Iowa: The next Missouri. Not that it matters that much, due to its small size.
It matters because VA becomes a must-win state for the Democrats if this trend in IA continues and the GOP manages to win FL and OH. Oh, it also shows that NH (a D+1 PVI state as well!) is a lost cause for the GOP.
Exactly. Immediately after 2012 election, Torie and I analyzed the greening of New Hampshire and its gradual transformation into New Vermont. However, we also lamented the fact that Virginia too was slipping and speculated that the path to GOP victory goes through Pennsylvania.
Polling is showing, however, that all is not lost for the GOP. Florida and Iowa (New Missouri) seem to be moving in Republican direction and I suspect the same to be true for Colorado as well. If Virginia is too far gone and Pennsylvania still too far, could Nevada be the answer to the current GOP disadvantage in the Electoral College?
