SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:05:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: SUSA-GA: Trump beats Clinton  (Read 4895 times)
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,579
Venezuela


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 02, 2015, 10:26:10 AM »

Trump 46
Clinton 37

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.11alive.com/story/news/politics/2015/11/02/exclusive-poll-georgia-wants-trump-president/74819370/
Logged
Higgs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,581


Political Matrix
E: 6.14, S: -4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2015, 05:45:34 PM »

No surprise
Logged
Bigby
Mod_Libertarian_GOPer
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,164
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: 3.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2015, 07:19:27 PM »

Not a big surprise, yeah.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2015, 07:25:48 PM »

President-elect Trump will deliver a thrashing to the establishment on November, which is why the Republican leadership desperately does not want him to win. They want a patsy like John Ellis or Marco Amnesty to lead their party to certain defeat.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,755
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 06, 2015, 02:44:24 PM »

It was only a PPP pol that showed that, even NC was considered one too. But, Clinton has enough states to take on in Iowa , perhaps OH.
Logged
Extrabase500
Rookie
**
Posts: 142
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 06, 2015, 08:11:27 PM »

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...
Logged
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2015, 12:09:51 AM »

No Dem is going to come within 10% of Georgia. Thats pretty obvious...

Ah, but President Obama lost Georgia by 5% and 8% in 2008 and 2012, respectfully. Back in 2014, Nunn and Carter both lost by ~8%, even in the national Republican landslide. I don't believe that any Democrat will lose by 10% Smiley
Logged
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
Moderators
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 54,123
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2015, 02:22:22 AM »

The demographics aren't there to ensure a win, but they are there to ensure 45%-46%, which means a 6%-9% Trump victory when you factor in third parties.

Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2015, 08:56:20 PM »

Third parties? Not likely to amount to much.
Logged
Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,090
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: December 06, 2015, 03:32:08 PM »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,749
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: December 06, 2015, 03:37:53 PM »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

I dunno, I think Trump is likely to outperform with independents everywhere and lock them up pretty early. His problem is getting the GOP out for him.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,577
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 06, 2015, 08:22:45 PM »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 06, 2015, 08:47:58 PM »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,577
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 06, 2015, 08:58:36 PM »
« Edited: December 06, 2015, 09:00:13 PM by Wulfric »

Any poll that doesn't show a near dead-even race in Georgia at this point is garbage. Why? Polls start off with candidates running neck and neck due to the polarity of the state (with a slight R advantage, usually) until the "independents" in the final two weeks "make up their minds" and break heavily - usually 3/1 - to the Republican.

Trajectory of the 2014 Senate Race /=/ trajectory of a normal race in GA.

But that is the trajectory of a normal race in Georgia, isn't it?

SUSA had Obama 6 points behind Gingrich and 7 points behind Romney in Dec. 2011. Mason Dixon had Obama much further behind at the same time.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=9f7c5d5d-4d53-4675-af4b-65290e7797d2
http://jacksonville.com/news/florida/2011-12-18/story/georgia-republicans-prefer-newt-gingrich-poll-shows

Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.037 seconds with 13 queries.