 14%
Carson 12%
Bush 6%
Cruz 5%
Kasich 5%

Ohio
Kasich 21%
Trump 17%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Bush 3%
Huckabee 3%

Pennsylvania
Trump 21%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Kasich 6%
Bush 5%
Cruz 5%
Huckabee 5%
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2015, 07:23:45 AM »

Great numbers for Kasich from his home state.
I think that if the election were held today, Trump would lead in all the home-states of the candidates, except Ohio. This is a great news for Kasich.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2015, 07:29:08 AM »

I'm not going to list everyone's favorability in each state, but just thought I'd mention Rand Paul's fav/unfav #s among Republicans in each state:

Florida: 38/33% for +5%
Ohio: 28/45% for -17%
Pennsylvania: 42/34% for +8%

In the June poll, he was at +24, +31, and +37 in those three states respectively.  The debate really seems to have destroyed his favorability #s.
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Horus
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« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2015, 01:53:14 PM »

I'm not going to list everyone's favorability in each state, but just thought I'd mention Rand Paul's fav/unfav #s among Republicans in each state:

Florida: 38/33% for +5%
Ohio: 28/45% for -17%
Pennsylvania: 42/34% for +8%

In the June poll, he was at +24, +31, and +37 in those three states respectively.  The debate really seems to have destroyed his favorability #s.


Unfortunate, but not surprising. He sounded far too sensible.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2015, 03:19:48 PM »

Surprised to see Clinton under 50 in OH/PA. She won them comfortably in the '08 primary.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2015, 04:59:49 PM »

Great numbers for Kasich from his home state.
I think that if the election were held today, Trump would lead in all the home-states of the candidates, except Ohio. This is a great news for Kasich.

Nah, Walker's still ahead in the primary in Wisconsin.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2015, 08:56:59 PM »

Surprised to see Clinton under 50 in OH/PA. She won them comfortably in the '08 primary.

I'm surprised Sanders numbers aren't higher considering that.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2015, 12:53:14 AM »

Surprised to see Clinton under 50 in OH/PA. She won them comfortably in the '08 primary.

I'm surprised Sanders numbers aren't higher considering that.

It looks like there are a lot of undecided voters.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2015, 02:26:44 PM »

If anyone should be embarrassed by this poll, it is Rubio.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: August 25, 2015, 10:12:17 PM »

New Poll: Florida President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Clinton:
48%
Sanders:
15%
Biden:
11%
Other:
3%
Undecided:
23%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: August 25, 2015, 10:13:15 PM »

New Poll: Ohio President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Clinton:
47%
Sanders:
17%
Biden:
14%
Other:
4%
Undecided:
18%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #14 on: August 25, 2015, 10:14:24 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Clinton:
45%
Sanders:
19%
Biden:
17%
Other:
4%
Undecided:
15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2015, 03:30:00 PM »

New Poll: Ohio President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Kasich:
27%
Trump:
21%
Cruz:
7%
Rubio:
7%
Carson:
6%
Other:
21%
Undecided:
11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #16 on: August 30, 2015, 03:32:20 PM »

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Trump:
24%
Carson:
13%
Rubio:
10%
Fiorina:
7%
Bush:
6%
Other:
29%
Undecided:
11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #17 on: August 30, 2015, 03:39:04 PM »

New Poll: Florida President by Quinnipiac University on 2015-08-18

Summary:
Trump:
21%
Bush:
17%
Carson:
11%
Rubio:
11%
Cruz:
7%
Fiorina:
7%
Other:
18%
Undecided:
8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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