Is it just me, or does Wisconsin seem to be trending pretty strongly D in this election? That's not to say it absolutely won't be competitive, but it seems like its PVI will go from about D+2 to at least D+4 or 5.
I would attribute some of that to Paul Ryan being VP in 2012. He was the 'deer hunter Catholic' and a home state guy. He probably swung WI a few points to the right because of that, but not enough to win.
Scott Walker shows what will happen if Republicans win the presidency in 2016. That state is rightly rejecting such lunacy.