Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 05:41:25 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  USAT/Suffolk National
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: USAT/Suffolk National  (Read 1993 times)
Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,315


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 30, 2015, 11:34:58 am »

Trump 23
Fiorina 13
Carson 13
Rubio 9
Bush 8
Cruz 6
Kasich 2
Huckabee 2
Paul 2
Christie 1
Jindal 1
Graham 1
Pataki 0
Santorum 0
Gilmore 0
Undecided: 18

RCP has a real problem including polls with and without the undecided option in the same average. i.e. if Trump has 30% of the electorate, one poll has him at 30 with no undecideds, and the other has him at 22.5 with 25% undecided, its the same ratio but it looks like a huge dip.
Logged
Donald Trump 2016 !
captainkangaroo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 838


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2015, 11:41:34 am »

This looks right. Thought that Christie would be a little higher than 1% though.
Logged
Lyin' Steve
SteveMcQueen
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,315


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2015, 12:14:43 pm »

All of them should be a little higher because of the 18% undecideds. 
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,291
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2015, 12:39:04 pm »
« Edited: September 30, 2015, 01:42:38 pm by Mr. Morden »

Full results given here:

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/9_30_2015_marginals.pdf

Updated trendlines from all national polls:

Img

Logged
Mehmentum
Icefire9
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,461
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2015, 01:20:13 pm »

1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,291
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2015, 01:44:31 pm »

This is part of a larger poll of the general electorate, and they included questions about various candidates, asking respondents to give one word that best describes Trump and Fiorina.  Here are the top responses:

Trump:
idiot/jerk/stupid/dumb 10%
arrogant 6%
crazy/nuts 6%
buffoon/clown/comical/joke 5%
unfavorable/dislike him 4%
egotistical/narcissist/selfish 4%

Fiorina:
smart/intelligent/knowledgeable 10%
dishonest/liar/untrustworthy 6%
strong/tough 5%
favorable/okay/like 5%
idiot/evil/joke/cold 4%
unfavorable/dislike 3%
Logged
○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 45,635


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2015, 02:37:19 pm »

Wow, only 6 candidate above 2%.
Logged
Why
Unbiased
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 615
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2015, 10:54:46 pm »

1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,531
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 30, 2015, 11:25:48 pm »

1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.

Yup - it's not just polling but relative performance, which is why Bush needs a ranking all to himself
Logged
Why
Unbiased
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 615
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2015, 07:09:17 am »

1: Trump
2: Carson & Fiorina
3: Rubio, Bush & Cruz
4: The Rest.

Something like that, although Cruz probably could be put below Rubio and Bush on a level by himself.

Yup - it's not just polling but relative performance, which is why Bush needs a ranking all to himself

That is not what I said.
Logged
A Perez
Full Member
***
Posts: 231
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2015, 09:57:24 am »

The democratic is due at noon.
Logged
Gallium
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 270
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2015, 11:59:22 am »

Dem numbers:

Clinton 41%
Sanders 23%
Biden 20%
Chafee 1%
Webb, O'Malley, Lessig 0%

So Chafee would have finally qualified for the Democratic debate even without CNN's rule change. Lessig meanwhile...
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,392
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2015, 12:00:35 pm »

Dem numbers:

Clinton 41%
Sanders 23%
Biden 20%
Chafee 1%
Webb, O'Malley, Lessig 0%

So Chafee would have finally qualified for the Democratic debate even without CNN's rule change. Lessig meanwhile...

Congratulations to Webb and O'Malley for doing worse than Chafee.
Logged
Castro
Castro2020
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,794
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2015, 12:10:45 pm »

Lessig got 0.46%. Close, but no cigar.
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,291
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2015, 12:36:47 pm »

Img


Note that the "candidate in a word" thing is for all voters, but the primary matchup #s are for Democratic primary voters only.
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 16, 2016, 11:04:52 pm »

Fiorina is in 2nd!!!!
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC