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Author Topic: UT-Dan Jones & Associates: Utah voters don't like Trump, only leads Hillary by 9  (Read 2043 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 01, 2015, 01:33:59 pm »

... and because so many voters don't like Trump, there's also a huge amount of "other" voters:

38% Trump
29% Clinton
29% Someone else
  3% Undecided

Quote
Utahns also don't want to see Trump capture the GOP nomination in 2016. Nearly half of those surveyed (49%) said they "definitely" do not support the real estate magnate as the GOP nominee, while another 18% say they "probably" would not support him as the Republican standard bearer. Given those numbers, we probably should not expect Trump to visit Utah on a campaign swing any time soon.

If the only choices were Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton or some other candidates, a majority (60%) of Utah Republicans say they would vote for Trump while 28% of GOP voters would opt for another candidate.

http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/6850-
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2015, 01:35:55 pm »

Yeah, I would also opt to jump into a barrel of acid rather than voting for either Hillary or Trump ...
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2015, 02:00:29 pm »

The Mormons have a sense of morality!
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yeah_93
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« Reply #3 on: September 01, 2015, 02:20:51 pm »

Jesus, can't they poll someine else other than Trump?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: September 01, 2015, 04:03:06 pm »

I can't use it on the map. But this is consistent with a dismal (for Utah) lead of Trump over Clinton). 
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2015, 04:29:23 pm »

I can't use it on the map. But this is consistent with a dismal (for Utah) lead of Trump over Clinton). 

Why can't you use it?
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« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2015, 05:12:28 pm »

This is fascinating to see such a core Republican demographic like Mormons abandoning somebody who is leading nationally in the Republican primary by huge margins.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: September 01, 2015, 07:31:26 pm »

Seems to confirm Mormon reservations with Trump.  Being majority-Mormon, Utah is different enough to support a Dem under just the right circumstances.  I wouldn't think of it as the most GOP state going forward.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: September 01, 2015, 08:18:36 pm »

I can't use it on the map. But this is consistent with a dismal (for Utah) lead of Trump over Clinton). 

Why can't you use it?

In a binary split, nobody goes above 40. Too many undecided

39+28 = 67.

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« Reply #9 on: September 01, 2015, 08:33:28 pm »

So mormons have an intense hate of Trump.  Who knew?
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Jbrase
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« Reply #10 on: September 01, 2015, 11:58:37 pm »

The guy who refereed to the concepts of grace and communion by saying he "eats their little crackers and drinks their little wine" isn't popular among Mormons!?!?!?!? Shocker.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: September 02, 2015, 04:07:43 pm »

Mormons actually care about their faith and don't use it as a political prop. Huh, interesting.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #12 on: September 02, 2015, 04:32:56 pm »

Mormons will vote Democratic if the LDS hierarchy tells them to do so.

I'm not trying to predict what the LDS hierarchy will say, let alone whether Donald Trump will get the nomination. But it is possible to offend even some of the most reliable constituencies of a Party, and there will be consequences.

Non-Mormons in Utah vote like Californians, so even a 50-50 split among Mormons would be a disaster for the GOP in Utah.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #13 on: September 02, 2015, 09:22:36 pm »

So the last two Utah polls have had Trump only leading Hillary by 8% and 9% respectively. Now that's interesting. Smiley
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« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2015, 09:56:31 am »

For as socially conservative as it is, Utah has always seemed establishment-friendly.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2015, 01:11:21 pm »

For as socially conservative as it is, Utah has always seemed establishment-friendly.

I think it's deeper than that (or maybe just simpler) - I don't think Utah appreciates Trump's kind of temperament. They are very culturally conservative, but not in the way that would shut down the government or end the 14th amendment. There is a level of politeness when it comes to a lot of the religious voters in Utah.
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« Reply #16 on: September 05, 2015, 09:47:47 am »

Mormons actually care about their faith and don't use it as a political prop. Huh, interesting.

How soon some people forget about the vote on Prop. 8 in 2008 California.
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« Reply #17 on: September 06, 2015, 11:47:38 am »

Jesus, can't they poll someine else other than Trump?
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« Reply #18 on: September 06, 2015, 11:51:54 am »

It's getting easier to understand why GOP leads swing states but can't cut it nationally.
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Devils30
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« Reply #19 on: September 06, 2015, 11:51:58 am »

Trump is going to do better vs Hillary in Iowa than Utah...yawn.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #20 on: September 06, 2015, 02:28:49 pm »

Seems to confirm Mormon reservations with Trump.  Being majority-Mormon, Utah is different enough to support a Dem under just the right circumstances.  I wouldn't think of it as the most GOP state going forward.

Hillary is at 29%. There is no way she gets UT support.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #21 on: September 06, 2015, 02:30:08 pm »

Mormons actually care about their faith and don't use it as a political prop. Huh, interesting.

How soon some people forget about the vote on Prop. 8 in 2008 California.

Or the fact that white Californians are more conservative than Iowans. CA Whites went Romney 53-45 in 2012.
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