PPP-National: General election match-ups close
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Author Topic: PPP-National: General election match-ups close  (Read 1814 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 03, 2015, 10:38:08 AM »

Carson/Clinton: 44/44
Carson/Sanders: 42/36
Clinton/Trump: 46/44
Clinton/Fiorina: 45/43
Sanders/Fiorina: 39/38
Trump/Sanders: 43/42
Biden/Trump: 47/41
Clinton/Bush/Trump: 42/23/27
Clinton/Walker: 47/40
Clinton/Huckabee: 48/42
Clinton/Cruz: 47/42
Clinton/Kasich: 44/39
Clinton/Rubio: 47/43
Clinton/Bush: 46/42
Biden/Bush: 44/41
Bush/Sanders: 41/40

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/09/2016-general-election-match-ups-close.html
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Torie
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2015, 10:50:58 AM »
« Edited: September 03, 2015, 10:52:40 AM by Torie »

It's all about Hillary. The Pub candidates are almost just a generic Pub choice. Hillary gets about 45% no matter what, and gets a bit more of the undecideds with well known and more controversial Pub candidates (a bit surprising she gets the max 47% figure with Rubio however), but only a couple of points more at the moment. Once voters get to know the candidates better and some states vote in the primaries, the Pub numbers may become more variegated by candidate. That's my read anyway. It's really more of a poll about whether voters want a third term of Obama as POTUS.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2015, 10:53:12 AM »
« Edited: September 03, 2015, 11:00:05 AM by Mehmentum »

Comparing the Democrats:

Clinton v. Bush: D+4
Biden v. Bush: D+3
Sanders v. Bush: R+1

Biden v. Trump: D+6
Clinton v. Trump: D+2
Sanders v. Trump: R+1

Comparing the Republicans:

Carson v. Clinton: Tie
Trump v. Clinton: D+2
Fiorina v. Clinton: D+2
Bush v. Clinton: D+4
Rubio v. Clinton: D+4
Kasich v. Clinton: D+5
Cruz v. Clinton: D+5
Huckabee v. Clinton: D+6
Walker v. Clinton: D+7

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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2015, 11:14:09 AM »

It's a bit surprising she's that far ahead of Rubio, but everything else seems plausible to me.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: September 03, 2015, 12:46:54 PM »

lol @ Carson doing that well.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: September 03, 2015, 01:26:16 PM »

Captain Crunch leads the joke candidates’ list:

Captain Crunch 17%
Deez Nuts 9%
Beast Mode 5%
Queen Elsa Ice 4%
Butt Stuff 3%
Cranky Pants 2%
Limberbutt McCubbins 1%
‘Murican Cookies 1%

This poll has Clinton’s favorability margin being worse than Trump’s.  Also, yet more evidence that Paul’s debate performance destroyed his image:

fav/unfav %:

Carson 41/30% for +11%
Biden 43/40% for +3%
Fiorina 32/35% for -3%
Sanders 31/39% for -8%
Rubio 32/41% for -9%
Kasich 23/37% for -14%
Walker 27/42% for -15%
Trump 35/53% for -18%
Cruz 29/47% for -18%
Clinton 36/55% for -19%
Huckabee 30/49% for -19%
Bush 28/51% for -23%
Christie 24/57% for -33%
Paul 19/57% for -38%
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: September 03, 2015, 02:06:57 PM »

Huge ideological gap on Deez Nuts.  32% among very liberal voters, but just 3% among very conservative voters.  Also a big age gap: 27% among 18-29 year olds, but just 4% among those over 45.

What % of the Hispanic vote do each of the following Republicans get against Clinton?

Cruz 30%
Fiorina 30%
Rubio 30%
Carson 29%
Walker 28%
Trump 27%
Bush 26%
Huckabee 26%
Kasich 22%

In the Clinton/Bush/Trump 3-way, who leads among…?

very liberal: Clinton
somewhat liberal: Clinton
moderate: Clinton
somewhat conservative: Bush
very conservative: Trump
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Gallium
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« Reply #7 on: September 03, 2015, 02:13:34 PM »

omg
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #8 on: September 03, 2015, 02:21:21 PM »

Captain Crunch leads the joke candidates’ list:

Captain Crunch 17%
Deez Nuts 9%
Beast Mode 5%
Queen Elsa Ice 4%
Butt Stuff 3%
Cranky Pants 2%
Limberbutt McCubbins 1%
‘Murican Cookies 1%


Clearly due to Crunch's military experience. However there is no way he survives the #Stripegate scandal



He is no Captain, just a Commander!
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EliteLX
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« Reply #9 on: September 03, 2015, 02:58:57 PM »

Wow, Carson really is taking off all across the board.

Jeb is looking average as usual.. and Trump's GE continues to go up. wtf.
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: September 03, 2015, 03:43:25 PM »

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Well there is that.
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King
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« Reply #11 on: September 03, 2015, 03:46:59 PM »

The country is aching for Biden. RUN JOE RUN
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: September 03, 2015, 03:49:02 PM »

GOP nominate Carson; he won't get the Latino vote, he can only max out at 10 percent or less with the black vote.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #13 on: September 03, 2015, 03:58:54 PM »

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Well there is that.
People who voted for the losing candidate tend to 'forget' who they voted for. 
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« Reply #14 on: September 03, 2015, 04:00:49 PM »
« Edited: September 03, 2015, 04:02:27 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Wow, everyone seems to have terrible favorable ratings. Of course Hillary's 36% favorable, 55% unfavorable, while not the worse, are certainly the most significant. Her net favorable is now worse than even Trump, who is 35-53.

Biden (who isn't running, at least not yet), and Carson (who no one ever bothers attacking) are the only 2 candidates with a positive favorable rating.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #15 on: September 03, 2015, 07:01:16 PM »

I'm sorry, but PPPs national polls have a worse record than their 2014 state polling. They're great at Presidential year state-level polling, but useless and national polling.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: September 03, 2015, 08:35:39 PM »

Wow, everyone seems to have terrible favorable ratings. Of course Hillary's 36% favorable, 55% unfavorable, while not the worse, are certainly the most significant. Her net favorable is now worse than even Trump, who is 35-53.

Biden (who isn't running, at least not yet), and Carson (who no one ever bothers attacking) are the only 2 candidates with a positive favorable rating.


Hasn't Sanders had a positive favorable rating in every other national poll?
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: September 03, 2015, 09:33:26 PM »

Carson/Clinton: 44/44
Carson/Sanders: 42/36
Clinton/Trump: 46/44
Clinton/Fiorina: 45/43
Sanders/Fiorina: 39/38
Trump/Sanders: 43/42
Biden/Trump: 47/41
Clinton/Bush/Trump: 42/23/27
Clinton/Walker: 47/40
Clinton/Huckabee: 48/42
Clinton/Cruz: 47/42
Clinton/Kasich: 44/39
Clinton/Rubio: 47/43
Clinton/Bush: 46/42
Biden/Bush: 44/41
Bush/Sanders: 41/40

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/09/2016-general-election-match-ups-close.html

I almost want Trump to go indie so that Jeb! winds up in third.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #18 on: September 03, 2015, 10:31:11 PM »

It's all about Hillary. The Pub candidates are almost just a generic Pub choice. Hillary gets about 45% no matter what, and gets a bit more of the undecideds with well known and more controversial Pub candidates (a bit surprising she gets the max 47% figure with Rubio however), but only a couple of points more at the moment. Once voters get to know the candidates better and some states vote in the primaries, the Pub numbers may become more variegated by candidate. That's my read anyway. It's really more of a poll about whether voters want a third term of Obama as POTUS.
The best part is Hillary sinks below 45 only for the nationally unknown Kasich.
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Higgs
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« Reply #19 on: September 03, 2015, 10:35:30 PM »

It's all about Hillary. The Pub candidates are almost just a generic Pub choice. Hillary gets about 45% no matter what, and gets a bit more of the undecideds with well known and more controversial Pub candidates (a bit surprising she gets the max 47% figure with Rubio however), but only a couple of points more at the moment. Once voters get to know the candidates better and some states vote in the primaries, the Pub numbers may become more variegated by candidate. That's my read anyway. It's really more of a poll about whether voters want a third term of Obama as POTUS.
The best part is Hillary sinks below 45 only for the nationally unknown Kasich.

Well she's below 45 against Carson too
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #20 on: September 03, 2015, 11:56:43 PM »

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Well there is that.
People who voted for the losing candidate tend to 'forget' who they voted for. 

Also, the old, white, rural Romney voters are starting to die off.
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jfern
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« Reply #21 on: September 04, 2015, 09:01:49 PM »
« Edited: September 04, 2015, 09:05:10 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Wow, everyone seems to have terrible favorable ratings. Of course Hillary's 36% favorable, 55% unfavorable, while not the worse, are certainly the most significant. Her net favorable is now worse than even Trump, who is 35-53.

Biden (who isn't running, at least not yet), and Carson (who no one ever bothers attacking) are the only 2 candidates with a positive favorable rating.


Hasn't Sanders had a positive favorable rating in every other national poll?

He's been positive in most, and averages to +2.2 on Huffington Post. However, his -8 in this PPP is actually the best he's done in the 3 PPP polls. PPP just doesn't seem to like Sanders. Aside from PPP, he was negative in some Yougov polls, but the latest Yougov is positive, and was -1 in a couple of other polls months ago.
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