FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all; Trump leads FL/PA, while Kasich leads OH

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac does primary polls in FL, OH, and PA, conducted Aug. 7-18:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2271

Florida

Democrats:

Clinton 48%
Sanders 15%
Biden 11%
O'Malley 1%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Republicans:

Trump 21%
Bush 17%
Carson 11%
Rubio 11%
Cruz 7%
Fiorina 7%
Huckabee 4%
Paul 4%
Walker 4%
Kasich 3%
Christie 1%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, Perry, Santorum 0%

Ohio

Democrats:

Clinton 47%
Sanders 17%
Biden 14%
Webb 1%
Chafee, O'Malley 0%

Republicans:

Kasich 27%
Trump 21%
Cruz 7%
Rubio 7%
Carson 6%
Bush 5%
Fiorina 5%
Huckabee 3%
Paul 2%
Santorum 2%
Walker 2%
Christie 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Jindal, Pataki, Perry 0%

Pennsylvania

Democrats:

Clinton 45%
Sanders 19%
Biden 17%
O'Malley 1%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Republicans:

Trump 24%
Carson 13%
Rubio 10%
Fiorina 7%
Bush 6%
Cruz 5%
Paul 5%
Walker 5%
Santorum 4%
Kasich 3%
Christie 2%
Huckabee 2%
Jindal 1%
Gilmore, Graham, Pataki, Perry 0%

[Mr. Morden]

Crosstabs:

Florida Bush wins moderates, ties with Trump on women, Trump wins everything else.

Ohio Trump wins men and "Tea Party" supporters.  He ties with Kasich on white born again Evangelicals.  Kasich wins everything else.

Pennsylvania Trump wins every demographic.

Rubio has the highest net favorability among Republicans in all three states.

Trump leads in all three states on "Who would you *NOT* vote for under any circumstances?"

[Mr. Morden]

Who did Republican voters think won the debate?

Florida
Rubio 25%
Trump 14%
Carson 12%
Bush 6%
Cruz 5%
Kasich 5%

Ohio
Kasich 21%
Trump 17%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Bush 3%
Huckabee 3%

Pennsylvania
Trump 21%
Rubio 15%
Carson 9%
Kasich 6%
Bush 5%
Cruz 5%
Huckabee 5%

[Mr. Morden]

I'm not going to list everyone's favorability in each state, but just thought I'd mention Rand Paul's fav/unfav #s among Republicans in each state:

Florida: 38/33% for +5%
Ohio: 28/45% for -17%
Pennsylvania: 42/34% for +8%

In the June poll, he was at +24, +31, and +37 in those three states respectively.  The debate really seems to have destroyed his favorability #s.