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  MRI-Lousiana: Vitter gaining on John Edwards
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Author Topic: MRI-Lousiana: Vitter gaining on John Edwards  (Read 2407 times)
Talleyrand
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« on: November 19, 2015, 10:09:12 pm »

http://www.bayoubuzz.com/buzz/item/1048803-thursday-mri-tracking-poll-edwards-vitter-syria-refugee-impact-nungesser-landry

With 26% AA turnout-

Edwards is "ahead" 52-40. (54-39 with 30 and 49-43 with 20)

Lt. Gov

Nungesser ahead 49-42 (47-44 with 30 and 51-38 with 20)

AG

Caldwell ahead 46-37

Poll taken Nov 16th to Nov 18th

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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2015, 10:13:10 pm »

rofl lmao
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2015, 10:13:49 pm »

You do realize that even if Vitter wins all the undecideds, he still loses by 4 to 6, right? And Black turnout will definitely be higher than 20%.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2015, 10:16:15 pm »
« Edited: November 19, 2015, 10:19:12 pm by Vitter for Governor »

You do realize that even if Vitter wins all the undecideds, he still loses by 4 to 6, right? And Black turnout will definitely be higher than 20%.

With the Paris attacks, many voters are switching to Vitter. In addition, others are probably disinclined to admit they will vote for him due to the media hatchetjob he has undergone. You are also forgetting that election day vote is likely to be disproportionately white compared to the early vote. With all those factors combined, it will be a comfortable Vitter victory in the end.

John Edwards has ZERO chance.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: November 19, 2015, 10:20:36 pm »

Black turnout should be close to 30%, so good for Edwards overall Smiley
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: November 19, 2015, 10:22:33 pm »

You do realize that even if Vitter wins all the undecideds, he still loses by 4 to 6, right? And Black turnout will definitely be higher than 20%.

With the Paris attacks, many voters are switching to Vitter. In addition, others are probably disinclined to admit they will vote for him due to the media hatchetjob he has undergone. You are also forgetting that election day vote is likely to be disproportionately white compared to the early vote. With all those factors combined, it will be a comfortable Vitter victory in the end.

John Edwards has ZERO chance.

I really hope you're just trolling and aren't actually buying into what you're saying. I fear for your inevitable euphoria crash from this pre-election Vitter high.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #6 on: November 19, 2015, 10:24:43 pm »

You do realize that even if Vitter wins all the undecideds, he still loses by 4 to 6, right? And Black turnout will definitely be higher than 20%.

With the Paris attacks, many voters are switching to Vitter. In addition, others are probably disinclined to admit they will vote for him due to the media hatchetjob he has undergone. You are also forgetting that election day vote is likely to be disproportionately white compared to the early vote. With all those factors combined, it will be a comfortable Vitter victory in the end.

John Edwards has ZERO chance.

A comfortable Vitter victory? Honestly, if the fact that Edwards is at the point where, per this poll, his worst case scenario with 20% black turnout is a 2 point loss, doesn't show he has better than even odds of winning on Saturday, I don't know what does.

Betting against literally everything except "muh republican state!!!" worked out surprisingly well for you with Kentucky (The fact that Beshear won by fewer than 2,500 votes still amazes me). I'm not so sure it will work out well for you with Louisiana though.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #7 on: November 19, 2015, 10:54:06 pm »

http://www.bayoubuzz.com/buzz/item/1048803-thursday-mri-tracking-poll-edwards-vitter-syria-refugee-impact-nungesser-landry

With 26% AA turnout-

Edwards is "ahead" 52-40. (54-39 with 30 and 49-43 with 20)

Lt. Gov

Nungesser ahead 49-42 (47-44 with 30 and 51-38 with 20)

AG

Caldwell ahead 46-37

Poll taken Nov 16th to Nov 18th



Yeah, because a 12 point lead 24 hours before election day is surely a sign that he's not actually up. Stop being such a hack. Is Vitter himself paying you?
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #8 on: November 19, 2015, 11:02:13 pm »

http://www.bayoubuzz.com/buzz/item/1048803-thursday-mri-tracking-poll-edwards-vitter-syria-refugee-impact-nungesser-landry

With 26% AA turnout-

Edwards is "ahead" 52-40. (54-39 with 30 and 49-43 with 20)

Lt. Gov

Nungesser ahead 49-42 (47-44 with 30 and 51-38 with 20)

AG

Caldwell ahead 46-37

Poll taken Nov 16th to Nov 18th



Yeah, because a 12 point lead 24 hours before election day is surely a sign that he's not actually up. Stop being such a hack. Is Vitter himself paying you?

Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if the honest answer to this is yes. He'd hardly be the first person to be paid to support someone (*cough* dudabides *cough*)
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SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #9 on: November 19, 2015, 11:05:40 pm »

why is a texas democrat supporting vitter?
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #10 on: November 19, 2015, 11:09:10 pm »


He claims he doesn't identify as a democrat anymore.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2015, 11:26:35 pm »

The best thing I can say about this thread is that Wulfric continues his tick of ALWAYS responding seriously to jokes.
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Suburban Vegas Moderate for Trump (if Sanders/Warren win)
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« Reply #12 on: November 20, 2015, 12:27:04 am »


If you're talking about the former VP candidate from 2004, I agree. I doubt he'd even get a vote.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #13 on: November 20, 2015, 12:27:52 am »

The best thing I can say about this thread is that Wulfric continues his tick of ALWAYS responding seriously to jokes.

It's charming
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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: November 20, 2015, 02:05:05 am »

As fun as it is to watch you all get flamed by Talleyrand, it is getting a little tiresome.
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morgieb
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« Reply #15 on: November 20, 2015, 02:07:44 am »

As fun as it is to watch you all get flamed by Talleyrand, it is getting a little tiresome.
^^^^

The Autism content in this thread is TOO DAMN HIGH
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Invisible Obama
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« Reply #16 on: November 20, 2015, 02:12:35 am »

These are definitely not numbers one should be bullish on. To say someone who is leading by 12 has ZERO CHANCE is a pretty extreme thing to say.
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Joshua
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« Reply #17 on: November 20, 2015, 05:13:56 pm »

Black turnout should be close to 30%, so good for Edwards overall Smiley

Love us some reassuring Miles analysis.
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