Predict Margin (%) for LA-Governor

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Full list of runoffs:

* = R vs. R contest
^ = D vs. D contest

Attorney General*
BESE Board - Districts 4* and 6*
Governor
Lt. Governor
State House - Districts 29^, 32, 34^, 40^, 45*, 51*, 53*, 63^, 66*, 69*, 72^, 99^, 100^, 103
State Senate - Districts 7^, 12, 36*, 38

Interesting that out of 23 total runoffs, all but 6 are among two members of the same party.

My Predictions:

52-48 Edwards
55-45 Nungesser
58-42 Caldwell

[smoltchanov]

So, in legislative elections there are only 4 races between Democrat and Republican. My forecast:

SD-12 - Mizell (R) (almost won in 2011)
SD-38 - Burford (R) (though Milkovich may have some  remote chances, being very social conservative and relatively well-known after 2 previous campaigns for House)

HD-32 - Hill (by very narrow margin, because 3rd place Democrat seems to be a Republican plant, and because of  sheriff's election in Beauregard parish, which must drive turnout there...)
HD-103 - Garofalo (R) (though will root for Hunnicut (D), but district has Republican lean< Garofalo is an incumbent and has about 16% advantage after 1st round)

One more interesting duel is "a battle of 2 Carters" in JBE's HD-72, but much more experienced (and seems to be - substantially more popular) former state representative from this district "Robby" Carter (43% in first round, politically - centrist) must prevail over substantially more conservative, younger and less experienced Hunter Carter (20%)

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Edwards: 54%
Vitter: 46%

[Maxwell]

I'm going to go ahead and hedge my bets a bit on the Governors race -

Edwards - 53%
Vitter - 47%

[DINGO Joe]

Still at 57-43 based on polling and the EV.  If rural whites didn't show up for EV, I don't see why they'll show up on election day.

[publicunofficial]

53% - Vitter
47% - Edwards

I have no faith in the people of Louisiana

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Updated Predictions:

52-48 Edwards
56-44 Nungesser
52-48 Landry

[Gass3268]

50.5 Vitter
49.5 Edwards

[windjammer]

52 Vitter
48 Edwards

[TDAS04]

52.7 Vitter
47.3 Edwards

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Edwards - 52.3%
Vitter - 47.7%

[Mr.Phips]

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

[Miles]

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

[Hydera]

Edwards - 51-52%
Vitter 48-49%

[The_Doctor]

51% David Vitter
49% John Bel Edwards

Republicans and conservatives come home at the last minute, in the wake of the Syrian refugee situation, and refuse to install a Democrat in the governor's mansion.

[Adam Griffin]

Vitter 51%
Edwards 49%

[Xing]

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

Harry Reid, Michael Bennet, Heidi Heitkamp, Jon Tester and Steve Bullock all say 'hi'.

I'm sticking with my 51.4%/48.6% win for Edwards. Some Republicans will come home for Vitter, especially with the fear tactics he's trying to pull, but I'm guessing that it'll be too little, too late. Hope I'm not wrong this time.

[Talleyrand]

Vitter 53-47
Nungesser 57-43
Landry 56-44

My final projection.

Vitter shall be victorious!!!

[PPT Spiral]

Vitter - 50.1%
Edwards - 49.9%

Recount ensues.

[Mr. Smith]

Vitter: 52%
Edwards: 48%

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

Harry Reid, Michael Bennet, Heidi Heitkamp, Jon Tester and Steve Bullock all say 'hi'.

I'm sticking with my 51.4%/48.6% win for Edwards. Some Republicans will come home for Vitter, especially with the fear tactics he's trying to pull, but I'm guessing that it'll be too little, too late. Hope I'm not wrong this time.

Ah but where's Kay Hagan on that?

[Asian Nazi]

Sticking with my prediction of a narrow Vitter win.

[Xing]

Vitter: 52%
Edwards: 48%

Vitter wins 54%-46% because only Republicans can win after being behind in the polls.

Harry Reid, Michael Bennet, Heidi Heitkamp, Jon Tester and Steve Bullock all say 'hi'.

I'm sticking with my 51.4%/48.6% win for Edwards. Some Republicans will come home for Vitter, especially with the fear tactics he's trying to pull, but I'm guessing that it'll be too little, too late. Hope I'm not wrong this time.

Ah but where's Kay Hagan on that?

My point was that not only Republicans can win after being behind in polling.

[smoltchanov]

How many people got afraid, it's even funny. Prefer to stick with my 51% Edwards prediction....

Without Syria and refugees i wouldn't have any doubt today. Yes, polls would narrow somewhat, but that would be all. Syria introduces fear and unpredictability into election. But it made me hate Vitter even more then before (and i hated him before strongly enough).

[President Johnson]

Edwards: 52.9%
Vitter: 47.1%

[Progressive]

Edwards 51.5%
Vitter     48.5%