TML
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,449
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« on: November 29, 2017, 12:05:45 AM » |
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« edited: November 29, 2017, 12:08:39 AM by TML »
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NY may be a tossup when all of the following conditions are true:
-The Republicans win all suburban/exurban counties surrounding NYC proper.
-They win 30% of the vote in NYC proper.
-They win counties containing some major upstate cities (as of now, I believe the following upstate counties can be considered "locks" for Democrats: Erie, Monroe, Onondaga, Tompkins, Albany, Schenectady).
I think this can only happen with a Republican nominee who adopts socially liberal positions.
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