IA/NH/SC-CBS/YouGov: Trump ties Carson in Iowa; leads in NH and SC
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  IA/NH/SC-CBS/YouGov: Trump ties Carson in Iowa; leads in NH and SC
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Author Topic: IA/NH/SC-CBS/YouGov: Trump ties Carson in Iowa; leads in NH and SC  (Read 596 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 25, 2015, 09:36:52 AM »
« edited: October 25, 2015, 09:42:39 AM by Mr. Morden »

Here are the #s released so far from CBS's tracker in the early primary states:

https://twitter.com/FaceTheNation/status/658290468443152384

Iowa
Trump 27%
Carson 27%
Cruz 12%
Rubio 9%
Bush 6%
Fiorina 3%
Paul 3%
Santorum 2%
Huckabee 2%
Jindal 2%
Kasich 2%
Christie 1%

New Hampshire
Trump 38%
Carson 12%
Bush 8%
Fiorina 7%
Rubio 7%
Kasich 5%
Cruz 5%
Paul 4%
Christie 2%

South Carolina
Trump 40%
Carson 23%
Cruz 8%
Rubio 7%
Bush 6%
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2015, 09:44:47 AM »

Wonder who will emerge as the next IA frontrunner.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2015, 09:48:35 AM »

Here are the full #s:

https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/10/25/clinton-surges-early-states-carson-levels-trump-io/


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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2015, 09:57:09 AM »

I can't wait to get boat loads of popcorn to watch the trainwreck that is this primary season.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2015, 09:57:46 AM »

It seems to me that these polls are very pro-Trump and pro-Sanders.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2015, 10:01:18 AM »

DOMINATING!

Looks like TRUMP's New Hampshire and South Carolina firewall is holding firm.
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Why
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2015, 10:14:00 AM »

It seems to me that these polls are very pro-Trump and pro-Sanders.

There might be some basis to the suggestion that the polls are overstating Trump support. The CBS/Yougov polls seem to consistently be quite high in these states when comparing to other polls included in the RCP averages of these three states. The effect in SC seems to be less pronounced but there has also been less polling there.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2015, 11:32:01 AM »

Wonder who will emerge as the next IA frontrunner.

I hope Cruz gets it and wins SC, he's their tea party candidate.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2015, 12:46:17 PM »

It seems to me that these polls are very pro-Trump and pro-Sanders.

Well, they are internet polls. Trump and Sanders could soil themselves on the debate stage and the internet polls would still say they won it in a landslide. Let's not forget they nearly unanimously said Trump/Sanders won the most recent debates easily, but the actual voters thought much differently.

Granted, YouGov at least has the methodology of a scientific pollster, but it's not surprising the "internet poll bias" still creeps in to an extent.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2015, 12:47:00 PM »

Carson now leads Iowa on our map.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2015, 05:52:47 PM »

Again, SC seems the only poll here that sits with the current trend.
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