2016: President Romney vs. former President Obama
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Alternative Elections (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: President Romney vs. former President Obama
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Author Topic: 2016: President Romney vs. former President Obama  (Read 754 times)
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« on: November 25, 2015, 07:11:51 AM »

Let's say Mitt had won win 2012 by a very very close margin. This time, Obama seeks a rematch (Hillary does not run). What's happening?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2015, 12:57:33 PM »


275: Fmr. Pres. Barack Obama(D-IL)/Mayor William Bratton(D-NY) - 48.7%
263: Pres. Mitt Romney(R-MA)/Vice Pres. Paul Ryan(D-WI) - 49.2%
Other: 2.0%

Obama has low base turnout due to his narrow primary win against Sen. & Fmr. Gov. Brian Schweitzer. However, he manages a narrow win over Romney due to the declining economy and his rather popular running mate who, despite losing the Vice Presidential debate's main parts of economy, triumphed on national security issues and homeland security.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2015, 05:41:57 AM »

If the winning candidate doesn't win the popular vote, it's more likely to be a Republican.

I think Romney would win a relatively close victory in such a scenario (unless there's a GDP growth below 1.5% and/or a serious foreign crises; then Obama would be victorious):




President Mitt Romney/Vice President Paul Ryan: 285 EV. (50.87%)
Former President Barack Obama/Former Pennsylvania Governor Ed Rendell: 253 EV. (48.04%)
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2015, 09:27:19 PM »

If the winning candidate doesn't win the popular vote, it's more likely to be a Republican.

I think Romney would win a relatively close victory in such a scenario (unless there's a GDP growth below 1.5% and/or a serious foreign crises; then Obama would be victorious)
Not true. The EC is slightly in favor of a Dem.
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Higgs
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« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2015, 02:50:17 PM »



Mitt Romney/Paul Ryan - 315 EV (51%)
Barack Obama/Kirsten Gillibrand - 223 EV (47%)
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