GA-Fox 5/IA - Clinton 51, Sanders 24, Biden 15; Trump 34, Carson 25 Bush 11
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  GA-Fox 5/IA - Clinton 51, Sanders 24, Biden 15; Trump 34, Carson 25 Bush 11
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Author Topic: GA-Fox 5/IA - Clinton 51, Sanders 24, Biden 15; Trump 34, Carson 25 Bush 11  (Read 1966 times)
Adam Griffin
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« on: September 03, 2015, 10:35:02 PM »

First Dem poll for GA after all the candidates jumped in as far as I know. Conducted for Fox 5 by Morris News/Insider Advantage via OpinionSavvy.

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http://onlineathens.com/local-news/2015-09-03/poll-clinton-trump-lead-georgia
http://insideradvantage.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/GA-Democrat-PresPrim-9.3.15.pdf

I'd take it with a grain of salt (because IA tends to be bad), but Hillary only being at 51% - in Georgia - is relatively dire for her if this poll is anywhere near accurate. Even with a larger MoE and in the worst-case scenario for her, she should be somewhere in the 60s, if not 70s. It would seemingly suggest that either she's losing some support from black voters or white voters are swinging hard toward Sanders (and to a lesser extent, Biden). "Chafee @ 5%", though...lol.

And Trump-mentum continues - literally a majority of GAGOP is now ready to destroy their own party!
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Skye
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« Reply #1 on: September 03, 2015, 10:44:35 PM »

I expected a bigger margin for Hillary.

lol @ Trump+Carson=60%
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2015, 11:25:56 PM »

Is Opinion Savvy going to do all of the South again?
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Ljube
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« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2015, 11:44:51 PM »

I expected a bigger margin for Hillary.

Hillary is sinking fast with both grouops - the blacks and the whites. We should not be surprised if she soon fell below 50% in southern states.



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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: September 04, 2015, 12:05:04 AM »

That's a pretty strong showing for Sanders in a state that isn't a particularly good fit for in terms of its demographics.

I doubt he's actually leading among hispanics though. That's just the kind of weird result you can get with a small subsample.
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PJ
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« Reply #5 on: September 04, 2015, 01:23:50 AM »

That's a pretty strong showing for Sanders in a state that isn't a particularly good fit for in terms of its demographics.

Doesn't Atlanta have a number of white liberals that would go well with Sanders?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: September 04, 2015, 02:34:29 AM »

That's a pretty strong showing for Sanders in a state that isn't a particularly good fit for in terms of its demographics.

Doesn't Atlanta have a number of white liberals that would go well with Sanders?

Yeah, it's not South Carolina-level bad for him or anything but still not great overall.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #7 on: September 04, 2015, 07:54:08 AM »

They have a problem polling Hispanics. I believe in the 2014 race, they claimed Hispanics preferred Deal/Perdue.

On page 4, they assume 38% male, 62% female, which seems reasonable looking at previous results

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/primaries/pages/epolls/GA/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/#GADEM

But they claim 83% of Hispanic primary voters are male.
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: September 07, 2015, 01:13:10 AM »

Sanders is leading with latinos in this poll - 43% to 35%. Obviously there's a huge margin of error in that specific scenario, but interesting nonetheless.
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