Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II (user search)
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  Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Does uniting the right in Alberta mean the NDP is toast next election?
#1
Absolutely they are done like dinner
 
#2
NDP still might win, but will be a steep hill to climb
 
#3
NDP will likely win, UCP too extreme
 
#4
NDP will definitely win
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 30

Author Topic: Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II  (Read 190123 times)
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CrabCake
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« on: October 20, 2015, 03:30:41 PM »

Demographics of the new parliament:

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/blogs/canada-politics/women-and-visible-minorities-make-election-gains-154729934.html
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CrabCake
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2015, 04:54:01 AM »

What are we to make of the Bloc? They don't have official party status, nor has Duceppe been elected; but will this mini-revival stave off their demise?

I think the NDP is in not that bad a shape in retrospect. Their caucus is a lot more balanced - before it seemed to be Quebec + a handful of other guys, now it seems less vulnerable to the strange and fickle nature of the Québécois electorate. They lost a lot of talented people, but they stil exist - and I imagine a lot of the carer ones could enter their provincial NDP politics and really stir the pot. Plus Trudeau's cabinet is going to be full of people like Blair and Leslie who will probably lose the "progressive" label pretty quickly.


The hard part for the NDP is either getting a decent and reliable hold on Toronto seats or looking away from the capital. He GTA is just a frustrating region for the party.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2015, 05:55:22 PM »

And also Duceppe is basically their only good politician. He's funny, can argue a point well, has a wide appeal etc. we'll see if the new bunch has anybody who can hold a candle, but for the most part Quebec is less interested in having sovereignties in parliament, locking the province from influencing government by entering power.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2015, 07:45:11 AM »

Is all this anger over a farm safety bill? Topkek
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CrabCake
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« Reply #4 on: March 15, 2016, 10:33:49 PM »

Has Bieber's war on FPTP sunk down to provinical level yet?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #5 on: April 16, 2016, 08:24:31 PM »

Err, Costa Rica, Australia, Denmark, Slovakia...
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CrabCake
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« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2016, 07:02:55 PM »

IRV would hit Bloc worst, I assume?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #7 on: June 11, 2016, 05:08:40 PM »

The NDP better hope the housing booms in Toronto and Vancouver burst and/or liberals antagonise Quebec.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #8 on: July 04, 2016, 02:54:15 PM »


would he sell the one named after his dad?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2016, 10:19:36 AM »

Woah,  and the Newfie grits were starting from behind after their landslide victory. I assume some oil induced austerity?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2016, 10:54:16 AM »


this links to an article on the election in Yukon
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CrabCake
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« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2016, 08:24:41 AM »

lol Trump is friends with Mulroney? lmao
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CrabCake
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« Reply #12 on: February 01, 2017, 05:46:38 PM »

Goddamit Bieber.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #13 on: February 11, 2017, 07:59:24 AM »

That would be a great chart to stick in instinctive America bashers' faces.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #14 on: February 11, 2017, 11:19:13 AM »

That would be a great chart to stick in instinctive America bashers' faces.

Quite so, although it wold confirm the biases of our instinctive Quebec bashers Tongue

The mosque monitoring and headscarf bans are particularly worrying. How on earth can we claim to be 'progressive' and want to monitor minority religions and tell them what to wear?!

Tbh I think the regions most ripe for seizure by the populist right is the Atlantic provinces imo.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #15 on: March 20, 2017, 01:58:14 PM »

I would say no. Elections aren't independent events - there is overspill over borders - but it isn't as simplistic as that. Especially as O'Leary isn't really that much like Wilders or Le Pen or even Trump (beyond the superficial similarities).
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CrabCake
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« Reply #16 on: May 15, 2017, 04:04:38 PM »


Jesus, how many actual prominent Harper people are left?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2017, 09:49:52 AM »

Lol at the random PC revival though!
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CrabCake
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« Reply #18 on: June 22, 2017, 05:49:51 PM »

What is more important for QS, separatism or leftism?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #19 on: June 26, 2017, 07:54:07 AM »

Any chance of an early Alberta election?

Can't think why the NDP would call one, especially considering their only hope is to hope the oil prices rise soon and the diasterous move by Prentice in 2015 that brought them into power in the first place.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #20 on: August 12, 2017, 06:57:26 AM »

I think more to the point, it's a successful time for the Liberal brand rather than "progressive politics". After all, most of the Atlantic Canada liberals are hardly particularly progressive.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #21 on: September 13, 2017, 05:01:45 PM »


"Trudeau era" confused me there for a sec!
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CrabCake
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« Reply #22 on: December 19, 2017, 01:32:58 PM »

Quick question: How many current fringe parties do you think would win seats if we switched to the Dutch system? (i.e. We know the major parties would break up and form new parties if we changed, but what about the current fringey types)

The Libertarians were already 2/3's of the way to a seat in 2015 despite only running 70 candidates, so I'm sure they'd get a couple seats. Christian Heritage didn't do well in 2015, but I'm sure they could tap into socons dissatisfied with the Tories if the system changed. Anyone else?

What specifically is the Dutch system?

Nationwide constituency, no threshold.

I could imagine a suite of parties getting in tbh - there would be astonishing low barier to getting on - the Communists, the Rhinos, the Marxists Leninists, the Pirates and the Animal Party would probably get their feet in the door. Assuming they get on the national ballot.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #23 on: January 30, 2018, 01:07:39 AM »

If what they claim is true, then when was the last time the entire political establishment of a country was decapitated on such a scale?

Brazil in the past few years?
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CrabCake
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« Reply #24 on: January 30, 2018, 09:30:27 AM »

I've heard rumours there is a much bigger explosive sex scandal lurking that will hit someone a lot higher up and bigger than Patrick Brown.  Not sure if there is any truth in these rumours, but it would not surprise me if by year's end someone even higher up the food chain gets taken down.

Couldn't it be Trudeau, could it?

That seems to be the implication (as well as Scheer, possibly?)
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