Cleaned-up 2016 Presidential election map.

[pbrower2a]

South Carolina, PPP:


Bush 47%
Clinton 37%

Clinton 34%
Trump 33%
Bush 25%

Carson 54%
Clinton 36%

Cruz 48%
Clinton 39%

Fiorina 48%
Clinton 38%

Clinton 39%
Graham 38%

Huckabee 49%
Clinton 39%

Kasich 42%
Clinton 38%

Rubio 46%
Clinton 40%

Trump 50%
Clinton 39%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/SouthCarolina2016GeneralResults.pdf

Note that PPP has dropped Rand Paul and Scott Walker. That may be a hint on whom I drop.

...This is reasonably close to the 2012 results in South Carolina by Romney against Obama.
 

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton vs. Scott Walker

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[pbrower2a]

Where's the IA-Marist poll?

Good question. I'm not hiding it.

[pbrower2a]

PPP does Florida next week.

...the e-mail issue is hurting Hillary Clinton badly now. It dies -- or she can forget the Presidency.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Can't wait til FL poll against Trump, email controversy will not go away entirely but its importance is going to be diminished. There is no smoking gun.

[pbrower2a]

Can't wait til FL poll against Trump, email controversy will not go away entirely but its importance is going to be diminished. There is no smoking gun.

Should there be an ethnic divide in the demographics, then the ethnic splits should be interesting. 

[EliteLX]

South Carolina, PPP:


Bush 47%
Clinton 37%

Clinton 34%
Trump 33%
Bush 25%

Carson 54%
Clinton 36%

Cruz 48%
Clinton 39%

Fiorina 48%
Clinton 38%

Clinton 39%
Graham 38%

Huckabee 49%
Clinton 39%

Kasich 42%
Clinton 38%

Rubio 46%
Clinton 40%

Trump 50%
Clinton 39%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/SouthCarolina2016GeneralResults.pdf

Note that PPP has dropped Rand Paul and Scott Walker. That may be a hint on whom I drop.

...This is reasonably close to the 2012 results in South Carolina by Romney against Obama.
 

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton vs. Scott Walker

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

Jeb Bush is not down deep blue in Iowa.. lol.

You have various states missing from various candidates.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Where's the IA-Marist poll?

Good question. I'm not hiding it.

Then where is it?

I think he means he hasn't seen it.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=218755.0

[pbrower2a]

Florida, PPP:

Bush 45%
Clinton 42%

Bush 45%
Biden 42%

Bush 45%
Sanders 41%

Clinton 39%
Bush 29%
Trump 27%

Carson 49%
Clinton 40%

Carson 48%
Sanders 33%

Clinton 45%
Cruz 43%

Fiorina 46%
Clinton 41%

Fiorina 44%
Sanders 37%

Clinton 45%
Huckabee 43%

Kasich 44%
Clinton 41%

Rubio 48%
Clinton 43%

Trump 48%
Clinton 42%

Trump 47%
Biden 43%

Trump 47%
Sanders 41%

Walker 45%
Clinton 43%

Walker 42%
Sanders 40%
 

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

Hillary Clinton vs. Scott Walker

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[Vern]

Fiorina Needs to replace Paul

[pbrower2a]

Carson and Fiorina are in; Paul and Walker are out at the next opportunity.

[Vern]

Carson and Fiorina are in; Paul and Walker are out at the next opportunity.

Thanks!

[WVdemocrat]

Carson and Fiorina are in; Paul and Walker are out at the next opportunity.

Why the d*cks is Huckabee still in it? If anybody should be replaced by Carson, it's him. Walker could have a resurgence and win the nomination. Huckabee has come nowhere close to being a frontrunner at any point in the campaign.

Jeb is barely higher than Walker. Keep Walker in and take Huckabee out.

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/09/21/scott-walker-said-to-be-quitting-presidential-race/
 

That makes one choice extremely easy:

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[pbrower2a]

Iowa, Marist:

50-39 Bush/Hillary
48-43 Trump/Hillary

46-44 Bush/Biden
49-45 Biden/Trump

http://de.scribd.com/doc/278707798/NBC-News-Marist-Poll-Iowa-Annotated-Questionnaire-September-2015

(PPP shows Iowa results this week, so this might not stick).
 
Siena, New York (state)

Biden 59%
Bush 30%

Biden 55%
Carson 35%

Biden 60%
Trump 33%

Clinton 53%
Bush 36%

Clinton 52%
Carson 40%

Clinton 55%
Trump 36%

Sanders 52%
Bush 33%

Sanders 46%
Carson 39%

Sanders 52%
Trump 38%

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[WVdemocrat]

Carson and Fiorina are in; Paul and Walker are out at the next opportunity.

Why the d*cks is Huckabee still in it? If anybody should be replaced by Carson, it's him. Walker could have a resurgence and win the nomination. Huckabee has come nowhere close to being a frontrunner at any point in the campaign.

Jeb is barely higher than Walker. Keep Walker in and take Huckabee out.

Okay, on second thought, forget all of this.

[pbrower2a]

Setting up maps for Carson and Fiorina.

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Ben Carson

Hillary Clinton vs. Carly Fiorina

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[pbrower2a]

Florida, college poll from a school that I never heard from:

http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-rubio-fau-florida-poll-20150922-story.html

Carson 52%
Clinton 40%

Rubio 50%
Clinton 42%

Bush 49%
Clinton 41%

Trump 46%
Clinton 45%

Back-tracking for the Carolinas, and PPP for Florida.  

Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Ben Carson

Hillary Clinton vs. Carly Fiorina

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The 46/45 FL number against Trump is great for her, its to totally in play against Trump.

[Higgs]

The 46/45 FL number against Trump is great for her, its to totally in play against Trump.

I wouldn't consider that great for her

The fact that she's within the margin of error against a joke like Donald Trump shows how non inevitable she is.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The last poll showed Trump up five against her.

Also, Trump wont be a joke for long when he wraps up nomination by winning SC in late Jan. Something Jeb suppose to have done.

[Mr. Morden]

Also, Trump wont be a joke for long when he wraps up nomination by winning SC in late Jan.

Trump is going to win South Carolina a month before the primary there?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well Feb then.

[pbrower2a]

North Carolina, Elon

52% Carson
41% Clinton

46% Bush
43% Clinton

47% Clinton
40% Trump

http://www.elon.edu/e-net/Article/121033

If this poll is valid, it suggest that the thrill may be gone with Donald Trump.


Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush

Hillary Clinton vs. Ben Carson

Hillary Clinton vs. Carly Fiorina

Hillary Clinton vs. Mike Huckabee

Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul

Hillary Clinton vs. Marco Rubio

Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump

30% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 3% or less
40% -- lead with 40-49% but a margin of 4% or more
60% -- lead with 50-54%
70% -- lead with 55-59%
90% -- lead with 60% or more



[/quote]

[Skye]

Where are the Michigan polls?

[pbrower2a]

Where are the Michigan polls?

Junk pollster. I'd like to see someone who has a track record and isn't tied to a special interest.