Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 18, 2018, 11:47:49 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Election 2018 predictions for US Senate are now open!.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
| | | | |-+  SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton  (Read 3666 times)
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,580
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2015, 10:26:10 am »

Trump 46
Clinton 37

Quote
Poll details: 2,075 adults from the state of Georgia were interviewed 10/15/15 through 10/26/15. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (68% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (32% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device.

http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2015/11/02/exclusive-poll-georgia-wants-trump-president/74819370/
Logged
Higgs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,642


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2015, 05:45:34 pm »

No surprise
Logged

President Trump, get used to saying it.
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,212
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2015, 07:19:27 pm »

Not a big surprise, yeah.
Logged

Are you a fan of Batman? Ever wanted to control the fate of Gotham City? Do you just like to vote for the fictional elections in Individual Politics? If so, please participate in my Life in Gotham series: http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=256585.0
Maxwell
mah519
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 28,734
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2015, 07:25:48 pm »

President-elect Trump will deliver a thrashing to the establishment on November, which is why the Republican leadership desperately does not want him to win. They want a patsy like John Ellis or Marco Amnesty to lead their party to certain defeat.
Logged
McCaskill 2020
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,868
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2015, 11:15:39 am »

Wasn't GA supposed to be a battleground state next year? Oh, but still:
>SUSA
« Last Edit: November 06, 2015, 11:33:58 am by TNvolunteer »Logged

#McCaskillOrBust

Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,644
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2015, 02:44:24 pm »

It was only a PPP pol that showed that, even NC was considered one too. But, Clinton has enough states to take on in Iowa , perhaps OH.
Logged
Extrabase500
Full Member
***
Posts: 143
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2015, 08:11:27 pm »

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...
Logged
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2015, 12:09:51 am »

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...

Ah, but President Obama lost Georgia by 5% and 8% in 2008 and 2012, respectfully. Back in 2014, Nunn and Carter both lost by ~8%, even in the national Republican landslide. I don't believe that any Democrat will lose by 10% Smiley
Logged

Fmr. President North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,213
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2015, 02:22:22 am »

The demographics aren't there to ensure a win, but they are there to ensure 45%-46%, which means a 6%-9% Trump victory when you factor in third parties.

Logged


"A majority held in restraint by constitutional checks and limitations, and always changing easily with deliberate changes of popular opinions and sentiments, is the only true sovereign of a free people." - Lincoln's First Inaugural Address, emphasis mine.
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,927
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2015, 08:56:20 pm »

Third parties? Not likely to amount to much.
Logged



Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
Fmr. Pres. Griff
Adam Griffin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14,253
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2015, 03:32:08 pm »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.
Logged

Posts deleted for "Excessive Hyperbole". I'm turning 30 years old next month and I had to freaking google what the hell "hyperbole" was.
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10,396
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2015, 03:37:53 pm »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

I dunno, I think Trump is likely to outperform with independents everywhere and lock them up pretty early. His problem is getting the GOP out for him.
Logged

Fashion. Football. Furniture Shopping.
LIPINSKI * LYNCH * LAMB
Vote for Cuomo not the homo!

One True Passion: the timeline
The Hottest PG-13 Tale Allowed on the Atlas Forum



Spend my dollar ON BEER
Parked in a holler...ROLL TIDE
Hold her uptight AGAINST THE WALL
Make a little lovin' ALL NIGHT
Beat AUBURN AND LSU ✓ and The Citadel too
Fmr. Southern Del. Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,659
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 06, 2015, 08:22:45 pm »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.
Logged

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2018 MS Special/2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,710
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 06, 2015, 08:47:58 pm »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?
Logged

Fmr. Southern Del. Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,659
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: December 06, 2015, 08:58:36 pm »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?

SUSA had Obama 6 points behind Gingrich and 7 points behind Romney in Dec. 2011. Mason Dixon had Obama much further behind at the same time.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9f7c5d5d-4d53-4675-af4b-65290e7797d2
http://jacksonville.com/news/florida/2011-12-18/story/georgia-republicans-prefer-newt-gingrich-poll-shows

« Last Edit: December 06, 2015, 09:00:13 pm by Wulfric »Logged

#FreeGreedoToday
#SherrodBrown2020
https://tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge

2018 MS Special/2019 GOV Ratings: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1bGAG7xF6fQTpNuyp5rJDDve4xGRuJM6WsXouSStfKNE
2020 House Rating - Toss-Up
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines