Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 05:51:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Quinnipiac national poll: Clinton and Sanders lead all Republicans by 1-10 pts  (Read 2617 times)
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,818
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: December 03, 2015, 01:32:22 AM »

It's because Bernie isn't going to win the nomination and no one is going to waste time, energy or money on going after him properly. If they thought he was a chance? Watch those numbers collapse.

It's futile talking to jfern. He thinks Sanders is "Teflon Bernie", the American people are in love with him and no Republican attack could possibly affect his numbers.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: December 03, 2015, 01:37:38 AM »

So does Quinnipiac think the Democrats are going to win California and New York by 40 points or what? Because their national polls and state polls don't make any sense other wise.

More likely a combination of a few factors:

* The national poll here is too Dem because of more Dems being at home during Thanksgiving
* The CO poll being too GOP because of a historical undersampling of Blaxicasians in this state (CO's all-mail vote usually leads to higher turnout among these groups)
* Hilldog's heavy underperformance in CO relative to other Dems (=> Sanders, Obama)
* MoE movements
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,750
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: December 03, 2015, 02:17:22 AM »

I don't understand the "Democrats staying at home during Thanksgiving" argument, like whether being at home or not during a holiday is a partisan issue?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: December 03, 2015, 02:26:08 AM »

I don't understand the "Democrats staying at home during Thanksgiving" argument, like whether being at home or not during a holiday is a partisan issue?

Previous studies have shown that if election day were not a Tuesday, but a Sunday or holiday - turnout and the Dem vote would increase because more Democrats and Blaxicasians would have the chance to vote.

I assume this is also the case for polling and holidays, because many ordinary working class folks (= minorities, Democrats) are at home and picking up the phones during these days. But not during the work week. Republicans, who are generally more wealthy and more flexible when it comes from being at home and working from home, are more likely to respond to pollsters during the work week.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,613
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: December 03, 2015, 02:42:04 AM »

Colorado poll underpolls Latinos, just like the QU poll had Beauprez as Gov elect. Hillary will win against Trump. If Jeb was on ballot, that will be a different story.
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: December 03, 2015, 08:36:07 AM »

So does Quinnipiac think the Democrats are going to win California and New York by 40 points or what? Because their national polls and state polls don't make any sense other wise.
That's not really out of the cards. I could see Hillary Clinton easily hitting 70% of the vote in New York (even against Trump) due to her immense popularity in the state and because of the strong Democratic lean in New York. In California, the most that I can see her winning by is about 63 or 64% however.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: December 04, 2015, 05:34:28 PM »

It's because Bernie isn't going to win the nomination and no one is going to waste time, energy or money on going after him properly. If they thought he was a chance? Watch those numbers collapse.

You'd think it would be obvious. On the rare occasions the Republican hate machine gives Sanders any attention at all, it's just to make cheap socialist jokes.
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.227 seconds with 13 queries.