Austrian Elections & Politics 2.0 (Presidential runoff re-vote: 4 Dec. 2016)

[Tender Branson]

 I guess I'm thinking that there is a broader anti-FPO at all costs part of the Austrian electorate. Btw, when is the next Austrian election, either on the land or city level?

There are no state elections next year.

And unless there are early federal elections, the next one will only be in late 2018.

So, the next semi-important election will be the Graz city council election on Feb. 5, 2017.

Graz is the 2nd largest city in Austria, so it will have some limited importance.

The 2012 result there was:

34% ÖVP
20% Communists
15% SPÖ
14% FPÖ
12% Greens
  3% Pirates
  1% BZÖ
  1% Others

[windjammer]

I suppose Strache as chancellor with OVP-FPO coalition is likely.

[Tender Branson]

Some final maps for the Presidential election:

By state (1st round)



By state (May runoff)



By state (December runoff)



...

By district (1st round)



By district (May runoff)



By district (December runoff)



...

By town (1st round)



By town (May runoff)



By town (December runoff)

[Tender Branson]

I suppose Strache as chancellor with OVP-FPO coalition is likely.

Still a lot of water running down the Danube ...

A) We don't know if Kurz takes over the ÖVP in the next months or before the next election. In this case it is likely that the ÖVP balloons from 18% to around 25-30% just because of the "Kurz effect" (he has 70% favourable ratings) and the FPÖ to drop from 34% to around 25-30%. Creating a tight 3-way race for first place.

B) SPÖ/ÖVP/Greens is also likely. Or ÖVP/SPÖ/Greens.

C) Maybe Irmgard Griss (who came in a strong third in the first round of the Pres. election) will create her own party or run for NEOS. Which would complicate future coalition building.