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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NBC/WSJ/Marist: Hillary losing in IA and NH
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Hillary losing in IA and NH  (Read 5645 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #25 on: October 05, 2015, 04:46:41 pm »

Hillary simply can and very well might lose to Jeb or Rubio in 2016.

Simple.


She'll lose to Rubio, she has a good chance against Jeb.

But these numbers are just crushing to her. I mean, Sanders is consistently polling 5+ points ahead of her. Yeah, the "unelectable" socialist candidate. If she's losing these two states she's likely losing the country.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #26 on: October 05, 2015, 04:48:17 pm »

Hilary is ahead by 5 against Sanders
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Invisible Obama
DrScholl
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« Reply #27 on: October 05, 2015, 05:00:58 pm »

This is October 2015, you all know that?

Good point.
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olowakandi
olawakandi
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« Reply #28 on: October 05, 2015, 05:48:05 pm »

CO/Ia/Va & OH will be close.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #29 on: October 05, 2015, 09:20:38 pm »

Hilary is ahead by 5 against Sanders


wat
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
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« Reply #30 on: October 05, 2015, 09:27:10 pm »

Hilary is ahead by 5 against Sanders


wat

That comment should have been on the primary board.
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RFayette
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« Reply #31 on: October 05, 2015, 10:00:29 pm »

NH polls do tend to overstate the GOP's standing at this point in the cycle.  I'm not so sure about Iowa though....
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Devils30
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« Reply #32 on: October 05, 2015, 10:06:29 pm »

These polls are oversampling the GOP primary electorate relative to general election voters. Obama approval if it's 47% or so nationally should not be 42% in these states.

That said, I expect NH to keep it's D lean but I see Iowa having an R+1 PVI and flipping with Virginia relative to the national map.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #33 on: October 05, 2015, 10:28:54 pm »

It makes little sense that Clinton is up ten points in Wisconsin while being ten points down in Iowa; or for  that matter that Sanders is up double digits in Wisconsin but down in Iowa and his neighboring state.


No it makes perfect sense. WI voters havent seen her so she is polling like a Dem would poll in WI. NH and IA have seen her up close and DONT LIKE WHAT THEY SEE.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #34 on: October 05, 2015, 11:21:02 pm »

This is October 2015, you all know that?
They are not aware, it seems.
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Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
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« Reply #35 on: October 06, 2015, 01:30:11 am »

Yeah, Clinton isn't going to lose NH. Don't fool yourselves.

This is October 2015, you all know that?
They are not aware, it seems.

When the polls six months ago showed Hillary up 20-25 points, where were the red avatars saying 'early polls don't matter'?
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jaichind
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« Reply #36 on: October 06, 2015, 08:12:18 am »

Too bad this poll did not poll Rubio against the Dem candidates.
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DS0816
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« Reply #37 on: October 08, 2015, 10:31:57 am »

This is October 2015, you all know that?

Evidently not.
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King
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« Reply #38 on: October 11, 2015, 11:08:29 pm »

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=142146.0
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #39 on: October 11, 2015, 11:09:45 pm »

Yeah, Clinton isn't going to lose NH. Don't fool yourselves.

This is October 2015, you all know that?
They are not aware, it seems.

When the polls six months ago showed Hillary up 20-25 points, where were the red avatars saying 'early polls don't matter'?

We assume that people have been through more seasons and should know better.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #40 on: October 12, 2015, 08:25:11 am »

Not polling co-Frontrunner Ben Carson but polling Jeb Bush? Garbage poll.
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