LA: WVLA/JMC: Edwards at 52%, Vitter still in trouble

[Xing]

If Dems win La, a state they were supposed to lose, may be a sign for 2016. Even 2017, looks good, where Va gov looks like it may well be a Democratic hold after McAuliffe.

These gubernatorial races aren't an indicator for what will happen in 2016. First of all, the dynamics of gubernatorial races are very different from that of senate races or presidential races. Second of all, A LOT can happen in a year. Democrats picked up Virginia in 2013, and that was not an indicator of 2014 at all.

With that said, it is incredible that Edwards really does look to be the favorite in this race, which would mean that Democrats would make a pick-up in a state that has recently been unwinnable for them.

[ElectionsGuy]

Toss-Up --> Lean D!

Vitter's going to have to pull off the unthinkable, court all the undecideds (who likely lean R, but still) and convince some people in for Edwards already to vote for him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Dems win La, a state they were supposed to lose, may be a sign for 2016. Even 2017, looks good, where Va gov looks like it may well be a Democratic hold after McAuliffe.

These gubernatorial races aren't an indicator for what will happen in 2016. First of all, the dynamics of gubernatorial races are very different from that of senate races or presidential races. Second of all, A LOT can happen in a year. Democrats picked up Virginia in 2013, and that was not an indicator of 2014 at all.

With that said, it is incredible that Edwards really does look to be the favorite in this race, which would mean that Democrats would make a pick-up in a state that has recently been unwinnable for them.

You forgot NJ was an indicator in 2009 for what was happening around country in 2010.

Chris Christie ushered in a new wave of conservatism, that helped sweep Dems out of House in 2010.

As long as Rubio or Kasich or Jeb isnt on ballot, winning the election is alot easier, because of Clinton's strength against the other GOPers in OH/Va is alot better.

[pbrower2a]

We will see soon enough.

Are Louisiana voters getting R fatigue? Or is David Vitter simply unelectable?

This election will have implications in a Senate race.

[Miles]

Full report.

LG is basically tied, 40/39 for Nungesser, but sort of surprisingly, Landry leads Caldwell 38/34 for AG.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

It really pains me to do this in a state like Louisiana, but I am moving LA-GOV to Safe D.  At least Edwards is much better than any current Democratic governor or senator (even Joe Manchin).

Unfortunately, I will lose my line that there is not a single Democratic governor, senator, state house, or state senate from the Carolinas to Texas.

[ElectionsGuy]

Full report.

LG is basically tied, 40/39 for Nungesser, but sort of surprisingly, Landry leads Caldwell 38/34 for AG.

Now the LG is competitive? Louisiana Dems are having a spark, a rehabilitation this year.