MI-Mitchell: Hillary trails!
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Author Topic: MI-Mitchell: Hillary trails!  (Read 6424 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #25 on: August 21, 2015, 11:39:07 PM »

It's a MI poll from a local firm ... Therefore it's BS.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #26 on: August 22, 2015, 01:14:09 AM »

#MichiganSafeR
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #27 on: August 22, 2015, 06:57:24 AM »

When CLINTON comes to campaign and reminds state unions of the auto bailouts, GOPers will be singing a different tune, cause Trump oppose bailouts.
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Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
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« Reply #28 on: August 22, 2015, 08:08:09 AM »

This is Michigan; protectionism is a bigger deal here than in many states.

Trump is a wild card in that respect.  There are many Perot-ish voters in Michigan, not all of them Republicans, who may still be responsive to Trump's anti-free trade position.  Of course, Trump could end up being marginalized in ways other candidates could not be, and lose worse than another Republican would.  He's very much a wild card, however, and his (as of now) unique (amongst Republicans) protectionist posturing gives him crossover vote potential in a way not available to the "establishment" Republicans.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #29 on: August 22, 2015, 08:55:29 AM »

Go ahead GOP, pour money into MI, while Dems play offense in NV; CO & IA. 
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #30 on: August 22, 2015, 09:54:05 AM »

According to this poll:
- Clinton leads ??-12-?? with Democrats;
- Rubio leads 87-4-9 with Republicans;
- Rubio leads 48-27-25 with Independents.

It's hard to believe that Clinton is winning only 27% of Independents. In 2012, Obama won 48% of Independents. Romney won 49% of Indepedents, now Rubio is winning 48%.
In 2012, Romney won 4% of Democrats. Now, Rubio is winning 12%. It's the triple.


Rubio has cross over appeal (right now he emulates a Republican Obama). Romney had only crossover appeal to 47% of the super rich Democrats.
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YaBoyNY
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« Reply #31 on: August 22, 2015, 05:31:42 PM »

This is almost as bad as that poll that showed Hillary ahead in Kentucky.

Almost.
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SamInTheSouth
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« Reply #32 on: August 23, 2015, 07:03:19 PM »

I can believe that Rubio might be leading Hillary in Michigan, but I have tough time believing it's by nine points.
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Xing
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« Reply #33 on: August 24, 2015, 07:49:52 PM »

Michigan polling always shows Republicans having a chance early on. It always ends up being Safe D by the summer or fall though. Still Likely D.
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Republican Michigander
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« Reply #34 on: August 24, 2015, 08:15:40 PM »

https://lintvwood.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/epic-mra-august-2015-survey.pdf

EPIC-MRA polls

Hillary 44
Trump 42

Jeb 45
Hillary 40

I’m not buying that, even in a dem leaning poll (EPIC-MRA historically dem pollsters). That said, If Jeb Bush (who has an upside down approval rating in that same poll) of all people is +5 over anybody in Michigan, then the dems are in deep trouble. That said, I CAN believe the 45% number for Jeb with most undecided moving to Hillary (Against Jeb).

Trump at 42% against I can certainly believe. McCain was 41% in 2008.

The democrat floor here is 40% in a GOP wave year unless the candidate is a flat out religious bigot like Geoff Fieger was against Christians and Jews. That’s what Virg Bernero got in 2010. There’s no way in Hell that Hillary will get 40%. Even Mark Schauer got 46-47% in 2014.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #35 on: August 24, 2015, 08:51:55 PM »

https://lintvwood.files.wordpress.com/2015/08/epic-mra-august-2015-survey.pdf

EPIC-MRA polls

Hillary 44
Trump 42

Jeb 45
Hillary 40

I’m not buying that, even in a dem leaning poll (EPIC-MRA historically dem pollsters). That said, If Jeb Bush (who has an upside down approval rating in that same poll) of all people is +5 over anybody in Michigan, then the dems are in deep trouble. That said, I CAN believe the 45% number for Jeb with most undecided moving to Hillary (Against Jeb).

Trump at 42% against I can certainly believe. McCain was 41% in 2008.

The democrat floor here is 40% in a GOP wave year unless the candidate is a flat out religious bigot like Geoff Fieger was against Christians and Jews. That’s what Virg Bernero got in 2010. There’s no way in Hell that Hillary will get 40%. Even Mark Schauer got 46-47% in 2014.

Yeah, this poll is garbage. They have 27% support for the Tea Party. No way is Tea Party support that high in Michigan, of all places.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #36 on: August 24, 2015, 09:32:42 PM »

Werent you the one that said Hillary is leading in Kentucky, dude?

Uh, several polls have said it.
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Higgs
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« Reply #37 on: August 25, 2015, 11:18:15 PM »

Werent you the one that said Hillary is leading in Kentucky, dude?

Uh, several polls have said it.

Oh lord
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DonaldTrumpForLife
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« Reply #38 on: August 25, 2015, 11:21:16 PM »

Trump will SMASH HILLARY to BITS. Hillary SUCKS!
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