Morning Consult 10/12: Clinton trails Carson, ties Bush, leads others
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  Morning Consult 10/12: Clinton trails Carson, ties Bush, leads others		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Morning Consult 10/12: Clinton trails Carson, ties Bush, leads others  (Read 923 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: October 13, 2015, 05:41:21 PM »
http://morningconsult.com/2015/10/ahead-of-debate-clinton-lead-grows/
http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/151003_crosstabs_trend_v2_JW.pdf

Overall compared to the previous MC poll, she's doing better.

Clinton 41 (40)
Bush 41 (42)

Clinton 43 (42)
Paul 37 (37)

Clinton 41 (38)
Carson 43 (44)

Clinton 43 (43)
Rubio 39 (39)

Clinton 43 (41)
Trump 41 (43)

Clinton 41 (40)
Fiorina 36 (40)
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2015, 05:41:55 PM »
Sorry, wrong folder
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2015, 05:46:31 PM »
Quote from: HillOfANight on October 13, 2015, 05:41:21 PM
Clinton 43 (43)
Rubio 39 (39)

Clinton 43 (41)
Trump 41 (43)

Hey RINOTom, Let's try and win 2016, please. Smiley
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2015, 08:13:53 PM »
Assuming uniform swings from 2012:

Carson vs. Clinton

305-233

Bush vs. Clinton

272-266

Clinton vs. Trump

303-235

Clinton vs. Fiorina/Rubio

332-206

Clinton vs. Paul

347-191
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2015, 08:53:40 PM »
The racial crosstabs are interesting.

Bush vs. Clinton
Whites: 47-35 Bush
Hispanics: 51-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 70-10 Clinton
Others: 55-28 Clinton

Carson vs. Clinton
Whites: 47-35 Carson
Hispanics: 58-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 66-20 Clinton
Others: 58-31 Clinton

Clinton vs. Fiorina
Whites: 41-35 Fiorina
Hispanics: 54-27 Clinton
African-Americans: 68-8 Clinton
Others: 60-26 Clinton

Clinton vs. Rubio
Whites: 44-37 Rubio
Hispanics: 56-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 70-13 Clinton
Others: 60-28 Clinton

Clinton vs. Paul
Whites: 42-38 Paul
Hispanics: 58-23 Clinton
African-Americans: 72-9 Clinton
Others: 63-25 Clinton

Clinton vs. Trump
Whites: 47-37 Trump
Hispanics: 59-30 Clinton
African-Americans: 72-16 Clinton
Others: 60-24 Clinton
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2015, 01:05:36 AM »
Now THAT'S funny.
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2015, 02:17:29 PM »

I don't believe that anything resembling a uniform swing will actually occur. I just like making maps.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2015, 02:24:57 PM »
Quote from: عبدالله الحظرد on October 19, 2015, 02:17:29 PM

I don't believe that anything resembling a uniform swing will actually occur. I just like making maps.

Maps are fun!
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JonathanSwift
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2015, 02:35:58 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 19, 2015, 02:24:57 PM
Quote from: عبدالله الحظرد on October 19, 2015, 02:17:29 PM

I don't believe that anything resembling a uniform swing will actually occur. I just like making maps.

Maps are fun!

They certainly are.
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