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  NY-Siena: Hillary underwater, Biden with best GE performance against GOPers
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Author Topic: NY-Siena: Hillary underwater, Biden with best GE performance against GOPers  (Read 1227 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: September 21, 2015, 05:44:14 am »

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Loudonville, NY.  Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by more New Yorkers (51 percent) than those who have a favorable view of her (46 percent) for the first time ever, down from 56-40 percent positive in July, according to a new Siena College poll of New York State registered voters released today.

“While still overwhelmingly popular with Democrats, 70-27 percent, Clinton is viewed unfavorably by 86 percent of Republicans and 65 percent of independents.

...

“Of ten Republican presidential candidates polled, only Carson, 40-37 percent, has a positive favorability rating among all voters, with Trump being viewed unfavorably by the most, 65 percent, and Bush close behind at 64 percent,” Greenberg said.

...

Biden leads Bush, Carson and Trump by between 20 and 29 points. Clinton leads each of the three by between 12 and 19 points and Sanders leads the three by between seven and 19 points. Carson runs strongest among the three Republicans against each of the three Democrats.

“New York has been in the ‘blue’ column for every presidential race since Ronald Reagan’s re-election in 1984 and there’s no evidence yet – one year out – that points to that three-decade trend being reversed next year,” Greenberg said. “Biden runs best against the three leading Republican candidates, and he runs stronger against each of the three than does Clinton with Democrats, Republicans and independents.  Though Sanders has a bigger lead against Bush than does Clinton, she has bigger leads than Sanders against Carson and Trump.”

...

This Siena College Poll was conducted September 14-17, 2015 by telephone calls conducted in English to 817 New York State registered voters, including 378 Democrats and 214 Republicans. Respondent sampling was initiated by asking for the youngest male in the household.  It has an overall margin of error of +/- 4.0 percentage points including the design effects resulting from weighting. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points for Democrats and +/- 6.7 percentage points for Republicans.

https://www.siena.edu/news-events/article/hillary-clinton-viewed-unfavorably-by-majority-of-nyers-for-first-time-ever
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2015, 06:32:35 am »

42-state landslide still in the bag, clearly.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2015, 07:23:04 am »

If NY or Ca is in play so is TX or OK. I bet the GOP have the same leads against Dems in TX as Clinton does in NY or CA. She will win both handily.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2015, 07:29:58 am »

Sanders does better against Bush in the general election than Clinton does in New York. lol.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2015, 09:06:33 am »

Biden 59%
Bush 30%

Biden 55%
Carson 35%

Biden 60%
Trump 33%

Clinton 53%
Bush 36%

Clinton 52%
Carson 40%

Clinton 55%
Trump 36%

Sanders 52%
Bush 33%

Sanders 46%
Carson 39%

Sanders 52%
Trump 38%
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2015, 01:17:22 pm »

Clinton 53%
Bush 36%

Clinton 52%
Carson 40%

If those numbers are accurate, there is no way Clinton is currently ahead in VA.

VA is a special case in that the natives are against the democrats, but the government employee transplants tip the scales in dem favor and make up the dem voting machine. These leeches will stay with the democrats no matter what.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2015, 05:38:24 pm »

Clinton 53%
Bush 36%

Clinton 52%
Carson 40%

If those numbers are accurate, there is no way Clinton is currently ahead in VA.

I agree, but I seriously doubt that those numbers are accurate. I can't imagine Hillary doing worse than Kerry in her home state, unless she loses by close to (or more than) 10%.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2015, 05:56:04 pm »

Isn't it a fairly common phenomenon for both the heavily Democratic and Republican states to be artificially close in the super early polls?  E.g., Republicans overperform in early New York polls, but Dems overperform in early Texas polls?  We were definitely seeing that in the polls last year, but I haven't been paying close attention to it of late.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2015, 06:15:02 pm »

And when the GOP and Dem primaries begin; then Clinton will be down by 8-10 pts in TX.

Clinton will win her home state 60/40
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2015, 06:24:13 pm »

That's worse than Obama's 63-35.
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