CBS News/YouGov: Sanders surging in IA/NH/SC, Trump leads in all 3 states (user search)
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  CBS News/YouGov: Sanders surging in IA/NH/SC, Trump leads in all 3 states (search mode)
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Author Topic: CBS News/YouGov: Sanders surging in IA/NH/SC, Trump leads in all 3 states  (Read 5593 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
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« on: September 13, 2015, 12:37:55 PM »

Presidential primaries are largely nationalized affairs at this point and it makes absolutely no sense for Sanders to be receiving anywhere from 30-40% of the white vote nationally and in most states, but only 10-20% in SC (hopefully everyone will save the "but muh southern whites don't like Bernie" nonsense).

Why does that make no sense?  White Democrats in different parts of the country are pretty different.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2015, 08:32:38 PM »

Joe Biden all but said he's not running. Those Sanders votes in Iowa and SC are gonna drop now and Clinton will win especially SC.

You keep saying this but nobody knows what you're talking about.

This is not an uncommon OC problem.  Tongue
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2015, 09:18:58 PM »

Joe Biden all but said he's not running. Those Sanders votes in Iowa and SC are gonna drop now and Clinton will win especially SC.

You keep saying this but nobody knows what you're talking about.

This is not an uncommon OC problem.  Tongue


Yeah, isn't he the same guy who was once known as "Quincy" on here?

Yes.
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2015, 01:46:31 PM »

Looking at the crosstabs, the same patterns show up everywhere: Carson does better with women and Evangelicals, while Trump does better with men and non-Evangelicals.  Carson also does better with olds and conservatives, while the pattern on those dimensions is less straightforward for Trump.

On the Democratic side, Clinton is always doing better with women and olds, while Sanders is doing better among men and youngs.  Heck, Clinton is only at 5% (and 3rd place) among New Hampshire Dems under the age of 30:

Sanders 67%
Biden 6%
Clinton 5%

And the gender gap is big too.  Sanders leads by 38 points among men in NH, but only 11 points among women.
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