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  Monmouth national poll: Clinton's lead shrinks, Biden has the momentum.
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Author Topic: Monmouth national poll: Clinton's lead shrinks, Biden has the momentum.  (Read 1349 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: September 08, 2015, 10:25:50 am »

Clinton 42%
Biden 22%
Sanders 20%
O'Malley 1%
Webb 1%
Chafee 0%

Interesting: 23% of Democratic voters say that they would be more likely to support Biden if he promised to name Warren as his running mate.

Full release.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: September 08, 2015, 10:37:38 am »

0% for Chafee, and we're now in the qualification window for the first Democratic debate.  He needs to start getting 1% in some of these polls, or he won't be invited.  Also, Lessig obviously won't be invited if the pollsters don't include him.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #2 on: September 08, 2015, 11:03:04 am »

Biden was dreaming about his chances of running; & that is a good thing.
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Torie
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« Reply #3 on: September 08, 2015, 11:03:49 am »
« Edited: September 08, 2015, 11:10:16 am by Torie »

Pity we don't know how many of that 23% who say adding Warren would make them more likely to support Biden, come from voters not already part of Biden's 22%, and how many of those currently support Clinton. Biden does get another 7% saying they would "likely: support Biden if he actually ran, accordingly to the poll.

It's no accident that Politico has a squib that Hillary's going to retool, and become more accessible and "human," or "humanize" her, or something like that. I guess we will find out if Hillary really is human, as opposed to a preprogrammed robotic space alien. The LA Times has a humanizing piece as well.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #4 on: September 08, 2015, 11:16:34 am »

Voters are shopping around; just like Carson can win Iowa; as well. And voters want someone that can win; aside from NY senate, hilary hasnt been elected to anything else.
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Why
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« Reply #5 on: September 08, 2015, 11:23:54 am »

Sanders has exposed Clinton's campaign as not being very strong because she has failed to control the contest against a low caliber opponent. The door has been left ajar and Biden looks to be in a very good position to take advantage of the situation. He can be a really strong opponent to Clinton, much stronger than Sanders would ever be. Clinton needs to be very worried about Biden and needs to very quickly work out a way of getting back the support that is drifting away from her.
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« Reply #6 on: September 08, 2015, 03:46:19 pm »

42%? But she's inevitable!
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Crumpets
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« Reply #7 on: September 08, 2015, 04:45:51 pm »


Yeah, only a 20 point lead over a sitting Vice President? She's dead in the water. Tongue
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: September 08, 2015, 05:08:47 pm »


Yeah, only a 20 point lead over a sitting Vice President? She's dead in the water. Tongue

Who hasn't even entered the race yet. People forget that before Trump announced, he was polling at 3 to 4 percent when included. Announcement bounces are a real thing.
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: September 08, 2015, 05:10:46 pm »


Yeah, only a 20 point lead over a sitting Vice President? She's dead in the water. Tongue

Who hasn't even entered the race yet. People forget that before Trump announced, he was polling at 3 to 4 percent when included. Announcement bounces are a real thing.
Which is why I'm dying to know whether Biden is in or not. Ugh, I hate this waiting.
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Flake
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« Reply #10 on: September 08, 2015, 09:17:57 pm »

I think this is the first national poll where Clinton's numbers are less than the rest of the field (42% for her compared to 44% for everyone else). Not bad since she used to lead by up to 60%.
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« Reply #11 on: September 08, 2015, 09:40:15 pm »

I think this is the first national poll where Clinton's numbers are less than the rest of the field (42% for her compared to 44% for everyone else). Not bad since she used to lead by up to 60%.

No, YouGov had Sanders + Biden > Hillary
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #12 on: September 08, 2015, 09:42:36 pm »


Yeah, only a 20 point lead over a sitting Vice President? She's dead in the water. Tongue

Who hasn't even entered the race yet. People forget that before Trump announced, he was polling at 3 to 4 percent when included. Announcement bounces are a real thing.
Generally, late dark horse entries fail to meet expectations if they do jump in.  Remember Tommy Thompson, Wesley Clark, and Rick Perry?
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jfern
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« Reply #13 on: September 08, 2015, 10:21:16 pm »


Yeah, only a 20 point lead over a sitting Vice President? She's dead in the water. Tongue

Who hasn't even entered the race yet. People forget that before Trump announced, he was polling at 3 to 4 percent when included. Announcement bounces are a real thing.
Generally, late dark horse entries fail to meet expectations if they do jump in.  Remember Tommy Thompson, Wesley Clark, and Rick Perry?

Or Bill Clinton? Oh, wait.
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« Reply #14 on: September 09, 2015, 12:46:32 am »

Will Biden be able to do anything in Iowa and New Hampshire though? That is the question, Sanders and Clinton seems pretty entrenched in those states already.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #15 on: September 09, 2015, 06:40:37 am »

Whatever Biden does, he needs to do it soon.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #16 on: September 09, 2015, 07:51:39 am »


It's no accident that Politico has a squib that Hillary's going to retool, and become more accessible and "human," or "humanize" her, or something like that. I guess we will find out if Hillary really is human, as opposed to a preprogrammed robotic space alien. The LA Times has a humanizing piece as well.

Hillary should ask Mitt how effective humanizing is.
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pho
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« Reply #17 on: September 09, 2015, 09:05:37 am »

If Biden runs, it's curtains for Sanders.
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Platitudes And Senility
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« Reply #18 on: September 09, 2015, 04:27:53 pm »

Has anyone ever promised to name a specific person as VP?
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #19 on: September 09, 2015, 07:08:01 pm »

She would be best off in a cabinet level position and let a KENNEDY run for an open seat in 2018.
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True Federalist
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« Reply #20 on: September 12, 2015, 08:20:45 pm »

Has anyone ever promised to name a specific person as VP?
Not at the primary stage as far as I know. There have been some who did so before the convention back when conventions mattered.
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