Canada General Discussion: Trudeau II

[Lachi]

PEI poll, posting it because I am happy to see Liberal support eroding there after their giant "fuck you" after going against the result of the electoral reform referendum.

Liberal: 46 (-18)
PC: 25 (+3)
Green: 22 (+13)
NDP: 7 (-1)


Ironically due to the vote split, they would probably win every seat with those numbers.

Holy sh**t, that can't be right, the Greens at 22%?!

[Lachi]

Ah, so the Liberal honeymoon has finally ended. Most of their loss has been to the Conservatives. They'll need to make real accomplishments (the internal trade deal helps, maybe they should start Harper-style national propaganda campaign), and hope O'Leary wins the CPC leadership. They probably already have hours of attack ad footage ready to air.

Anything harper-style would be suicide for the Conservatives.

[Lachi]

Mainstreet: 43/31/15. Breguet's latest projection has 234/84/17/2/1, i.e. Making 1950s Liberalism Great Again. Justin at 55/40 approval. Grits would win 65 seats here. But Tories would keep their seats here, including Lac St. Jean, while as I thought, Boulerice, Brosseau and Laverdiere would be our sole Dipper survivors. Near clean Grit sweep in BC too. Policy-wise, Mainstreet says Grits are winning the tax debate.

Alberta showing it's stuck in the past federally, as usual...

[Lachi]

I'm in Calgary visiting my in laws. Some quick thoughts:

Roads: Excellent
Sprawl: Everywhere
Consumerism: Rampant
Scenery: Beautiful

Also, Nenshi seems to be winning the sign war.

Polls suggest otherwise.  I was in High River for Thanksgiving and there Trudeau and Notley seemed univrsally hated mind you 75% voted Tory last federal election and 75% voted for either the PCs or Wildrose last provincial election no surprise.  Calgary will be interesting, but if Mainstreet Poll is to believed, a 17 point gap is a big one to overcome.

uhh, NOT EVEN CLOSE to correct.
Federally, they won 59.5%, and in the provincial election, PC+WR won 52.03% (27.8+24.23, respectively)

[Lachi]

What is it with Forum Research and their obviously pro conservative polling?