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Author Topic: SUSA-FL: Clinton strong, but Trump and Carson dominating  (Read 973 times)
yeah_93
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« on: November 03, 2015, 11:46:26 am »

vs Clinton

Trump 47
Clinton 43

Carson 47
Clinton 44

Clinton 46
Bush 44

Clinton 46
Rubio 45

Clinton 48
Fiorina 42

vs Sanders

Trump 50
Sanders 41

Carson 48
Sanders 40

Bush 46
Sanders 44

Rubio 46
Sanders 44

Sanders 46
Fiorina 43

Quote
The poll was conducted Wednesday, Oct. 28 Sunday, Nov. 1, 2015 by SurveyUSA for Bay News 9 and News 13.

3,000 state of Florida adults were interviewed. Of the adults, 2,712 were registered to vote in the state of Florida. Of the registered voters, 2,400 were determined to be likely to vote in the Nov. 8, 2016 general election. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA determined that 922 were likely to vote in the Republican primary, and 826 were likely to vote in the Democratic primary, both on March 15, 2016.

This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode: respondents reachable on their home telephone (69% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of registered voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Barack Obama carried Florida (the state was "blue") in both 2008 and 2012.

http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/news/article.html/content/news/articles/cfn/2015/11/3/florida_decides_poll_2016_election.html#3
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Ebsy
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2015, 11:50:17 am »

How was SUSA in 2012 in regards to state level polls?
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2015, 12:19:10 pm »

Hillary is leading Bush and Rubio in their home states. That's something.

Seems here and in several other polls that Fiorina is already toast btw.
« Last Edit: November 03, 2015, 12:21:04 pm by eric82oslo »Logged
JonathanSwift
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2015, 12:24:26 pm »

Another poll confirms that Trump and Carson are electable and the establishment candidates aren't.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2015, 12:55:25 pm »

How was SUSA in 2012 in regards to state level polls?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/fordham-study-public-policy-polling-deemed-most-accurate-national-pollster-in-2012

Average results in 2012, good in 2008.

Avg Error 2.2, Republican bias. These were also the guys that said close race in Kentucky (though so did everyone else).
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d950cadf-05ce-4148-a125-35c0cdab26c6
They also claimed Trump would win 25% of the black vote. Overall, generally ok toplines, screwy crosstabs sometimes.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2015, 12:57:33 pm »

Trump only leads by four, this race is still in play. R's supposed to have a seven pt advantage.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2015, 02:17:08 pm »

Haha, is it just me, or has our current political climate of anti-establishment attitude and frustrated voters actually caused candidates to be at a disadvantage in their home states??  LOL.
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