CO-Quinnipiac: Dems getting crushed, Sanders does slightly better than Hillary (user search)
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  CO-Quinnipiac: Dems getting crushed, Sanders does slightly better than Hillary (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Quinnipiac: Dems getting crushed, Sanders does slightly better than Hillary  (Read 8834 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: November 18, 2015, 08:21:44 AM »

QU always shows GOP bias in CO. As we get closer, CO will get close too.  Lets see a PPP poll.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: November 18, 2015, 08:28:03 AM »

The Ben Carsin numbers are inflated, once he isnt going to be nominee, those Trump numbers will go down.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2015, 08:30:22 AM »

QU always shows GOP bias in CO. As we get closer, CO will get close too.  Lets see a PPP poll.
That's not true. And you don't need a PPP poll for everything, it's not like they are the most accurate thing around...

Anyways it is indeed a bit strange that the Democrats are losing in such a fashion that makes this look like an atlas blue state. But well, Reps are also getting crushed like this in WI.

A Democracy Corp poll contradicted this poll showing Clinton up by 1. QU had Beauprez winning and had Gardner winning, which 1 of them were wrong. 2014. PPP correctly predicted both races
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: November 18, 2015, 09:14:33 AM »

COLORADO would have gone to Jeb, Co always find ways to vote for Bushie, but it is a tossup,  despite what polls say with Trump.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: November 18, 2015, 12:32:48 PM »

Junk poll, Hillary wouldn't lose CO by half that much in a Pepiblican landslide.

You are living an illusion as big as ExtremeRepublican's electoral map predictions if you think CO is that safe in Hillary's hands come 2016, friend.

The Carson numbers are unreal, he wont win by this much, and poll after poll, he keeps large leads. AS was stated earlier, QU has a GOP bias in CO, 2014, they incorrectly had Beauprez winning. Final poll had him up by 2.

Co will be close at end.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2015, 01:17:29 PM »

Clinton has provided Dems comfort, in knowing that Latinos are in her corner. And CO a Latino state.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2015, 01:27:15 PM »

Against Carson, but against Trump, it will be very close. But, Jeb given, before downfall will have won it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2015, 04:32:35 PM »
« Edited: November 18, 2015, 04:34:46 PM by OC »

While these numbers are clearly questionable, colorado is certainly cold to hillary and this state might be R+1 or R+2 range against hillary.

Do, you believe these numbers and Bennet is winning 50-44. CO has mail in ballots and it is one of the four tipping pt states other than Iowa,Va, or OH.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: November 19, 2015, 12:16:46 AM »

Trump's surge in polls, isnt substainable. He will go back down when the General election comes around and Clinton should pick a VP like Hickenlooper that appeals to CO.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: November 19, 2015, 08:20:36 AM »
« Edited: November 19, 2015, 08:22:11 AM by OC »

PPP poll has yet to poll this race, which take out the GOP house effect will poll at some point. Poll done Oct 28th showed a 1pt Clinton lead. It will be with 3-4 percent, not 9.

OH/Va/Iowa/CO are the tippong points, of the election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: November 19, 2015, 12:14:49 PM »

You are puttuing alot on Rubio being nominee, if he isnt, then GOP chances fade.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2015, 05:06:23 PM »
« Edited: November 19, 2015, 05:08:48 PM by OC »

So sad that such a progressive state is turning into a southern-style GOP hellhole so fast.

You seriously are sounding way dumber lately.  Check your inflated image of your party (a collection of liberal arts majors and poor people), and consider that you don't have to be "southern-style" or a "hellhole" to vote Republican.  And, if anything, CO is returning closer to its traditional status after being abnormally attracted to Obama.  It's not "such a progressive state" and many of its voters have a "stay out of my life" attitude that doesn't lend itself well to your nanny-state policies on fiscal issues and gun rights.

This is true, but I'd add that there's nothing wrong with an area being a little more "redneck-y" or "Southern."  I think those are great aspects of our culture; I love the fact that those areas "cling to their guns and religion" rather than to secular humanism or liberalism, much to our President's chagrin.  If the Democrats weren't so blatant in their bashing of the South, maybe they'd do better in those areas.


QU uses Registered voters, and just like in Pa, it polls right before the Likley voter polls come out. That's why it is 9 points towards GOP.

Trump or Carson or Rubio arent going to win Colorado by that size margin. It polls close to natl average.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: November 26, 2015, 07:48:14 PM »

Clinton is gonna pick up some Latino support when she selects Castro as VP and not Kaine. Kaine's was already discounted by teamsters due to vote on Fast Track.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #13 on: November 28, 2015, 01:26:48 AM »

Both Colorado and OH or Va are bellweathers and they have voted that way every election since 2000. Sooner or later one will give anyways. Eventhough, Dems lost in 2014, it seems like 2014 all over, CO in the center and OH, right of center, in which Udall barely lost, Hick won.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #14 on: November 28, 2015, 12:04:45 PM »
« Edited: November 28, 2015, 12:06:44 PM by OC »

Can we take the QU poll with a grain of salt. They didnt poll the senate race and Clinton was ahead in the Democracy Corps poll. Co, NV, Iowa, Pa & NH are must wins for Clinton.

Its Irony that back in 2004, the GOP could have split the electors 5 for R and 4 for Dems, but Dubya won it, and now it is the 272 blue wall.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #15 on: November 29, 2015, 08:28:15 AM »

Joe Biden who was selected to counter Obama more liberal positions was instrumental in Obama carrying Va and CO.

As soon as Clinton picks a running, someine like Castro, can appeal more directly to the voters in the state. But, I wouldnt assume CO goes GOP, if Jeb isnt on ballot, because TRUMP is much weaker.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #16 on: November 30, 2015, 07:53:35 AM »

The numbers look awfully friendly to Republicans but this is of course a state where Clinton will perform more poorly than Obama did.

Barack Obama is, except for LBJ in the weird electoral year of 1964, the strongest Democratic vote-getter as a Democratic nominee for President in a binary election since FDR.  So on the average one would expect any Democratic nominee to do worse than he did.

Q may underpoll Hispanics, a voting bloc that has recently sealed elections for Democrats in Colorado.

Note that this poll is after the terrorist attacks in Paris, and Republicans typically gain in polls in a climate in which fear of terror is intensified -- even if the Republicans have bumbled into it or the Democrats are blameless.

Republicans win the Presidency in 2016 if they can make national security the focus.  

The gun violence issue is just as important as terrorism.  Look what happened in Colorado.  JEB is the only one that can win in Colorado and he isnt going to be on ballot.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #17 on: December 02, 2015, 12:43:37 AM »

Even more reason why Clinton can steal Colorado away from Trump, not Jeb, because Planned Parenthood reminds voters in Colorado of Columbine.

I expect Clinton to win it, now.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,642
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #18 on: December 04, 2015, 08:57:05 AM »

The terrorism issue just solidifies what the divided electorate. And the race will come down not with the Appalachian corridor but the Rockies. The gun issue doomed Conway's chances in KY and reaffirmed the Latino vote looms large in CO.

Actually, before Paris, 2015, already foretold us what was gonna happen anyways. DEMS did well in Pa & La, and GOP did well in Appalachia, holding ground in Va and KY.
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