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  IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Clinton 48% Sanders 41% O’Malley 2% Chafee 1%
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Author Topic: IA-Bloomberg/DMR/Selzer: Clinton 48% Sanders 41% O’Malley 2% Chafee 1%  (Read 2073 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 22, 2015, 05:06:03 am »

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-10-22/bloomberg-politics-des-moines-register-iowa-poll-democratic-race


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eric82oslo
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2015, 05:14:16 am »
« Edited: October 22, 2015, 05:17:31 am by eric82oslo »

41% for Sanders in Iowa must be an all time high for him I guess? Well, Iowa is a very rural state that loves its guns and they're in the very heartland, so foreign policy should be the last thing on their mind. It all makes sense to me now. I'm not sure we've seen peak Sanders yet to be honest. (I actually think not.) We might have seen peak Trump though.

Maybe Bill Maher will move his show (permanently) to Des Moines now?
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2015, 05:18:28 am »

Finally some good news for Bernie.

Last Selzer had Hillary lead 37-30-14, so it's the same lead now without Biden.

Selzer is the gold standard of Iowa.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2015, 05:19:46 am »

fav/unfav among Dems:

Sanders 82/10% for +72%
Clinton 85/14% for +71%
O’Malley 43/17% for +26%
Lessig 10/12% for -2%
Chafee 14/30% for -16%

Also, a plurality of Iowa Dems think TPP would be good for the state:


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jfern
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2015, 05:21:41 am »

Wow, those are terrible favorables for Chafee.
Also good news for Bernie that he's got 8% undecided about him versus 1% for Hillary. 
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2015, 05:46:59 am »

Did they poll the race without Biden last time?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2015, 05:56:28 am »
« Edited: October 22, 2015, 05:58:06 am by Fmr President & Senator Polnut »

This was the last poll with Biden... plus this was from the end of August.

Joe Biden (D)   14%   
Lincoln Chafee (D)   1%   
Hillary Clinton (D)   37%   
Martin O'Malley (D)   3%   
Bernie Sanders (D)   30%   
Jim Webb (D)   2%   
Undecided   14%   

So in that circumstance - Biden is down 2, Clinton is up 5 and Sanders is up 7.

But we'll see what the next bunch of polls with Biden officially out of the race looks like. Because remembering knowing that Biden is ABSOLUTELY out will have an impact, moreso than just being given the option.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2015, 06:00:28 am »

Glad Sanders is surviving the Clinton MSM lovefest here at the very least.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2015, 06:04:29 am »

Glad Sanders is surviving the Clinton MSM lovefest here at the very least.

I've never thought I'd hear the words 'Clinton MSM lovefest'. At least some have moved on from the secret anti-Sanders polling conspiracy.... or have they?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2015, 06:07:28 am »

Did they poll the race without Biden last time?

The August #s without Biden are shown here:


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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2015, 06:39:40 am »

I guess we'll get Republican numbers tomorrow?
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Skye
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2015, 12:16:40 pm »

My God, 2 candidates in the 40s? Truly Biden getting out was a good thing.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2015, 01:46:07 pm »

Did they poll the race without Biden last time?

The August #s without Biden are shown here:




Damn, look at that epic Sanders collapse !

Sanders has "collapsed" from trailing by 8 in August to 7 now following the debate ...
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Ebsy
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2015, 01:51:21 pm »

Yes Tender, at that rate of progress, Bernie Sanders will be leading in Iowa in next November.
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Deranged California Suburbanite
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2015, 03:13:34 pm »

Honestly, I have no idea what these polls mean. That's an excellent poll for Sanders in contrast to a lot of the polls from NH. "INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR MEANINGFUL ANSWER."
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2015, 05:20:38 pm »

Honestly, I have no idea what these polls mean. That's an excellent poll for Sanders in contrast to a lot of the polls from NH. "INSUFFICIENT DATA FOR MEANINGFUL ANSWER."

And New Hampshire said: "Let there be President Sanders!"

And there was President Sanders.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2015, 01:33:55 am »

Sanders can win both Iowa and New Hampshire, but it won't matter as Hillary can then counter with South Carolina, Nevada, and SEC Super Tuesday.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2015, 06:39:29 pm »

Incidentally, looks like we'll be getting new polls from IA, NH, and SC on Sunday morning courtesy of CBS:

https://twitter.com/FaceTheNation/status/657616923899858944

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Likely Voter
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2015, 06:43:00 pm »

Incidentally, looks like we'll be getting new polls from IA, NH, and SC on Sunday morning courtesy of CBS:

https://twitter.com/FaceTheNation/status/657616923899858944

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I assume more of their YouGov polling?   Not sure how good those are but I suspect being online polls they will give Trump a boost. The last ones were also very good for Sanders.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #19 on: October 24, 2015, 06:57:44 pm »

Incidentally, looks like we'll be getting new polls from IA, NH, and SC on Sunday morning courtesy of CBS:

https://twitter.com/FaceTheNation/status/657616923899858944

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I assume more of their YouGov polling?   Not sure how good those are but I suspect being online polls they will give Trump a boost. The last ones were also very good for Sanders.

Their last NH poll was incredibly good for Trump.  But their IA and SC polls didn't seem especially Trump-friendly as compared to other polls taken at the same time.  They gave Trump a 4 point lead in Iowa, which was narrower than any other poll that month.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #20 on: October 24, 2015, 07:08:17 pm »

Yougov's last polls were way too favorable for Sanders. We'll see if that's still the case this time.
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