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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: everyone (except Florida) loves Big Ben  (Read 5900 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« on: October 07, 2015, 04:59:54 pm »

Yeah, as I said before Q has been weirdly off this year, they're either the only ones right or setting themselves up for some humiliation.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,565
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2015, 06:15:01 pm »

Their results have been all over the place, but that isn't necessarily a bad thing. A major problem in 2012 and 2014 was the polls herding together. We need pollsters to put out what they actually found, instead of reweighing or discarding polls that "don't look right."

Sure - but it is a valid observation they've certainly been expecting severely depressed Dem turnout.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,565
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2015, 10:55:28 pm »

Lol. Hate to sound like HillOfANight here, but In the Florida poll, Bush is winning the Hispanic sample 44-39, yet only leads Clinton by 1. Like I said before, their PA and FL numbers are junk.

I assume you know that Pubs do much better with Hispanics in Florida than elsewhere, right? My impression is that Pubs do best with Hispanics in Florida (Cubans), second best in Texas (the culture, and they tend to come from the more conservative parts of Mexico, and many have been US citizens for two, three or more generations now), and third best in Arizona (unusually high percentage of Evangelical Protestant Hispanics there).

Also you know that Cubans are a decreasing proportion of the Latino vote in Florida and are being replaced by Puerto Ricans, who are heavily democratic voting.
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