NBC/WSJ GOP and Dem poll for IA and NH

[Likely Voter]

IA: Trump +5, Clinton +5
NH: Trump +5, Sanders +14

For comparison, here are NBC/Marists numbers from 4 weeks ago

IA Trump +7, Clinton +11
NH Trump +16, Sanders +9

[Likely Voter]

I think this shows that the normal rules of politics still are in effect and money can work. This time it may be even more important with the debates being spaced so far apart.

[Likely Voter]

Money works, otherwise the campaigns wouldn't have the candidates spend half their time raising money. Retail politics is very important but Jindal is getting a bump because his campaign has spent a lot in IA on TV. Kasich got a similar bump in NH following his Super PACs spend. Bush is probably getting a bit of a bump too.   Money will be more important down the road, especially on Super Tuesday, but IA and NH are not immune to TV advertising, even today. That being said, it isn't always going to work. I think for candidates like Hillary and Jeb it has a limited effect because they are better known.