IA PrimR: Loras: Carson - 31, Trump - 19, Rubio - 10, Bush - 7
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  IA PrimR: Loras: Carson - 31, Trump - 19, Rubio - 10, Bush - 7
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Author Topic: IA PrimR: Loras: Carson - 31, Trump - 19, Rubio - 10, Bush - 7  (Read 1241 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: October 26, 2015, 10:58:53 AM »

Report.

Carson - 31
Trump - 19
Rubio - 10
Bush - 7
Cruz - 6
Jindal - 5
Fiorina - 2
Paul - 2
Christie - 2
Kasich - 1
Santorum - 1
Graham - <1
Pataki - 0
Not sure - 13
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#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2015, 11:01:08 AM »

The Carson surge and Trump collapse is real.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2015, 11:01:51 AM »

At this point, it safe to said that the YouGov poll is an outlier.  

But even that poll (the best poll for Trump) said that Trump had lost the lead.
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2015, 11:03:03 AM »

The Carson surge and Trump collapse is real.
It is. Now I wait for Carson to fall.
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RFayette
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« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2015, 11:04:19 AM »

The Carson surge and Trump collapse is real.

Trump only really has collapsed in Iowa though.
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weixiaobao
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« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2015, 11:07:56 AM »
« Edited: October 26, 2015, 11:13:25 AM by weixiaobao »

Cruz's #s is about half of what the other 3 polls said.

Paul's # for the last 4 polls (5%, 6%, 3%, 2%).  That is also pretty wildly different.

Look like Iowa gonna be Iowa.  When I move Carson from my like list to "can't stand him talking anymore" list, Iowa decided to put him ahead him.  Lol.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #6 on: October 26, 2015, 11:09:30 AM »

If Carson wins Iowa, and Trump wins New Hampshire and South Carolina, get ready to see a Trump v Carson race.
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Why
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« Reply #7 on: October 26, 2015, 11:24:11 AM »

If Carson wins Iowa, and Trump wins New Hampshire and South Carolina, get ready to see a Trump v Carson race.

If these two were more normal candidates than is what everyone would be saying, we probably would also have seen the field whittled down a bit more as well.
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RI
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« Reply #8 on: October 26, 2015, 11:26:59 AM »

New Poll: Iowa President by Loras College on 2015-10-22

Summary:
Carson:
31%
Trump:
19%
Rubio:
10%
Bush:
7%
Cruz:
6%
Other:
14%
Undecided:
13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: October 26, 2015, 01:40:34 PM »

Trump's collapse is isolated to Iowa atm, and to be fair he's still in a clear second place.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: October 26, 2015, 01:47:00 PM »

Cruz has generally registered higher in Iowa.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: October 26, 2015, 03:28:19 PM »

Carson's lead will evaporate once it becomes clear that his actual goal isn't to be elected president but to sell books.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: October 26, 2015, 03:54:33 PM »

Carson's lead will evaporate once it becomes clear that his actual goal isn't to be elected president but to sell books.

Oh like that stopped Republicans from supporting Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain.
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pikachu
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« Reply #13 on: October 26, 2015, 04:14:56 PM »

Carson's a good fit for Iowa and even if he wins it, Trump would be the favorite in New Hampshire.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2015, 05:04:21 PM »

Certainly makes the YouGov poll look like an outlier.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #15 on: October 26, 2015, 05:08:19 PM »
« Edited: October 26, 2015, 05:09:53 PM by Likely Voter »

Certainly makes the YouGov poll look like an outlier.

Pretty much all non-Internet polls (and even some Internet polls like Survey Monkey) make the YouGov polls look like outliers
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: October 26, 2015, 05:09:24 PM »

Carson's lead will evaporate once it becomes clear that his actual goal isn't to be elected president but to sell books.

Oh like that stopped Republicans from supporting Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain.

Didn't it?
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Badger
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2015, 09:54:20 PM »


consider the CBS polls were heavily Trump skewed ("tied" in IA)., it remains to be seen how the numbers in NH and sc are trending. regardless, if Trump doesn't reverse or at least stem this trend quickly, that'll change soon.
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