Morning Consult national poll 9/22/15: Hillary Clinton increases lead over GOP
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 05:14:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Morning Consult national poll 9/22/15: Hillary Clinton increases lead over GOP
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Morning Consult national poll 9/22/15: Hillary Clinton increases lead over GOP  (Read 1301 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 22, 2015, 07:29:25 AM »
« edited: September 22, 2015, 09:35:26 AM by HillOfANight »

http://morningconsult.com/2015/09/poll-trump-leads-clinton-under-50/
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/morning-consult-22772
http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/150907_topline_MERGED-trend_v2_KD.pdf

Clinton 45(43) Bush 39(41), +6(+2)
Clinton 46(44) Rubio 38(38), +8(+6)
Clinton 45(44) Trump 41(40), +4(+4)

Last week's numbers are in parentheses from here
http://morningconsult.com/2015/09/poll-gender-gap-opens-after-trump-attacks-on-fiorina/
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,581
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2015, 08:29:02 AM »

Clinton recovering?
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2015, 08:32:39 AM »
« Edited: September 22, 2015, 08:40:01 AM by HillOfANight »

The worst of the email headlines are probably over. Justice Department seems to be on her side, and FBI is telling GOP to suck it (doesn't help that Grassley is threatening the FBI). More headlines will come and her numbers will ebb, but she's survived the worst of it, and rebounded after saying sorry and going on her press tour.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/12/us/justice-dept-says-hillary-clinton-had-authority-to-delete-certain-emails.html?_r=0

http://www.politicususa.com/2015/09/21/clinton-scandal-life-support-fbi-refuses-gop-email-witch-hunt.html
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2015, 11:25:53 AM »

Strangely enough, Bush and Trump both have a ton of cross over appeal (especially Bush), while Rubio (who is by far the most popular among them with Republicans) has almost no crossover appeal at all. Can anyone explain this? Does it all come down to Rubio's extreme hardline views on abortion? Or are there other things that worry Democrats about Rubio as well? For instance his hardline views on Cuba or his flip-flopping on immigration?
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2015, 11:37:05 AM »

Could be low name recognition? In battleground states where he has higher name recognition, he does tend to do the best.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 22, 2015, 11:39:51 AM »

Strangely enough, Bush and Trump both have a ton of cross over appeal (especially Bush), while Rubio (who is by far the most popular among them with Republicans) has almost no crossover appeal at all. Can anyone explain this? Does it all come down to Rubio's extreme hardline views on abortion? Or are there other things that worry Democrats about Rubio as well? For instance his hardline views on Cuba or his flip-flopping on immigration?

I think you're giving voters too much credit in terms of how much they're tuned in to specific issues at this point.  I doubt a very large fraction of voters know Rubio's position on Cuba.

One possibility is that it's largely an artifact of name recognition.  35% of voters have no opinion of Rubio, which is a much higher # than you get for Bush and Trump.  Without digging into the crosstabs, I'd imagine that, as with many of the lesser known candidates, it's members of their own party who know them better than members of the opposition party.  That's going to limit their crossover support in polls like this, if the potential crossover voters don't know anything about the candidate in question.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 22, 2015, 12:51:43 PM »

Just confirms, that the Clinton slide wasn't that much of a big deal.
Logged
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,459
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 22, 2015, 12:55:35 PM »

Wait, why won't "HillOfANight" "unskew" this poll? Oh, it shows Clinton ahead.

Love you too bae Purple heart
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.