SC: PPP: Clinton trails all, Carson best, Kasich worst (user search)
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  SC: PPP: Clinton trails all, Carson best, Kasich worst (search mode)
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Author Topic: SC: PPP: Clinton trails all, Carson best, Kasich worst  (Read 4305 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« on: November 17, 2015, 12:25:33 PM »

Amusingly, Trump is the candidate who does the best with "other" (Hispanics, Asians, etc.)

With the exception of Carson (and even that's only somewhat narrowly), all of these GOPers are deeply under performing.

Not really, it's a Romney +8 sample (SC was Romney +10 IRL), so only Huckabee/Fiorina/Cruz/Kasich are significantly underperforming.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2015, 06:53:24 PM »

I seem to remember early polls in South Carolina underestimating Republicans, similar to how early polls in Connecticut underestimate Democrats. I'd be surprised if the Democrats get any more than 45% in South Carolina.

Yes, I remember an early press release from the Obama 2012 campaign about how they were going to flip South Carolina and Arizona.
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